Good Thursday, everyone. 2013 is winding down and we are about to flip the Calendar to a brand new year. The weather as we head into 2014 looks to undergo some big changes with arctic cold and snow chances taking center stage.
Let’s start with today and play it forward. Temps will run in the 30s with some morning clouds and afternoon sunshine.
Friday starts cold with low 20s and ends normal with highs of 40-45 for many areas. Saturday will find winds gusting up as milder air blows in. Temps range from the mid to upper 40s with a 50 in the south. Clouds should stream in by the end of the day.
A sneaky southern system is showing up stronger and farther northwest and that means cold showers break out for Sunday. This action is just ahead of the arctic front that dives in here late Sunday into Sunday night…
That setup is very close to being something of a bigger winter impact around here. The models had this southern system well to our south and east with NO impact on our weather. They have really changed their tune over the past few runs and that may be a signal for us to not discount any storm that shows up to our south and east in the coming days.
As it stands… there isn’t any phasing of the streams and we get 30s and rain on Sunday with a rapid temp drop during the afternoon and evening as the arctic front moves in. A band of snow is likely to sweep in behind the front Sunday night into Monday with some accumulation.
Arctic cold temps will be with us on Monday with temps in the low and middle 20s on a gusty northwesterly wind.
A northwesterly wind flow will bring systems our way into New Year’s Eve and Day. Snow chances will be around as we usher in 2014. There is a lot of energy lining up to dive into the region next week…
That pattern is COLD and will produce frequent snow chances. As a matter of fact… there’s a chance for snow each day next week and I will be VERY surprised if snow doesn’t blanket the bluegrass state before all is said and done.
Now… we are going to have to keep a close eye on one of these systems developing into something MUCH bigger during the first week or two of the year. The models have been showing this on and off in recent days and that ducks are on the pond for a major storm to crank up.
I’ll update things later today.
Take care.
As long as no ice or flooding rains I will take whatever 🙂 Key premise being just about anything (and nothing) is better than ice.
Bubba G you may not like it, but if Mother Nature throws ice and rain at us you will have take it too. lol
Bubba love this setup. here comes the Clippers.
blanket of snow across the Commonwealth ranging from 1 to 3 inches
that’s good times here in Kentucky.lol
I do agree, anything is better than ice.
Clipper Mania! Let’s hope of these things overachieves!
There’s nothing on the horizon snow wise for the next 7 to 10 days maybe some flurries or a snow shower or two, these clipper systems are moisture starved :-(.
these Systems have many times over perform.
I’ve seen some 5to6 inch snow falls from them here in Louisville.
not say it’s going to happen they might travel north of ky.
but here in Kentucky this is about the best we can do.
also the snow can be very dry which allows for higher snow accumulations.
again and unfortunately this is about the best we can do here in the snow desert.
sorry I mean snowless desert.
With less than a week to go in December, this month is averaging about 1 degree above normal throughout most of Central KY (I will ignore the Lexington 2.2 above normal). Unless things change, this will be the 3rd December in a row with above normal temps.
It’s funny a few days ago Chris was showing dec 23to jam 5th departure from normal temps …. Now that it’s here it’s normal Now that cold for highs. Today through Sunday 40s to 50s???????
Theme: keep looking down the road–
Actually he showed Dec 23-28 and then Jan.
Hence my point. As long as no ice, something or nothing is fine for me. That is my accepted reality for winter, miss ice and it’s a win 🙂
Yes. If there IS any pattern to be found this winter so far, it is the perpetual model advertisement of coming brutal cold, only to end up being just “slightly below normal” when it gets here.
Mr Bailey, this isn’t a criticism of your actual forecast. I just wonder why the models are so off on this. It is just a matter of curiosity on my part.
Paducah NWS showing no precip for next several days 🙁
thanks, Chris. come on SNOW!
The good news is that there will be no travel troubles as we enjoy our break from school. HOPEFULLY, just as school is about to start back, 2 over-performing clippers will be followed by a significant southern-track winter storm. Who’s with me?
Oh I’m with ya,,,,but reality snowbites ,
Also I understand forecasting is hard
But I say quit ready the models (even the composite models ) and just forecast the trend! I really don’t need to see what’s models are showing it’s the same definition
of insane showing it over and over and getting same results ,,,, oh well kinda of like being a bengals fan. It’s looking real good this year but I know it’s not going to happen!
Enjoy the rest of your holidays
Been saying it for years, CB should turn the models off and use the Force!
I hope this doesn’t set in for January! DRY COLD, this could be a almost snowless January with tons of cold air but nothing to work with, this separation of good moisture and cold continues in KY like a bad marriage, hopefully these two get some counseling soon and get back together??
Bring it! 😉 Have a great Thursday, everyone!