Good Saturday, everyone. The final weekend of August is feeling like the final weekend of August as we get set for changes to show up for the closing days of the month. That will take us toward Labor Day weekend while the tropics come to life.
Temps out there today are deep into the 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. 90 is possible in the west. With a touch of low-level moisture lingering, there’s still the smallest chance for a shower or storm going up. Just in case, I have your radars reporting for duty…
Sunday is likely to be the toastiest day with 85-90 for many with the west spiking a degree or two better in some spots. Areas of the far west haven’t had nearly as much rain as the rest of the state, so the drier ground does some work. I still can’t rule out a storm or two going up.
The threat for showers and storms increase Monday and take us through the closing days of August. The trend is now for cooler and drier air to take control for the first few days of September. Here’s the GFS…
We now have agreement with the EURO on this scenario…
That’s a much cooler brand of air coming in behind this front for the first few days of September, at least. Check out the below normal numbers on this animation from Wednesday through Saturday…
The GFS Ensembles have good agreement…
This is also where we have to be on guard for tropical development. The NHC is currently tracking 2 systems…
One of those may get into the Gulf with the other possibly approaching the southeastern coast days later.
Make it a great Saturday and take care.
Still no complaints for the end of a very tranquil month of August but, here in South Central Kentucky we could use one of those isolated rain / showers.
The Tropic’s tranquility may come to an end soon ? Still watching and waiting but, hoping nothing big and destructive forms.
Ready for Autumn predictions and glance at the upcoming Winter.
Chris, this is where you shine. You give us the facts in understandable terms with helpful graphics. Short, to-the-point. No distracting commentary on the relative merits of other meteorologists or competing forecast models or weather-related agencies. The former is why almost all of us come; the latter is probably why a sizable number leave. Keep up the good work.
I received some needed rain yesterday.
I am still fighting the ragweed battle.
There is only a 20 to 30% chance the two systems out in the ocean will form into a hurricane.
When I was younger I was told by my Allergist to avoid going outside early in the Morning and late in the Evening. Maybe that will help some of your misery ?
Just checked the latest goings on in the Tropics and I’m happy to report only one storm is remaining and only has a 10% chance of becoming a Tropical storm.
I advanced the Ventusky forecast and it’s predicting a Tropical Storm or Hurricane forming in the warm waters for September third in the Southwest Atlantic away from land. Here’s the graphics for September third : https://www.ventusky.com/?p=38;-80;2&l=temperature-2m&t=20220904/0000