Good Thursday, everyone. We have rounds of showers and storms getting ready to rumble back into the region for the next several days. This action brings the possibility of strong storms and more in the way of flooding rains.
The first round of, at least, scattered showers and thunderstorms move into areas of western and northern Kentucky late this afternoon into the evening. The chance is there for a few of them to be strong with a low-end risk for severe storms.
The Storm Prediction Center is highlighting these areas for the low-end severe risk today…
Rounds of showers and storms then roll in from west/northwest to east/southeast Friday through Sunday. Corridors of torrential rains will show up, leading to flash flood concerns. Here’s a look at the area I’m thinking is most at risk for seeing, at least, some flash flooding…
The EURO matches up pretty well with that…
The Weather Prediction Center is monitoring the potential for flooding in our region through early next week. Here’s a daily breakdown of what they’re thinking, starting with today and running through Sunday…
Temps turn seasonably toasty next week as we flip the calendar from June to July. The pattern for our region is one that will feature some clusters of thunderstorms going up each day…
Highs in the upper 80s to low 90s show up during this time.
While the models are showing a massive upper level heat ridge, you have to remember that doesn’t always translate to the surface in the same manner, especially with some storms around. Regardless, this big ridge gets pushed back to the west with the trough coming back into the east into the first 10 days of July…
That’s the retrograding pattern I talked about yesterday.
As always, I leave you with your daily tracking toys…
Current watches
Possible Watch Areas
Make it a great Thursday and take care.
I hope none of this verifies. Bring on the heat.
Jeff, There’s a prediction out this morning that starting on June 28th a nine day string of 90 degree plus temperatures may begin. Now that could be dangerous heat.
Thanks Chris. Maybe we will receive some good rains this time around. Hope the pleasant temperatures come back. Enjoying the cool mornings, and low dew points in the late afternoon. Very unusual Summer weather for our part of the Country.
I’ve recorded just 2.25 inches of rain for the entire month, and a little over 2 inches of that fell on June 2nd, so drought conditions in Warren County continue, and I put very little faith in the GFS/Euro rain forecasts. A big reason is the low soil moisture from lack of rain is causing humidity and dewpoint levels to tank. Yesterday afternoon when we hit 88°F the dewpoint was only 56°F, causing storms approaching the area to dissipate rapidly. Low RH levels cause actual temperatures to trend higher than predicted, and with mid to upper 90’s forecast next week, this trend will likely continue.
I agree 100% Joe. We had the nice pleasant weather and now it’s time to pay.
Here is the link to the summary for the severe weather that occurred late Wednesday afternoon and evening across parts of the Chicago Metro Area, which produced localized wind damage, hail, flooding, and at least one tornado: https://weather.gov/lot/2026_06_24_SevereWeather
Mike, Your area has really seen the stormiest weather. The trough’s are not coming far enough south to give south central Kentucky a good soaking rain. The southeast ridge has really been strong this year keeping descending air in place.
4 earthquakes have happened around global today.