Good afternoon, folks. It’s full steam ahead into Thanksgiving week and we continue to track a big storm system toward the region and it’s likely to become a high impact system for much of the eastern half of the country.

If you’re a regular reader, you know I’ve been on this storm potential for a week or so by this point. My breakdown from last night hasn’t changed, but the models have.

The GFS decided to return to reality instead of vacationing in Mexico. Check out the trough bowling through here…

While it’s a million times better than it’s prior runs, I still think that might be a bit too fast swinging that MAJOR upper level system through here. At the surface, the GFS now cranks one heck of a low pressure…

You can see how the model is doing what I said to watch for… Rain increasing Thanksgiving with rain and snow following it up on Black Friday.

With a deep storm like that, wind would be an issue locally and across the east. Check out the peak wind gusts coming from the GFS…

Think that’s gonna cause some travel delays?

Almost time for that post, too!!

The Canadian Model has a similar bowling ball looking upper system swinging through here…

Here’s what it looks like at the surface…

Once that moves away, temps rebound into early the following week as we get set for more active weather. Check out the additional energy rolling in from the west…

Patterns like that can sometimes produce strong thunderstorms ahead of cold blasts.

I’ll update things later this evening, so check back. Have a good rest of the day and take care.