Good Tuesday everyone and thanks for stopping by the blog for your weather needs. Fall is definitely here in a big way as many areas failed to get to the 60 degree mark for highs Monday. This coming just a few days after temps were into the low and mid 90s… you have to love Kentucky weather! If that’s not cool enough for you… the threat for an early season frost looms for the weekend and early next week.

How about the rain? Well… one thing is for sure… rain hates central Kentucky! The models had been spitting out quite a bit of rain for most of Kentucky for a few days now and that just did not pan out for central and western Kentucky. We highlighted the fact that the heaviest rains would fall in the east… but the Monday rainfall map sums just how much rain hates central parts of the state…

While parts of eastern Kentucky picked up an inch or better of rain… the parched regions of central and western Kentucky couldn’t buy a drop.

The low pressure bringing the rains to the region will be pulling away today and it will take the rains with it. The best threat for showers will come during the first half of the day and will be mainly across the east… again. You can track the rains… or lackthereof here…

Today will be a windy day as skies become partly sunny by the afternoon hours. Highs will range from the low and mid 60s in the east to the middle 70s across western Kentucky.

Wednesday looks like a gorgeous day as highs return to the 70s under mainly sunny skies. This looks to be the pick day of the weather week.

What to do about Thursday? We see a decent model battle taking shape with the eventual track of a likely tropical system moving from the Caribbean north toward Florida then into the Carolinas. If this comes far enough west… it will bring rains into the eastern half of the state. You can see how the smallest nudge west has an impact on the various models…

We will have to see how that one plays out  as just the slightest track toward the west would make a big difference in the weather around here for Thursday. Wow… are we already talking about the track of the low?

Friday will see much colder air begin to work into the eastern half of the country. Temps will come down with highs back into the 60s as northerly winds crank up. It is once into the weekend that the cold air really takes hold of the region. You can see that here on the European Model..

Daytime highs in the low 60s from Saturday through Monday are a good possibility. Lows by Sunday and Monday will settle toward the 30s for the first time this season and we could be looking at an early season frost. That is not a given right now… but to see that much cold air filtering in from Canada… one has to mention it as a possibility.

The trough across the eastern half of the country looks to continue into the first week of October with brief mild ups ahead of fronts that bring more chilly air. This is really an amazing flip in the overall weather pattern across North America!

Have a great Tuesday and take care.