Good Sunday to one and all. Christmas is just around the corner and the pattern continues to look the part of a shower maker instead of a snow maker. That’s a bummer, but it is what it is. As we look deeper down the road, there’s a big time pattern change lurking around the New Year.

Let’s begin with today and roll forward.

Temps are in the teens this morning and recover deep into the 30s for most of central and eastern Kentucky. The west will reach 40-45. Those 40s then take over everywhere on Monday as clouds thicken ahead of a weak front dropping in from the north. That boundary arrives with scattered showers on Christmas Eve then gives way to a weak low pressure moving in from the southwest Christmas Day. That brings another chance for showers through here…

That’s not a lot of rain by any means, but a few showers will be noted from time to time.

Temps jump up behind that as another storm system develops across the Plains and rolls toward the Great Lakes next weekend. This brings showers and a few thunderstorms into the area before colder winds crash in behind that system…

That trough swinging in looks to be the beginning of our change toward a pattern that can quickly grow into a harsh winter setup for our region. The GFS Ensembles show this pattern going wild as we flip the calendar to 2025…

That’s some massive blocking showing up from Alaska toward Greenland. That pattern then forces some very cold air into this deepening trough…

That’s some serious cold coming in the heart of winter when our normal temps are at their lowest of the entire year.

This blocking pattern and deep trough across the United States continues to show up very well on the GFS Extended. This run goes through the middle of January…

The EURO Weeklies look pretty similar through the same period…

I’ll see you guys back here for another update later today. Make it a great day and take care.