Good Monday to one and all. It’s Kentucky Derby week and our weather pattern has several storm threats to roll across the region. This is a pattern that isn’t wall to wall rain by any means, but it has the chance to keep some rain around into the big weekend ahead.

Let’s begin with today and roll forward.

Our Monday is a nice one with temps in the 70s and a mix of sun and clouds. The threat is there for some evening storms to get into western Kentucky and the SPC even has a low-end risk for a few severe storms out there…

Low pressure heads toward the northern Ohio Vally on Tuesday and this puts us in a warm and windy southwest flow. With a front dropping into the region, the threat for thunderstorms will increase later in the day into the evening.

Much of the area is under a severe weather risk during this time…

That front drops to the south on Wednesday with a lingering shower or storm, but lots of dry times. Those dry times should hang into the first half of Thursday before the next system gets ready to rumble in.

This system looks like a slow-mover as it’s being pushed by an ugly looking upper level low…

Image

Watch how the surface low spins slowly across the region on Kentucky Oaks Day, bringing showers and storms with it…

Image

Some strong storms will be possible.

Chilly winds will move in for Derby Day and there’s the risk for some leftover showers, especially early in the day…

Image

That’s a fairly chilly Kentucky Derby weekend.

Temps should rebound in a big way early next week before another trough tries to dig into the east later next week…

Image

Ugh. Enough already!!

I leave you with your storm tracking tools to follow any action getting into western Kentucky later today…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great Monday and take care.