Good Sunday everyone and thanks for dropping by the blog. I hope your new year got started off on a better note than the weather year did as our New Year’s Day was pretty ugly across much of the region. The second day of the year looks better, albeit colder. Our attention is quickly turning toward the return of winter for the week ahead as the pattern threatens to head toward an extreme one for much of the January.
As usual… let’s start with the precious weather present.
Today will feature partly sunny skies and much colder temps. There is a small shot at a few flakes in eastern Ky early today. Highs will generally run in the 30s.
The start to the new week looks pretty tame with a seasonal chill in the air. That will lead us into a much more active pattern for the second half of the week that is likely to put some snow on the ground once again.
Southern stream moisture will be streaming eastward from late Wednesday into Thursday and combine with a piece of energy dropping in from the northwest to produce a period of light snot to much of the region. If everything works out according to plan… some accumulating snows would be a good bet by this time. The GFS is coming around to the Canadian Model’s line of thinking…
That would be followed up by an arctic front blasting through here Thursday night into Friday with another chance to put snow on the ground…
That is a heck of a shot of cold air coming in behind that bad boy and would take our highs down to the low 20s for Friday into the weekend. Lows could flirt with single digits. The arctic front would also have a lot of wind with it leading to an even colder feel.
I mentioned the Canadian model earlier and it has been leading the charge on the above scenario playing out later this week. The new run is a great mach to what the GFS is showing…
The pattern is taking on an extreme look across the country for the next several weeks and is one that can lead to some severe arctic shots and a lot of snow. I used the GFS temp forecast last night as an example of the cold possibilities. Let’s use the latest run of the GFS to look at the snowfall possibilities. The model run builds a glacier across the country over the next few weeks…
Just like last night… I am showing that for entertainment purposes only to illustrate the wild pattern that is likely ahead of us for much of this month.
Buckle up… it’s going to be a wild ride!
I will update things later today so check back. Have a great Sunday and take care.
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As always BRING IT ON!!!! SNOW SNOW SNOW!!!
“from the northwest to produce a period of light snot to much of the region”
LOl, well I certainly hope it doesn’t start snotting heavily. 😉 I hate those early morning typos too. 😀
It’s been pretty “snotty” around here for a few weeks. Seems everyone has colds! Weather related?? It’s hard to adjust to all these extreme changes.
We’ve closed schools for floods, flu, wind, floods, ice and snow, it was inevitable that snot was next!
Thanks for the early morning laugh, Chris.
Hoping Louavul has a snotdome to match their snowdome;) And here I was focused on Chris saying “the week will start pretty tame”-I had misread it and thought it said LAME:)
Happy New Year and bring on the snow!!
I suppose this will make the roads extra slippery? Do the salt trucks switch to using a neti pot for this?
Ha Ha! I guess we will need vacuum trucks with huge kleenexes attached if we see much snot from the system!
Seriously, Chris, thanks for the update. So you think our temps will tank? A chance for snoW is always good, but, you can keep the snot! My daughter and I have had our share of that for the past three and a half weeks!
Thanks for the update, and looking forward to thenext one! As KY Dena said, thanks for the early morning chuckle!
I think it would be kinda hard/sticky to sled in snot…could get pretty interesting around here. I don’t think that our state is prepared for snot. This could shut us down for weeks if it stays snotty.
I hear the NWS has issued a Booger-storm warning for our area!
That could get pretty crusty once it starts drying out!
After putting more thawed into this, it snot a joking matter. Let’s just hope it snot going to happen;) I’m just so happy CB nose his forecast and keeps up ready!
That is to funny!
Cold air will be rough, but not seeing any big-snow chances, though (as usual) our northern and eastern areas will have a decent shot at some fringe action.
Looks like we will get the “drive-by” inch or two hits for most areas. That seems to be the pattern shaping up for January: Drive-by snows with very cold shots afterward.
i don’t think that the trucks use a netti pot. i think they retro fit for vicks vapor rub. they lay it on nice and thick on the roads. breaks that snot up real well.
but seriously. how much snow are we talking this week? i am a preschool teacher in Fayette Co. when school is out, i don’t work. which means i have no money to pay bills. its getting tight around here. i want some more snow! just on the weekends! LOL!
Could some wise weather person interpret the Jan. potential snow amount map….what do the different colors mean?
Just to echo Chris comments, Dean Grubbs of http://www.deanreport.blogspot.com is mentioning this January could be much like January 1977 for the eastern two thirds of the US. That year was a la nina year where blocking overwhelmed the pattern and the PV came down into the US. Not so much in the way of snow, but it was cold. I wasn’t born until March 1977 though.
Thanks to Chris and all the witty bloggers for the good laugh this morning. I’ve laughed so hard my sides hurt!
January/February 1977 was a period of extended extreme cold in Lexington. We went about six weeks without getting above freezing. There was a good bit of snow, although no single big snow event. I was a senior in high school, and we were out of school for a month straight, mainly because of the energy crisis. They couldn’t afford to heat the schools. Not a great memory.
When I read that, I knew there would be some good comments to follow that up. GREAT LAUGH this morning! Thanks CHRIS!!!!!!! LET IT SNOT!! LET IT SNOT!! LET IT SNOT!!!
I was a senior in 77 also. I remember there being snow on the ground during that cold spell. I didnt think it was ever going to warm up. I love snow, but the frigid cold I can do with out.
I would like to know also. Does anyone mind explaining the colors?
snot would make for some good sledding….
So you don’t believe in “cycles” Bubba? The way it has been is the way it’s always going to be from now on, right?
Based on what I’m looking at, Lexington had 18.5 inches of S N O W the month of January in 1977…….Is that incorrect?
HAHA!! I received a good laugh out of this blog post! We all make mistakes/typos but this one was too funny! thanks Chris!
Chris I have been repeating ur snow forecast in my barber shop and on FB to the point I have folks calling me to see how much snow and when .I love snow and am excited about ur forecast for Jan. I live in western KY and want to thank u for keeping us informed at the other end of the state also!
OK…one more snot joke, and I quit….if it snots very much, that means its going to be a booger to get out! (thanks to my son in law….or jeers…whichever suits your fancy);)
Sorry, Chris… I will stop now and be good…..
Thanks Chris! Funniest and most useful blog already this year….I mean, where else can you find out how the weather is going to be AND how many boxes of Kleenex you need to stock up on in one place?! I think we can use this for weather code on the blog. Like:
If your nose is runny and you think it’s funny, it’s snot = Old School Snow
If your nose is drippy and it feels sorta slippy, it’s ice = Ice Storm
If your nose is flakey and it’s chapped and achy, it’s frigid = Arctic Blast with a disappointing wraparound 6-7 flakes of snow.
🙂