Good afternoon everyone and thanks for stopping by the blog. I have a busy afternoon ahead, but wanted to drop by to update things on what looks like a busy week ahead.
The early week system is looking a tad more interesting as some of the models are going toward the secondary Carolina low idea we talked about yesterday. The JMA model was among the first to show this idea that could bring us a better chance of snow late Tuesday into early Wednesday.
We get some overrunning precipitation that can start out as a mix on Monday before a switch to light rain Monday night and early Tuesday. This happens as a clipper works into the lakes and drags a cold front through the region. As this happens… a secondary low will try to form across the Carolinas and ride up along the coast. This would throw some more moisture in here and that would be in the form of snow late Tuesday and early Wednesday. Depending on the track of the low… this could be some light snow and flurries or something a little stronger putting snow on the ground.
Here is the latest mean from the GFS Ensembles…
The late week storm potential is still very much alive and well for Thursday and Friday. The GFS is still crushing the southern stream energy as it brings a big time arctic outbreak in here. The Canadian Model has now joined the camp of something big being possible…
The hot off the presses European Model is also a pretty big hit for much of the region. This is getting interesting!
I will have another update later this evening so check back. Have a great day and take care.
Select Page
Chris,
Thanks for the update. Looks like we might be in for another snowstorm yet. Mabye this is our chance of for the big one everyone has been wanting on the blog. Have a great day and sounds like you better get some rest the week ahead may be very demanding. LET IT SNOW!!!!
Looking forward to the next few model runs Chris to see if the trend continues!
WOW that looks impressive!!! By the way go CARDS…Way to pull that one out…Sorry all you Cats fans….Back to the weather…Hopefully this thing has not shifting and we are looking at the exact same maps Thursday and Friday. Still aways to go….THINK SNOW
this sounds good to me.
I want spring..!
Steelers 16
Ravens 13
GO STEELERS
Thanks Chris for everything you do.It sounds like an avalanche coming out my roof with those Ice cicles melting.
GO CARDS!! And last but not least, BRING ON THE SNOW BABY!!!
I agree with you bring on SPRING!!! Cookouts, flip flops, bring it, can’t take much more of this cold. We should get a “blog” party going! lol 🙂 Invite Bailey lol
Chris that would be some thick SNOW icing on the cake for KY if that model holds true! GO CATS! 🙂
Might want to stay inside the next 2 months then…the cold and snow aren’t leaving anytime soon! 3 cheers for winter!!! Hip-hop-horray!!!
I’m with you! Woohoo! 🙂
Ring around the moon last night. Hmmmm…
Ring around the moon last night. Hmmm.. 😉
Why am I getting moderated on every single comment?
Ok sure, the comment about being moderated doesn’t get moderated. Someone has a sick sense of humor. 🙂
Ok, so what I’ve been trying to say is— there was a ring around the m00n last night. 😉
Ok so what I’ve been trying to say is—- there was a ring around the mo on last night. 😉
Ok for some reason I can’t talk about the big ring around the white celestial body in the sky last night cause it keeps getting moderated. 😉
Ok what I’ve been trying to say is that the moon had a ring around it last night. Hmmmm 😉
I’ve been trying to say–Big circle around the white celestial body in the sky last night. Are there certain words this site moderates?
Big.
Halo.
Around.
The.
Moon.
Last.
Night.
😉
Finally.. sheesh.
That model for Friday. Isn’t the freezing line above us? Wouldn’t that just mean a lot of rain? One of you help me out please.
hey vinny, i hate to burst your bubble but ravens will win 13 to 10 when steelers miss a 40 yard field goal as time expires, ravens will go on to win the super bowl. i am saying lol!!!! but i am serious as heck. i know this is a weather blog but i had to ad this little football segment in here since it is a slow weather day. by the way joe bastardi is saying phasing will take place over the ohio valley next thursay and friday with the coldest air of the season to follow. he says the gfs in way out in left field and the european is in the drivers seat. we shall see. see i did talk about the weather a little bit.
Go Euro!
