Good Saturday, everyone. After a frigid start to the day, we finally start to thaw out as our temps slowly recover through the weekend. This is ahead of another active setup ahead of an up and down temperature pattern. I’ll take a look at that and toward the longer range.
Temps this morning are in the teens again but will reach the upper 30s to middle 40s this afternoon as our winds flip around. That milder wind sends our temps into the 50s for Sunday as clouds increase ahead of a rain maker. This moves in Sunday evening and continues into early Monday…
A half to one inch of rain is possible during this time.
A front moves in and slows down on Tuesday. This means another rain system for Tuesday as the front slowly slides eastward across the state. As this happens, a wave of low pressure develops along the front and brings the chance for some light mix and light snow behind it Tuesday night and Wednesday. That’s no slam dunk as it depends on where this low tracks. All of this will be followed by another healthy cold blast with some snow showers and flurries possible through Thursday.
The GFS has can’t make its mind up on to flake or not to flake. The latest run is back to being too progressive for even a single snowflake in Kentucky…
The EURO has slowed down and now produces some light snow in the east with some flurries to follow…
The Canadian keeps giving us the best chance at some light snow across the eastern half of the state and follows it all up with a light snow maker later Thursday…
The Canadian is likely being very optimistic with that second system and it keeps being on the side of winter weather loves with another winter weather maker next weekend…
That’s probably going to wind up being a warmer scenario than the Canadian sees as I do expect a period of moderation to show up. As a matter of fact, it should turn above normal for a bit from next weekend into much of the following week.
This pattern looks to break down by Christmas week as ridging returns to the west coast of North America with positive heights extending all the way to Alaska once again. If that happens, we may very well go back into a pretty cold and wintry pattern around here and into some of the same areas dealing with the cold of this week.
The Euro Weeklies started to sniff out the recent cold and winter setup from a few weeks out. They started showing slightly colder than normal temp anomalies and the EURO Weeklies are now showing something similar for Christmas Week…
That’s the average of more than 50 members.
If we just look at the single run of the EURO Weeklies known as the Control Run, it shows even colder numbers for that same 7 day period…
Christmas week snow chances show up on the Euro Weeklies and the Control Run…
Obviously, we take those with a grain of salt and we only show them as a guide to what the overall pattern can produce.
The same EURO Weeklies have also been hinting at the ridging across the far west coast and into Alaska becoming much more established for late December into much of January. The latest 30 day average height anomalies across North America continue to show the potential for a cold and wintry pattern across the eastern half of the country…
That’s a really nice look for winter lovers, if it verifies.
I’ll have updates later today. Make it a great Saturday and take care.
Mulched and bagged leaves yesterday. Chilly. Leaves were frozen to the turf in deeply shady spots.
Still slightly amazed at how many plants are holding their leaves. Thinking January will be soon enough to start midwinter tree trimming; surely all flora will have given up the fight and slipped into dormancy for a season.
Our shady yard is now flooded with daylight and we get to see the fascinating textures of bark and branching patterns of bushes and trees.
Glad we decided to extend patience to our damaged boxwoods. They’re slowly recovering, so we’ll just keep pruning and let them enjoy life in slightly new shapes.
Anniversary of Pearl Harbor. 83 years ago. When I was born, only a little over 86 years had elapsed since the last battle of the Civil War. Weird.
My Catawba Rhododendron has been looking pretty sad during this past dry cold spell. It had many buds open up in October, so no blooms next Spring. This never occured in my Nursery in Indiana. I just don’t think there is the humidity these plants need to grow and bloom here in Kentucky. I think that the only plant that will grow here would be in the Juniper family.
Thanks Chris. It would do my heart good if the younger ones on your Blog could experience the Snows that I have growing up. I think my last White Christmas is going to be the one we had in 2004 in Indiana. Mother Nature is just giving the weather Kentucky needs. It is what it is Folks.
Take Care Everyone !
Here’s the Snowstorm Forecast the next few days. Look how far North the real deal Snowstorms are :
https://www.weatherstreet.com/Snowstorm.htm