Good Monday to one and all. We are coming off an absolutely awesome fall weekend but it’s back to September this week. This normal week of temps will also feature an increasing rain threat from a tropical system coming out of the Gulf of Mexico.
Before we look ahead, take a look back at the historic lows from Sunday morning…
We cracked the upper 30s this morning in a few areas. The Kentucky Mesonet shows the top 10 coldest locations. #kywx pic.twitter.com/Jih4hvZr4F
— Chris Bailey️️ (@Kentuckyweather) September 8, 2024
Getting some upper 30s on the 8th day of September is pretty remarkable. This marks the second historic cold snap over the past 3 weeks. Of course, we had a week of 90s sandwiched in between the two. Extreme is the new normal.
Temps today start in the 40s again across much of central and eastern Kentucky. These same areas will be in the mid 70s for highs this afternoon with temps back into the low 80s across the west. Overall, it’s another winner of a weather day.
Temps rise into the 80s area wide over the next few days as we watch a tropical system down in the Gulf of Mexico. This is likely to become a hurricane as it heads toward Louisiana for a Wednesday landfall.
Here’s the latest information and track forecast from the National Hurricane Center…
You can see how the cone of uncertainty extends into Kentucky and the Ohio Valley by Friday.
Here’s a satellite look at our developing storm…
The remnant low of this system is likely to head toward western Kentucky and that brings the greatest threat for heavy rainfall into our region from late Thursday into the start of the upcoming weekend. Here’s the early call on this…
Several inches of rain will be possible along and near the inland track of this system and that may cause high water concerns for parts of Kentucky.
The models all have this system impacting Kentucky, but they have the usual track and timing disagreements.
The EURO gets this into the region and slows it down, keeping rounds of showers and storms spinning through the weekend and into early next week…
In addition to the Gulf storm, we have two more systems out in the Atlantic that will likely get named very soon…
One of those may make a run at the east coast before all is said and done.
Enjoy your Monday and take care.
Here’s hoping that JoeD and Schroeder get needed rains.
Thanks Jeff, it would be welcome indeed. We’re well into our 4th week without more than a trace of rain; 0.02 inches is the extent of it over the past 26 days. Of course we’ll probably get a month’s worth in 36 hours, but I can’t complain… it’s what we’ve come to expect in the new normal!
Thanks Jeff. I hope all that need Rain receive such.
Thanks Chris. We had a morning low of 41 degrees here in northern Taylor county. Bright blue skies yesterday made it a beautiful early Autumn day, but the Sunset displayed those dirty skies indicating the high pressure with it’s descending air moving back in. High temperatures in my area may be back in the low 90’s by Wednesday, but Summer is slowly coming to an end, with the declining day lenght.
We had a very wet Spring and a very dry Summer, that is an extreme too. One may think we are in a very extreme D******. Not true we are abnormally dry for the year. We have accumulated 38 inches of precipitation since January 1st which is only 2 inches below normal. The rainfall is not spread out anymore like it use to be. I don’t think we will ever return to the weather patterns we had back in the 50’s to the 1970’s. The two oscillations I follow is the PDO and AMO. The Pacific is still negative and the Alantic positive. This is for decades. I found out by comparison, that back in 1976 to 1978 the years we had those very Cold and Snowy Winters that the Pacific was positive and the Atlantic negative.
The Tropics are becoming more active agin. Was quiet, in my opinion due to Saharan dust in our atmosphere interfering with the water cycle, but now it’s raining in the Saharan desert. The various models are not in agreement with what may form in the Southwest Gulf of Mexico. One model this morning showing six moving into South Texas or Old Mexico. If it does form and moves up our way, I wish it would move through the Tennessee Valley rather than the Mississippi. This would give the entire state of Kentucky good soaking Rains, and alleviating the danger of wildfires. I’m long winded this morning. I won’t bore you anymore with these long post.
Have a great and safe day everyone !