Good afternoon, everyone. A little bit of melting is going on out there today as the sun shines with temps inching above freezing for the first time in a long time for many. As we loo toward the week ahead, we find frigid temps returning with some light snows.

This is all ahead of a more potent setup the following week.

We have two light snow makers coming at us with the first arriving late tonight and early Monday. That one doesn’t have much moisture with it but I can’t rule down a few coatings. A better chance of light snow zips in here on Tuesday and may bring a swath of coatings to 1″ for some.

You can see both of these systems on the future radar from the Hi Res NAM…

Monday’s temps fall all day long behind this first boundary with low temps reaching the singles by Tuesday morning. Gusty winds during this time will make it feel much, much colder. Check out the wind chill forecast from 7am Monday through 7am Tuesday…

Those wind chills stay way down there from Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning…

If our actual lows are to go below zero, Wednesday morning is the prime time for that to happen.

The temps jump quickly by the end of the week ahead of a major arctic front dropping in here to start the upcoming weekend. This low will have a storm system developing along it and I’m curious to see just how far south this system gets. There’s a chance the models trend colder and farther south with this initial low.

From there, this boundary slows down to our east with waves of low pressure rolling along it, throwing winter weather back into our region.

The models are going to swing wildly from run to run with how they handle the overall setup.

Here’s the Canadian…

The GFS will is already showing some wild swings…

So is the EURO…

The EURO bias is to struggle with energy coming out of the southwest, so you will see that model all over the place with storm tracks. I mean… that run brings an ice storm into Florida.

I’ll see you guys back here for an evening update. Have a good one and take care.