Good Monday, everyone. Our stormy pattern rolls on with additional rounds of storms showing up out there today. Just like Sunday, some of the storms may be severe and cause some issues. This is a setup that doesn’t look to fully break for a while.
Today’s storms will be coming in waves from the west and northwest. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary threats, but a quick tornado spin up can’t be ruled out across western and central Kentucky.
The Storm Prediction Center has the Marginal Risk to Slight Risk out for most of the region today…
As mentioned, there’s a low-end tornado risk today. This is the area the SPC is highlighting for the greatest chance…
Damaging wind is much more likely with any severe storm that goes up…
Just like Sunday, these storms may produce up to quarter and golf ball sized hail. Here’s the risk area from the SPC…
In addition to the severe threat, these storms can cause local flash flooding issues to develop once again.
Temps today are dependent on thunderstorms for any one location but should generally range from the middle 70s to low 80s.
Temps come down a bit for Tuesday and even out on Wednesday when dry air takes control. Wednesday looks REALLY good!
Additional rounds of showers and storms kick back in for Thursday and that should take us into the upcoming weekend…
Some of those storms may be strong or severe and put down heavy rainfall. Sound familiar?
Behind all this comes another dip in the jet stream across the eastern half of the country as we head into next week…
Temps are likely below normal for a week to 10 days or so. The Ensembles are all over this…
EURO ENSEMBLES
Warmer than normal temps are having a titanic struggle getting established this spring.
I will update things as needed later today. Until then, here are your storm tracking tools for the day…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Have a magnificent Monday and take care.
Relative to normal, these departures are not that big of a deal if they do pan out.
Probably right Jeff.
Thanks Chris. With the weakening storms yesterday we managed to receive about 1/2 of inch of rain showers. Very welcome as it’s been quite a while to receive such.
The blocking in Greenland is delaying our normal Spring temperatures. Hopefully, this will change in the weeks to come ?
Sometime this Summer I’m hopeful that ENSO / El Nino will form and cause a major change in the World’s atmosphere. Making for a more interesting weather pattern this Fall and Winter for our area.
We’re currently under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning at my location just south of Bowling Green, with torrential rains and frequent lightning being the major effects. The storm has a hail core about halfway between BG and Franklin, producing up to quarter sized stones. I’ve received 0.6″ of rain over the past ½ hour, and 2.25″ has fallen during the past 24 hours. We needed the rain, but I could’ve used a couple more hours of sleep!
We only had .68 inches of rain in the past 48 hours. My area is where rain and snow comes to die.
Schroeder, we’ve only had .40 at my house in SE Lexington.
It is odd how the storms weaken in some areas and pound other areas.
Here is the link for the summary of Sunday evening’s severe weather across portions of Northern IL, which affected the far S and SW Suburbs of Chicago. The severe thunderstorms produced everything from golf-ball size hail to flash flooding and even a couple of weak “landspout” tornadoes.
In addition, a strong outflow boundary produced strong winds and a significant amount of blowing dust towards the I-55 corridor about 80 miles SW of Chicago, which resulted in two Dust Storm Warnings being issued, the first time a DSW has ever issued by the Chicago NWS.
https://weather.gov/lot/2023_05_07_FloodingSevere
Wow ! Quite a storm Mike. We have been lucky so far as to not having severe storms in my area. Hoping we just receive the rain showers. I don’t recall any dust storms in my lifetime, and I grew up in the Midwest.