Good Saturday, weather weenies. After getting off to a super duper early start, winter will take a small break over the next several days. Don’t let it spoil you… the old man looks to make a big return by next weekend with more arctic cold and snow chances.

Today’s going to be a great day for shopping or travel across the entire region. Highs will head well into the 40s as winds and high clouds increase. Those clouds will thicken up for Sunday as a few showers try to crank up. Chilly showers look to continue into Monday and early Tuesday as temps come down several degrees.

Those same thermometers will then bounce back by Wednesday and Thursday as the 50s settle in for a few days. That will be ahead of another arctic front blasting southward into the plains and then spreading out across the east. Widespread rain will develop ahead of this boundary by Thursday and Friday.

The models struggle in picking up on the extent and speed of which arctic air moves. This is a pattern the GFS should actually do okay with and may out dual the European Model initially with the timing. Here’s the latest GFS run…

GFS 2

This isn’t a setup that will feature one “big” storm, but a wave of smaller systems rolling northeastward along the stalled out arctic front. That means significant overrunning wintry precipitation may develop from Texas northeastward into our region by next weekend.

The arctic air behind that front is crazy cold for most of the country…

GFS 3

I will have updates as needed. Make it a great day and take care.