Good Wednesday to one and all. It’s a day of summer sizzle across the Commonwealth but a big fall cold front is about to change all that in a hurry. This front ushers in showers and thunderstorms ahead of the blast of real deal fall air. There’s another blast right behind that as we also start to focus on the Gulf of Mexico.
Temps today reach the upper 80s to near 90 in the east with lots of mid and upper 90 numbers in the west. Winds will be rather gusty as our cold front nears from the northwest. This front will also bring an increase in late day clouds and those cloud will eventually spit out some showers and storms.
As a matter of fact, there’s a low-end risk for a few severe storms to develop to our north today and drop into the northern half of the state this evening. Here’s the latest Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…
That line of showers and storms settles through here through the first half of Thursday with gusty winds from the north crushing summer to our south. Highs on Thursday stay in the upper 60s to low 70s for many.
As skies slowly clear, that sets the stage for chilly temps for Friday morning. Lows of 40-45 degrees are a good bet for many…
GFS
Highs on Friday are back into the upper 60s and low 70s with a pleasant wind blowing from the north and northeast.
A small system moves in here on Saturday and brings the chance for a shower or thunderstorm with it as temps return to the 70s. This is ahead of a bigger fall storm system set to sweep through here with more widespread showers and storms for Sunday and Monday…
GFS
EURO
That brings another big blast of crisp fall air with it and likely holds through the rest of the week.
As all this is happening, we are likely to see tropical system sneak out of the Caribbean and into the Gulf of Mexico. The National Hurricane Center is already tracking this system..
That likely gets into the Gulf of Mexico as a hurricane and has a chance to impact our weather, though we are a LONG way away from knowing particulars of this system. The operational models will continue to change some, but they are really steady with a system in the Gulf…
GFS
EURO
I have you all set to track today’s severe storms potential…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Have a wonderful Wednesday and take care.
Accuweather is forecasting no rain over next week and half.
Historically, this is this is the driest stretch of weeks in the year, and it’s certainly living up to expectations. The trees around here have started to turn earlier than normal, more from the stress of heat and lack of rain, then the season.
We may or may not receive any beneficial Rains in the next 48 hours according to my local forecast. Only a 20% coverage which amounts to probably nothing. We will see.
Trees are beginning their dormancy. The Black Gum and Red Maple are the first to change. We should see some good color as the sugar content in the leaves is high because of the dry, Sunny days we had most of the Summer.
Scared of the possibility of Wildfires throughout the State where the drought continues. The wind and the lower dew points tomorrow should prompt a’ burn ban’ in all areas that do not receive that much needed Rain.
I’m thinking now that the coming Fall and Winter here in the Ohio Valley will resemble the same weather as our neighbors to our South because of a neutral NAO and our over stayed her welcome La Nina.