Good Monday, folks. We’ve made it to Thanksgiving week and we have more or a normal temperature pattern taking shape, but a big storm system is the focus of the forecast. That system rolls in here for Thanksgiving Weekend with the details yet to be determined.
Moderating temps move in today with readings surging into the 40s. 50 plus starts to show up on Tuesday and that continues into the busy travel day on Wednesday. For those talking about a “warm” setup… middle 50s are normal right now.
I haven’t changed my thoughts on the Thanksgiving weekend system, but there is a good argument to slow the progression of everything down a bit.
The latest EURO is still fully on board with my thoughts as it takes this monster upper low right on top of us…
Check out the massive storm system this brings through here and into the eastern half of the country…
The other models are trending slower with this system ejecting out of the southwest and, thus, slowing the overall progression of this storm.
The GFS…
This run is essentially throwing two systems at us. Some rain arrives late Thanksgiving with the main storm arriving on Saturday and Sunday…
The GFS now has a new BFF in the Canadian Model…
As I said earlier, I could no longer rule out what the GFS was showing because it’s essentially not a bias of the model.
I suspect we still have to go through some jumps on all the models before we get total agreement late today or Tuesday.
Temps bounce back early next week as we get set to close out the month of November. From there, we will see a deep trough dumping into the plains states and west. That’s likely to fire up a big storm system that we will need to keep an eye on for thunderstorms.
Once that goes through, we are seeing some extensive support for a colder pattern settling east into the start of December…
As I’ve said, the atmosphere is juiced up and has the potential to throw a period of severe cold in here in December, likely around the middle of the month.
I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a great day and take care.
I think the La Nina we have in place is confusing the weather models.
Looks like the system this weekend is going to be a cutter..Guess that’s to be expected this time of year with a La Niña..Looking forward to the 50’s this week..Hopefully we can sneak in a 60..
La Nina typically brings mild and wet conditions to Kentucky, but this one is just the opposite. The next 14 days are going to be mild, but not much precipitation in my local forecast. Glad we are coming out of this early deep freeze and I hope we don’t have anymore the whole Winter.