Good afternoon, everyone. We have a strong cold front working across the state. This may even touch off some small hail producing showers before we get into some snow showers and flurries later tonight. This opens up a winter pattern bringing the precipitation type fence into Kentucky.
Let’s start with what’s going on out there today. The cold front works in from the northwest and will touch off that broken line of showers. There’s even the chance for a thunderstorm to develop within this line and we could see some small hail from this.
Here are your afternoon radars…
Cold air then sweeps in behind this, causing temps to drop quickly this evening. A few rain and snow showers then develop by late evening before snow showers and flurries take control tonight into Friday.
The Future Radar from the HRRR handles this very well and even shows some flakes lingering into Saturday morning…
This sets the stage for the next system to move in here Saturday night and Sunday. The “fence” looks to set up on top of us with a mixed bag of precipitation likely before snow showers end this Monday morning.
The Canadian is even spitting out a bit of freezing rain…
The GFS continues to trend farther south, and much farther south compared to where it started early this week. It has a band of accumulating snow along and just south of the Ohio River in Northern Kentucky…
Again, this is a work in progress as far as there the rain/snow line sets up.
That moves away and we quickly turn our attention toward the next system moving in Tuesday and Wednesday. This will unleash much colder air and be accompanied by a snow maker diving in behind it.
The track of this initial low has focused farther west and that has me a bit perplexed as to why. Usually, we find storm tracks coming a bit more south and east than the one before it.
Here’s the GFS…
The Canadian…
Another work in progress in terms of the details, but we are 100% heading into a winter pattern that will deliver snowfalls to our region through the rest of the month and early February.
I will have another update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.
Fence sitting usually means less than (10:1) snow ratios. I am more jazzed up about the Clipper scenarios next week. Of course I could be wrong.
From what the computer models are showing, there could be a significant snow for the Chicago area next Wednesday into early Thursday. It will be interesting to see how that trends over the next several days.
If the aggregate outlook pans out, only several inches of snow for most of us. Hopefully one shot, instead of tiny snows with more salt than snow.
What happened to the polar air that was supposed to invade our world again that they was predicting for mid January. It seems like things has changed and the warm air is beating the cold air out as always.