Good evening, folks. Our weather pattern is about to make a dramatic change toward wintertime with some heavy rain sandwiched in between. Yes, I said wintertime that will be complete with a few snow chances showing up.

Let’s get this party started with tracking Nicole. This is forecast to be a hurricane while hitting Florida later tonight. From there, this system will track toward the southern Appalachian Mountains. Here’s the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

Take our exclusive interactive radar for a spin to track Nicole. This is complete with live storm chaser cams in the patch of this storm…

This system will quickly turn north with moisture shooting well in advance of it. Rain overspreads central and eastern Kentucky Thursday night into Friday and the trend is a bit farther west. A general 1″-3″ of rain is possible across much of central and eastern Kentucky. Here’s a look at my current thought on that…

The western edge of that is still a work in progress, but those rainfall numbers could cause local high water issues for some.

Take a look at the latest rainfall numbers from the forecast models…

Cold air crashes in behind this and there’s a chance for the front to slow down and allow for a wave of low pressure roll along it. That would bring the chance for some light rain and light snow mix across parts of the state on Saturday.

The Canadian was the first to sniff this out and continues to lead the charge…

The GFS is trending that direction…

That’s a very cold look into next week when the pattern tries to throw a storm system rolling in here from the southwest Tuesday and Wednesday. That could produce some rain and snow through the region, depending on the track.

Here’s what the EURO is seeing…

The Canadian…

The GFS is even seeing this system and additional systems behind it…

This pattern has some potential, but it’s one that we’ve been seeing since way back in October. Let’s see where it can take us over the next few weeks.

Your full-blown update comes later tonight so check back. Have a good one and take care.