Good Thursday to one and all. It’s another warm day but the temp trend is coming down a little as our system going in reverse starts to impact our weather. That impact will be a little greater to start the weekend before bigger changes show up early next week.

Highs today are mainly upper 70s to low 80s across the eastern half of the state. The west will still be mid to upper 80s.

The upper low in the east will slowly work back toward the west and throws enough juice in here for a shower or storm Friday and Saturday…

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Yes, this is the same system that gave us rain and storms Friday and Derby Day. 👎

A cold front then follows that up Sunday night and early Monday with showers and thunderstorms…

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That front has much more of a south push than what the models were showing yesterday, so we are back to much cooler air taking control. Check out the GFS lows by Tuesday morning…

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GFS highs for Tuesday…

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Temps should rebound quickly later next week and will likely return to normal or above. The setup by next weekend is one to watch as another big dip in the jet stream may dive into the center part of the country…

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That’s the EURO but the EURO Ensembles aren’t as far east with that trough. This is the 5 day average height anomalies for May 21-26…

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That pattern could turn really stormy around here with an increased severe threat.

Enjoy your Thursday and take care.