Good evening, folks. We are putting the wraps on an absolutely frigid weekend across our part of the world. As we look ahead into the busy Thanksgiving week, we continue to find the increasing potential for a high impact storm system.
Nothing has really changed with my breakdown thoughts:
- Monday starts frigid and ends with temps returning to the 40s for the entire state. Skies are partly to mostly sunny.
- Tuesday will see a little more clouds as a system passes to our south. Temps hit 50 or better for most areas. BTW, normal highs are in the middle 50s still.
- The busy travel day on Wednesday looks good across the region with a mix of sun and clouds and temps in the 50s.
- Thanksgiving Day will find clouds increasing and temps in the 50s. Rain should develop at some point during the day, but the timing of this is still a work in progress.
- Black Friday finds colder air sweeping in from the west with the chance for rain and snow. The extent of rain and snow depends on exactly how the late week storm system evolves.
- Winds may be a big player Friday and Saturday as our storm cranks to the east of us.
We continue to see the EURO and GFS living in bizzaro world as they are swapping biases. Normally, the EURO is the one being slow in ejecting energy out of the southwest and the GFS is usually the one being too progressive.
The EURO is progressive with our system…
The new GFS reverted back to something similar to earlier runs in showing a much slower moving system coming from the southwest…
To be honest, I can actually see something like that taking place. If that does happen, it would slow everything down about a day. So, let’s keep that in mind as we wait for the models to settle in on a solution late tomorrow and Tuesday.
I’ll see you guys for the full update later tonight. Enjoy the rest of the evening and take care.
