Good Friday to one and all. We’ve made it to the end of the week with a big wind maker rolling through the state. This is the opening act for a much bigger system arriving late Sunday and Monday. This has spring in front of it and full-blown winter behind it.
Let’s start with today’s winds. A Wind Advisory is out for much of Kentucky as gusts reach 40mph to 50mph with some higher gusts. The short-term forecast models suggest several areas go above and beyond 50mph at times…
Temps today are in the upper 50s to near 60 in the north with middle 60s in the south.
Saturday is a fairly calm day with temps generally in the low and mid 60s with a mix of sun and clouds.
Winds on Sunday crank ahead of a major storm system developing in the Plains. Temps will surge into the 70s around here with dry skies taking us until late in the evening as that low finally spins toward the northern Ohio Valley. This will have a blizzard along and north of the track of the low.
Here’s the breakdown of what all this means for us:
- Sunday features a mix of sun and clouds with highs deep into the 70s.
- Winds Sunday and Sunday night crank to 40mph to 50mph as our storm system moves in.
- Gusty showers and storms move from west to east and some of the storms may be strong or severe.
- The prime time for strong storms is late Sunday evening into the wee hours of Monday morning.
- Temps drop 30 degrees in an hour or so as the front passes through any one location.
- With temps going below freezing behind the front, some wet snows will be noted from west to east Sunday night and early Monday.
- Sunday night may feature strong storms and snow separated by less than 100 miles or so.
- Snow showers and flurries will be around on Monday and Monday night.
- Some light slushy accumulations will be possible on the grass and elevated surfaces.
- Temps Monday night and Tuesday mornings will reach the teens.
- Wind chills Tuesday morning hit the single digits.
The forecast models are in good agreement on the evolution of this big system. Here’s the GFS…
The Canadian…
This dramatic drop in wind chills is wild. This animation goes from 8am Monday through 8am Tuesday…
Temps ease after St. Patrick’s Day with a mild surge toward 70 by the end of the week.
While we are dealing with this, a massive heat wave continues to engulf the west. This will spread into the Plains states late next week and weekend and I’m wondering if some areas out there can hit 100 degrees. Yes, 100 degrees in March. Extreme is the new normal.
Another update comes your way later today. Until then, here are the tracking tools to keep you company…

Have a fantastic Friday and take care.

Another boring hit from a lame duck winter. No problem.
We’re looking at hopefully the last Polar Vortex incursion of the year, this one courtesy of the sudden stratospheric warming event 14 days ago. The 300mb jet running parallel to the PV is what gives this front significant punch.
Our weak La Nina is just about spent, and the CPC is predicting ENSO-Neutral through early summer. We then see a transition to El Nino, which has a 50 pct. chance of being a super El Nino. Once again, the PDO will not cooperate, and is expected to stay solidly in negative numbers, which is no surprise since negative is where it’s been since 2019. I agree with a growing number of climatologists, who say that the PDO is no longer a reliable ENSO indicator.
Using the slider, check out the position of the jet stream at 8:00am Minday morning. It shows narrow focus of this Polar Vortex incursion!
https://www.weatherstreet.com/models/gfs-jetstream-wind-forecast.php
High Wind Warnings are in effect for another couple of hours here in the Chicago Metro Area. Wind gusts have been between 50 and 60 MPH since sunrise across our entire area.