Good Sunday evening folks. It’s a nice weekend wrapping up across the region as temps come up a few degrees under a gorgeous sky. The week ahead will turn wet as we focus our attention on the potential for wintry weather into Christmas weekend.
I have been banging the drum on two potential systems impacting our weather over the holiday weekend. One on Friday and another later Christmas Day into the following day. The forecast models are now all sniffing this out, but they differ on how the whole situation evolves.
The new GFS has a massive storm system coming from the Gulf of Mexico Christmas Day into next Monday and would certainly put us in line for snow.
The European Model has decided to take things a step further as it keeps a stalled out front just to our south from Friday through early next week. That allows for waves of low pressure to work along the boundary giving us mix and snow chances each day.
European Model
The model then brings a big storm out of the Gulf early next week…
That is likely too slow with the storm as the European has a serious tendency to hold energy in the southwest back too long.
I’m not saying this run is right or that you will have a white christmas by any means… but something like it fits the pattern I have been talking about and puts us in the ball game. It is definitely something for us to watch as we go forward. Think those folks who are promising you a mild and dry Christmas weekend are sweating right about now? 
Enjoy the rest of your Sunday and take care.
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Thing that is interesting is is that the GFS is actually beginning to show a big storm too. This christmas may be white…
I love how these folks stuck there necks out to early, now we shall see if they own up to there oops! Chris rocks! Think snow folks!
How much
nws in jackson sure donk think we will see snow…..
sorry meant don’t
Still two early to think about a white xmas. Even if this storm develops, will we have the same issues we always have with these storms. For example the stationary front moves to far south or another big low forms off the east coast and takes all the energy away from the weaker low further to the southwest.
Seen it to many times folks. But the chances here in the commonwealth have improve somewhat.
Still two early to think about a white xmas. Even if this storm develops, will we have the same issues we always have with these storms. For example the stationary front moves to far south or another big low forms off the east coast and takes all the energy away from the weaker low further to the southwest.
Seen it to many times folks. But the chances here in the commonwealth have improve somewhat.
Still two early to think about a white xmas. Even if this storm develops, will we have the same issues we always have with these storms. For example the stationary front moves to far south or another big low forms off the east coast and takes all the energy away from the weaker low further to the southwest.
Seen it to many times folks. But the chances here in the commonwealth have improve somewhat.
Still two early to think about a white xmas. Even if this storm develops, will we have the same issues we always have with these storms. For example the stationary front moves to far south or another big low forms off the east coast and takes all the energy away from the weaker low further to the southwest.
Seen it to many times folks. But the chances here in the commonwealth have improve somewhat.
Brandon Robnison still say no snow.
well myself see that ole BUBBA G fence going up, or should i say has been up for a decade.
u see in Bailey mentioning MIX talking bout EURO runs stalling front out to our south, that be rain mauybe little mix IMO for S and SE KY.
like i and u say it takes a ACT OF GOD to get a SNOW around here other than upslope.
this lows out of sw and S are like trying win POWERBALL.
that said my XMAS weekend snow meter was at 40 percent now i have it at 20 percent this asfar as snow on ground of inch or more.
now we might hit that lottery ticket but if u play every nite like i dso u know that a pipe dream.lol
hey still WED model runds is when ill settle on something and that still 3 days away.
but if i was u i get pics from last year out if u are wanting a white XMAS.
rolo has spoken. let it be heard by all the land. 🙂
I love this blog!!! Still holding onto hope for a white Kentucky Christmas this year!!
Also the stationary front will move north on xmas day will be sitting exactly over top the Ohio river. Another cold rain or mix for all of ky
Also the stationary front will move north on xmas day will be sitting exactly over top the Ohio river. Another cold rain or mix for all of ky
Also the stationary front will move north on xmas day will be sitting exactly over top the Ohio river. Another cold rain or mix for all of ky
Also the stationary front will move north on xmas day will be sitting exactly over top the Ohio river. Another cold rain or mix for all of ky
The Weather Channel has a forecast of party cloudy and highs in mid 40’s for both Christmas Eve and Christmas day. Of course, the 10 day forecast from them is about as worthless as a $3 bill. Go Chris!
rolo, my friend, i know what u mean by saying an act of god but i do believe all weather is controlled by god him self.
i said the other day that no matter how many computer models we have or how many forecasters we have, chris bailey, joe bastardi, tony cavalier, etc. you get the picture, sometimes mother nature lets us know she is in control of the weather.
hope you r doing much better, my friend, health wise. i have been saying prayers for you and i will continue to do so and my friend i hope you have a very merry christmas.
Hope the models keep sniffing out a good snow system for this coming weekend. Would love to have something fun to track in an otherwise quiet and boring December! Crossing my fingers…
And then the 18Z run, right on cue, totally switches up and brings a clipper in for Christmas Eve instead, and pushes the gulf storm out to sea. Haha.. these models are flopping like a fish out of water. It’s almost comical. 6 days out and we can’t even nail a forecast down. This might be a new all time low point for computer modeling. 😉
How come My local new man is still saying no snow.
ok got to have a song for evening,
better off in a pine box!! on a slow train back to GEORGIA than a a gray wall of a prision doing timeeeeeeeee, i think i rather die and go to hell and face the deviiilllllllll]]
than to lie here u and him togther on my mind,,
onr of the best SONGS EVER right there by DOUG STONE.
as far as weather I said it and u all know it its WINTER until were 72 hours out and in u can flip a ole coin.
do rolo want a WHITE XMAS?????
seeing i got stuck last XMAS,, NO.
who wants 1-3 inch snow, now if were talking 1-2 feet IM ALL IN.
I here ya ROLO!!! OLD SCHOOL SNOW IS WHAT WE ALL REALLY WANT…
As I like to say, should not get excited by each and every run of the models this far out. This storm is not even in existence yet. The models should fluctuate. That’s normal. They’re just trying to figure out how the upper air dynamics are going to affect the development of this thing.
In the meantime, here’s to hoping…
Wow,look at the big low in the north west pacific…Sure like to see something like that rolling our way with cold air allready in place…
Because he can forecast about as well as your grammar.
new gfs rolling in and it is showing a cold rain on friday and a clipper type system coming in late christmas eve into christmas day, talk about model flopping. makes me hungry for waffles here at 11:30pm. lol!!!! good night every one and god bless.
That nice making fun of someone Grammar I am sure you are going to a bad place.
No matter what James said, a weather blog is not a place to be telling some they are going to a bad place.
I am not impressed with our snow chances west of 75. If we even manage to get some here in central Ky. it looks like minimal amounts christmas weekend late. Not all that promising into New Years.
is it nice making fun of soneone grammer when they are disble.
OK, so WHEN is it that we register in order to leave comments? Hurry, Chris!