Good Thursday, everybody. We are tracking another big time fall cold front into the region tonight and early Friday. This will bring the coldest air of the season, so far, for the upcoming weekend. That likely puts the finishing touches on the growing season with a killing frost and light freeze.
Speaking of frost, Wednesday morning did it again…
Yet another morning with widespread low and middle 30s for temps and no Frost Advisory.
Here are the Top 10 coldest numbers from the Kentucky Mesonet. #kywx pic.twitter.com/xU6FRtzUyj
— Chris Bailey (@Kentuckyweather) October 5, 2022
I’m tired of beating a dead horse, but the NWS is damaging their reputation with the public by continuing this stuff.
Temps ahead of our cold front spike deep into the 70s today with an 80 in the west. Southwest winds are cranking ahead of our cold front that sweeps in here with very little, if any, moisture overnight. Some clouds will be noted into Friday as much colder winds blow from the north and northwest.
The overnight lows will be the big story and should drop into the upper 20s and low 30s…
Bye bye, growing season.
The setup for next week is one that sees a recovery in temps for the first half of the week before a deep trough works east with our best chance of rain by the middle and end of next week.
Exactly how that trough comes east is still a bit in question. The Canadian decided to follow the EURO in leaving some energy in the southwest…
The average of the 51 member EURO Ensembles wants to bring more of the trough to the east and then sets up an overall trough in through the end of the run that goes through October 20th…
The control run of the EURO Ensembles are even more emphatic…
The GFS Ensembles are even trending in that direction.
Have a terrific Thursday and take care.
The dry spell continues in South Central Kentucky with a vengeance with no apparent end in sight. But how dry was it today?
At 2:55 pm CDT, my PWS recorded a temperature of 77.5°F, but the Dewpoint reading was 38.9°F, because our relative humidity had dipped to a bone dry 25%!
Despite a lack of warning from the NWS, the fire danger in Warren County is considerable, and will remain so for the foreseeable future.
Let’s assume the NWS hires smart people and let’s assume they get up and come to work to do a good job. They make decisions that make sense to them. However, those decisions are inexplicable to us. We are left with the suspicion that they are either a bit blind to reality, or they are pursuing agendas other than informing and warning the public. Professional meteorologists.
Joe, I was working in rural Clark County yesterday and it was dry as toast. The creek that always flows has been reduced to a few stagnant pools. Overseeding fields has been futile this fall. But, we’re told it’s just a typical dry spell. Their houseplants must be doing well.
Joe, I remember back in the Fall of 1988 it was as dry as it is now. I was living in Southwestern Indiana at the time and heard about the many forest fires here in Kentucky. Not informing the Public about fire danger is negligent, but that seems to be the trend these days.
In my local forecast from the NWS a widespread frost is on tap for this coming Sunday morning. This will be our first frost here in Maple if it happens. Hard freezes usually occur around the end of October in my area.
Joe, here’s some stats on early and late frost/ freezes of the past in Bowling Green :
https://www.weather.gov/lmk/bowling_green_freeze_info
Thank the tropics for this lack of systems moving through… I know it feels like it will never rain again…but it will
Mark, that’s one factor that I believe in, but these days you won’t here that from any meteorologist.
Yesterday, I saw the largest Dust Devil I have ever seen in Ky. on Twitter.
The Spinner went very far up in the sky.
When you see those, it’s dry, really dry almost like a desert !!!
Drought conditions across our Country link. The longest ” DRY SPELL ” I’ve ever experience here in Kentucky in the past fourteen years !!! If this isn’t a DROUGHT I do not know what would constitute such ???
https://weatherstreet.com/drought-map-us.htm
Don’t forget about the Tropics. Looks like there is another system forming in the Caribbean Sea. This Country cannot endure another disaster like Ian caused. Hoping it fizzles out before reaching the Gulf ?
what else can it be? I’ve watched several years and noticed this will happen during this time of year…like the weather gets really boring like now. I’m not talking about temps…I’m talking about any kind of weather system…It’s almost like they become non-existent until the tropics settle down…then things go back to normal….the only thing is that if we happen to get remnants from a tropical system…obviously that would be a good thing. I’m sure there may be other factors but I think the tropics is the MAIN factor. Just my little opinion that no one cares about.
I care Mark. It is the Tropics causing our current uneventful weather and now we have another storm to watch in the Eastern Caribbean Sea. It hasn’t formed yet just has the unlucky number thirteen.
I always enjoy your posts MarkLex.
I wanted to say that the current NAO is trending positive but likely to return to neutral and maybe go negative. We need to discuss all the teleconnections to loosely predict the upcoming Winter. Many forecast out already and are calling for a very cold Winter ? I hope we get plenty of timely Rains and Snows that stay on the ground to keep the fire danger in check. Take all of these private Winter forecast with a ‘ huge grain of salt ‘ because no one really knows for sure.
Only mother nature knows