Good Tuesday, folks. We have a cold front working across the state today and it’s bringing more showers and storms with it. This front will also unleash some really nice air to close August and begin September. Question marks then show up behind that for the Labor Day Weekend.
Today’s showers and storms will put down a lot of rain in a short amount of time. This may produce local flash flooding issues for parts of central and eastern Kentucky. Here are your radars to follow along…
Comfy air then moves in for Wednesday and Thursday as we put August behind us and roll into the 9th month. This means lows in the 50s and highs from the upper 70s to low 80s with low humidity levels.
This brings us to the Labor Day Weekend. Friday looks good on all the models, but the EURO continues to try to spoil the rest of the weekend with a tropical connection from the Gulf of Mexico. The end result is showers and thunderstorms becoming common for the weekend and early next week…
Other models haven’t been as juiced up as the EURO, but the GFS is going that direction…
If we take a look at what the EURO is doing upstairs, you can clearly see a very deep trough developing across the eastern half of the country next week…
This has great support from the average of the 51 member EURO Ensembles…
The control run of the EURO Ensembles is even deeper…
Again, much of what happens comes from what happens with the tropics and there’s a lot going on right now…
It’s a very intriguing pattern taking shape over the next few weeks.
Make it a great Tuesday and take care.
A decent rain / showers this morning with the cold front about to clear my county of Taylor. A welcome rain / shower to alleviate the moderate drought that has been in this area since the beginning of the Summer Season. Looking forward to that ” comfy air ” in the first few days of September.
That’s the deepest trough forecast on the control run of the European Weather Model so far this season. Looks more like early Winter than the beginnings of Autumn.
Tropical activity now just beginning, but will it be as active as forecast earlier ? One thing is for sure we will find out at the end of the Season.
The Pacific seems to be warming more each time I look at the Surface Sea Temperatures, especially in the Gulf of Alaska. Could this mean that La Nina is beginning to decrease earlier than forecast by NOAA ?