Good Thursday, everyone. Slightly milder winds are kicking in for the next few days, but we have another harsh wintertime pattern taking shape later this weekend into next week. This pattern will bring bitterly cold temps back into the region to go along with snow threats.

While we do have the threat for a few flakes out there today, this isn’t a big deal at all. This is actually ahead of that milder wind that kicks in for Friday and is ahead of another arctic cold front dropping in from the northwest.

That arrives Saturday with showers and some flakes along and ahead of this. What comes in behind this is still open for debate as some models show a wave of low pressure developing along the arctic front, delivering a nice snow to central and eastern Kentucky. Other models show just some light snows Saturday night and Sunday.

The short range models like the NAM only go through 7am Sunday, so we are just getting within their range. The latest future radar from the NAM shows the Saturday showers with light snow kicking in Saturday night and Sunday morning…

The Canadian fam continues to be much more aggressive with this wave of low pressure delivering a healthy snowfall across the central and eastern parts of the state. Here’s the Short Range Canadian through 7am Sunday…

The full-blown Canadian model shows this wave and some snow showers behind it Sunday night and early Monday…

The GFS wants nothing to do with this wave of low pressure and only develops some light snows across the east and southeast…

The EURO also isn’t too fond of this wave of low pressure, but has a little better coverage on the Sunday light snows…

So, if you want a nice snow on Sunday, cheer on our neighbor to the north…

Eh?

Regardless of the Sunday system. brutal cold takes control of our weather later Sunday and lasts into much of next week. Temps can go below zero Monday through Wednesday mornings and wind chills may take a walk on the stupid side.

Check out the EURO model wind chill forecast from 7pm Sunday through 7am Monday…

And from 7am Tuesday through 7am Wednesday…

That’s absolutely absurd and we certainly hope we don’t sniff anything close to that, but the potential is certainly there.

What happens after all this? We are likely to get a storm system rolling across the deep south Tuesday into Wednesday. With the bitter cold in place, can this system somehow manage to come far enough north to bring some snow in here? That remains to be seen, but the Canadian is still grazing us with some snow…

The GFS is having all kinds of problems with this setup and I’ve been highlighting the major run to run changes with the model. The latest run sees no Tuesday/Wednesday system, but sees one behind it Thursday and Friday…

Even in that scenario, the GFS has zero idea on what to do with so many different lows showing up.

The EURO has also been showing poor run to run continuity and shows our Tuesday/Wednesday system staying very far south, but it’s also trying to fire up something for Thursday and Friday…

It’s going to be interesting, and fun, watching the models figure out what to do with this bitter cold air mass and an active southern storm track. Wild swings will continue, and I can see a snow system from looking harmless to threatening within a few days of it showing up.

I will have updates later today, so check back. Until then, I have the tools you need to follow any flakes flying in the east…

Have a great day and take care.