Good Tuesday, everyone. Our first system is winding down after putting down 1″-2″ of rain in some areas of the state. Now it’s time for the main show to take center stage in the days leading up to Halloween. This brings a lot of ugly into town before we clean it up on Halloween.

Here’s the latest breakdown of what to expect:

TODAY

  • A few showers remain to start the day
  • We have more dry than anything else into the afternoon hours for many
  • Rain increases across western Kentucky during the afternoon and evening
  • Heavy rains arrive from west to east later tonight

WEDNESDAY

  • Widespread rain and heavy rains spin across the entire state
  • Winds gust up through the day and may top 30mph at times
  • Temps are chilly and may stay in the 40s
  • Heavy rains continue into Wednesday night, especially in the central and east
  • Local high water issues are possible during this time

THURSDAY

  • Gusty showers continue across central and eastern Kentucky
  • Winds are cold behind the departing storm system
  • Gusts to 30mph or a tad higher will be possible
  • Temps stay in the 40s for many

HALLOWEEN

  • A mix of sun and clouds will be noted
  • Can the northwest wind spit out some sprinkles or a shower?
  • Highs are in the 50-55 degree range with 40s for trick-or-treat hours

The Canadian gives us the best flow for a Halloween shower or two, especially in the north and east…

The models are struggling with how to play the troughs diving into the east in the first week of November. The GFS goes from a couple of small troughs to a some DEEP troughs…

After a below normal first 10 days or so to November, the pattern goes toward a back and forth look into the middle of the month. That means we will have to be on the lookout for the second severe weather season trying to throw something our way.

The pattern likely starts to trend back toward a trough in the east to end the month and then may really kick in as we head into December. I’ve made no bones about the fact I think this winter starts early this year with December having a lot of potential.

The EURO Weeklies go into the first week and change of December and are offering up a healthy winter look…

I’ll take that!

Hurricane Melissa continues to break all kinds of records as it nears Jamaica…

cone graphic

That’s catestrophic.

I will have updates as needed today and on my Meteorologist Chris Bailey Facebook Page

Until then, here are your rain and wind tracking tools for the day…

Warnings

Watches

Make it a terrific Tuesday and take care.