Good Tuesday afternoon all. I wanted to drop in for a quickie update on the potential for what is left of Tropical Depression (and likely Nicole) to bring some rain our way later this week. TD 16 is down in the Caribbean right now and will cross over Cuba and move across Florida then toward the Carolinas by Thursday. From there… we get some disagreement on how far inland the storm tracks as it lifts northward.
Here is a look at our depression…
It is not the best organized system and is unlikely to become a hurricane.. but will still pack a heck of a punch along its path. Ahhh… the path of this storm. Well… it is set in stone as it crosses Florida then gets muddled as it moves into the Carolinas. The latest runs of the NAM and GFS really show this very well. Take a look at the rain totals from Wednesday through early Friday…
The NAM is an outlier right now… but some of the old Canadian model runs showed something similar. The GFS has slowly been coming west with the storm track and now brings rain into eastern Kentucky. We will see how this plays out as an further correction west by the models would mean some big rains around here. Given our recent track record on rain… we will believe it when we see it. 
Take care.
gonna be a long fall/winter!! its only September and we’re already spazin over storm tracks!!..UGH!!…we better stock up on Advil now….LOL…
I so hope the NAM is right! I know Eastern and Southern Kentucky doesn’t need anymore rain but Central Kentucky does.
Jake
Have not mowed my yard since August 17th. It will be October before I mow again, if I mow again this year. Very dry around woodford/anderson line.
Do u notice that after all these years of tracking storms on this blog and in general, how central KY (Lexington) is always on the “edge”, whether it’s north/south/east/or west……NOT ALWAYS, but 90 percent of the time…..I didn’t notice this at all when I first moved here in 1996. It always rained when they said it was going to and I remember it seemed like everything over performed….Patterns I guess.
And this one belongs to the Reds! Way to go boys. Looking forward to the playoffs now.
Now this is what I like…cool weather going into October and the Big Red Machine rolling into the playoffs!!