Good Wednesday, everyone. Talk about a sweeping change in our weather from last week to this one… mother nature certainly given us a breath of fresh air. That breath of fresh air will be reinforced by another cold front later tomorrow. That will set us up with a nice start to the coming weekend. But, summer isn’t done just yet.

Let’s break it down…

Temps today will be in the upper 70s to around 80 for much of central and eastern Kentucky today. The west will be in the 80-85 degree range. Everyone will have a partly sunny sky after the fog burns away.

The next front shows up later Thursday and may bring a small shower or storm threat with it…

GFS

Temps ahead of the front will hit the 80s as winds gust up and clouds increase. Friday’s temps will be cooler and more comfortable in the east than the west. Highs across central and eastern parts of the start will struggle to get to 80 degrees.

Saturday starts cool with readings around 50 and ends with highs in the low 80s.

Summer isn’t done, yet and things look to warm up as we roll into next week. The leading edge of the heat ridge may fire up a few storms on the leading edge of it by Sunday evening…

GFS 2That leads us into a pattern with some summer left in the tank. Warm temps are a good possibility for much of next week.

I promised you an update on the slow start to the Atlantic and here ya go. We have yet to have a hurricane develop in the Atlantic basin and that’s the latest since 2002.  It wasn’t until September 11th that we had a hurricane that season and that’s the latest in modern history.

That following winter turned out to be a pretty rough one here in the bluegrass state and included colder than normal temps for many…

 

History 2002

Other years that did not feature a hurricane through August include: 2001, 1988, 1984 and 1967. All of these seasons went on to produce from 4-9 hurricanes.

It’s not just the Atlantic that’s quiet… the Pacific is running on the slow side, too. Put the two together and you have a tropical season chasing the record for lowest Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE). 1977 holds that modern day record. The winter that followed is legendary…

History 1977

Before you run to stock up on kerosene heaters… I haven’t seen any direct correlation between the hurricane season and the following winters, but that it’s interesting to look at. The only year out of the ones listed above that falls into my early analog camp… 1967. If you check the numbers from that winter… you won’t be disappointed. 😉

Have a great day and take care.