Good evening, folks. We have a few more mild days ahead of us before big changes blow in. These changes bring in a touch of winter for the end of the week and weekend, giving some folks the first flakes of the season.

I’m still riding the GFS Ensembles for the chance for some flakes across central and eastern Kentucky. The possibility is there for some sticking flakes late Friday across the high elevations in far southeastern Kentucky…

The forecast models are jumping around a bit with the storm system in the east, but they have the upper low passing on top of us with some rain and snow showers showing up Friday and Friday night.

This animation from the GFS starts Wednesday afternoon and runs through Saturday…

The GFS is slowing the whole system down, matching what the Canadian and Euro have been suggesting for a while now. Here’s the latest EURO…

The Weather Prediction Center continues to highlight the low-end risk for light accumulations across far southeastern Kentucky…

Confidence is high that a low pressure system will develop across the Ohio Valley Wednesday and then shift off the Mid-Atlantic coast while strengthening Friday. Trends in the model guidance suggest a slightly faster system with less overall precipitation. The threat for at least some impactful high elevation snow remains, but the risk has decreased in lower elevations. The exact placement of the storm — small shifts in the track will greatly change impacts. The amount of snow that may occur, and what impacts will result from this snow. The impacts to coastal regions due to gusty winds and onshore flow. Confidence in storm development remains high, but details will continue to adjust. The threat for low elevation snow has decreased, but high elevation snow and coastal impacts are likely. Keep up to date with the latest at weather.gov

I’ll see you back here tonight with the full update.

Enjoy the evening and take care.