MODELS CONTINUE TO ILLUSTRATE A LARGE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
CENTER OF THE COUNTRY THURSDAY. HOWEVER…THE MODELS DIFFER ON JUST
HOW DEEP THIS TROUGH WILL DIG OR AMPLIFY.
THE EURO CONTINUES TO
ILLUSTRATE THE DEEPEST SOLUTION…WHICH PRODUCES A SOUTHERN SURFACE
LOW AND PUTS OUR FORECAST AREA IN A GOOD POSITION FOR ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL.
OTHER MODELS…INCLUDING THE GFS…ARE NOT AS AMPLIFIED
AND THUS KEEPS THE SURFACE LOW WELL TO OUR NORTH…PRODUCING VERY
LITTLE QPF. FOR NOW…WILL LEAVE CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST AS THE
NAEFS CONTINUES TO PLACE SOME PRECIP ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY…ALBEIT
VERY LIGHT. EITHER WAY…THE QUICK HITTING COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE
THROUGH BY THURSDAY NIGHT…WITH YET ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF
COLD AIR BEHIND IT. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY LOOK TO STAY
GENERALLY IN THE 30 TO 35 DEGREE RANGE WITH LOWS ON THURSDAY NIGHT
IN THE TEENS AS FRONT WORKS THROUGH.
ARCTIC SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN CAUSING HIGHS FRIDAY TO
REMAIN IN THE 20S…WITH SATURDAY LOWS LOOKING EXTREMELY COLD. MODEL
CONSENSUS DEPICTS LOWS SATURDAY MORNING WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
TO LOW TEENS…WHILE HIGHS WILL REACH THE MID AND UPPER 20S.
NO, NO, JB is on board for the weekend storm. Well we might as well forget about a big storm.
Can someone give me an idea of when the really cold stuff will be here? My heat just went out and I am needing to know how much time I have before the really cold artic air gets here. I can survive on my back up until it gets really cold.
Not for sure but I think the dates on the cold air was for next weekend! Hopefully you get it fixed soon!
Thanks…I hope I can get it fixed before then!!
am i correct in saying the canadian model is putting out 15 inches of snow thurs-fri? and the new euro has 10 inches!?
Every model this winter has started off with ky in the bulls eye only to shift north or south..So when i step outside and actually see a 12 inch snowfall in a 24 hour period is when i’ll believe it..
I’m with you on that! That has been the case do far this year!
Me too!
After all the flip flopping with models who knows what will happen?
I will say this………A week ago today’s high was supposed to be 37 and partly sunny today based on the NWS forcast…..It’s 40 and partly sunny today……so they were close
euro does not have 10 inches of snow. but taking the ecmwf as is a general 3-6 could occur. way to early to forecast totals. even overall cofidence in a storm needs to increase first. Tuesday will be the first day to latch onto totals once the system enters the upper air network.
To echo my good friend on the dark side, that’s been the case the past 13 years.
GFS: Light snow. Windy
EURO: Moderate snow. Windy
CANADIAN: Moderate to Heavy Snow. Windy
JMA: Moderate to Heavy Snow. Windy
I don’t even see the freezing line on that model…It is much further south than Kentucky…That is all snow you see and LOTS of it…
I agree on both the above comments…It is way to early to get excited. All we know if that there is going to be a storm in the region next Thurs/Fri and it is going to get cold after that.
NWS…Is on to something this early so it will be worth watching…
WOW…Brian Goode a WAVE3 has that on his post…Hopefully these all stay the same and the NAM comes out on Tuesday with the same as the last three. Lets throw the GFS out right now. It is not as good on the southern storms this far out….THINKS SNOW….
I think this is the storm we have all been waiting for i hopeing for at least a foot 🙂 then on to spring time and 70 degree weather. Or another foot of snow hahaha
Kentucky Weather Center: A Quickie Saturday Update
[url=http://absolutoddset.dk/members/atrhincefu1979.aspx%5Dadult singles dating
[/url]
find love welsh singles
newest dating site in uk
100 free casual dating woman louisiana
[url=http://www.lexisnexis.com/Community/Portal/members/morunin1972/default.aspx%5Dfree introvert dating sites
[/url]