Good Sunday everyone. We are putting the wraps on a wow of a weekend across the bluegrass state of Kentucky. Sunny skies and afternoon temps in the upper 70s to low 80s are combining to make this the best weather weekend of the entire year. Soak it up… a change to much cooler is ahead of us this week.
Today is shaping up to be just like the past few and the forecast goes without saying.
Monday will bring us a slightly different picture as you may actually find a few clouds in the sky. Highs should continue to run in the 70s.
The patter we are in and have been in for the past several days is about to break down. Here is how the air upstairs looks right now…
The big blocking high pressure in the mid atlantic states has been a fixture since early last week. The bully on the block is about to get taken down by the system down across Florida. This system may never become a classified tropical system, but it has a ton of tropical juice with it.
This will work northward toward the Carolinas from Tuesday into Wednesday and should be able to throw some clouds and scattered showers into the region. The best threat for rains from this will be across the east. Highs will come way down from where we are today.
That storm will really ramp up as rides into New England and will finally allow the trough out west to progress eastward. The mess up the east coast and the deepening trough working in will get together to carve out a substantial dip in the jet stream across the east by late week into the weekend.
This looks like another case of a cutoff low spinning in the eastern part of the country. Take a look at what the GFS does with this thing…
That setup would mean some soaking rains for everyone on Thursday as the cool air blasts in from the northwest. Highs by the end of the week into the start of the weekend may struggle to get past 60 in many areas.
With another closed off upper level low… it further strengthens my thoughts on these cutoff lows sending a signal as to what may be coming this winter. There has been one analog year I’ve been looking at for a few months now and have talked about how it had a similar amount of fall cutoff lows. It had a similar Pacific Ocean signal as well and that is making me really take note of it. Why am I not telling you the year? If I did, you may never look at Thanksgiving weather the same. 
Have a great Sunday and take care.
Analog year? Thanksgiving? Are you talking about 1950?
Chris!
UGH………U left the year out. LOL : D
I think 1950/51 winter in Lexington was a NASTY NASTY one
My money is on season of 1950/1951; that year Nashville received over 7″ of snow on Thanksgiving day, followed in January by what all other Winter Storms continue to be judged by, yes, that season was about the worst, in Nashville history, I am sure it worse north of here.
The Winter Season of ’50-’51 was historic in Nashville History; it featured the following events:
November 24 1950- Nashville records greatest one-day snowfall for November, measuring 7.2″. this was Thanksgiving Day alot of people were stranded at “grandma’s”
January 28 1951- A strong cold front moves through Nashville shortly after 1:00 p.m., causing temperatures to fall during the afternoon and evening, and ushering in one of the most remarkable weather events in Nashville’s history.
January 29 1951- The worst ice storm in Nashville’s history begins, causing a complete stalemate of transportation in Nashville for two days. Frozen precipitation starts during the evening, with 1.6″ of snow and ice accumulating by midnight.
January 31 1951- Five inches of snow and ice fall, much of it during the evening, producing a water equivalent of 3.83″. This is the greatest one-day precipitation event for January in Nashville’s history.
February 1 1951- Precipitation continues at Nashville through the morning, most of it as snow, and finally ends around noon. An additional 5.2″ are measured, leaving the city buried under 8″ of ice and snow.
February 2 1951- Temperature at Nashville drops to -13, tying the record low for the month.
The Storm of ’51 is still the storm that all other Winter Storms in Nashville are measured by.
Source: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ohx/?n=calendar
The season of 1950 – 1951 is one of a handle full of years that Nashville has had measureable snow from November to April
For the season (jul-jun) 1950/51, from what I’ve looked up, Lexington had 41.7 inches of snow that season. Not sure if there were any ice storms in addition to that.
1976-77.
ok so nashville had winter that yr what did 1950-51 hold for the kyweathercenter community? thats what i’m interested in
So is this the right year?
The Great Appalachian Storm aka The Thanksgiving Storm of November 1950 was a large extratropical cyclone which moved through the Eastern United States, causing significant winds, heavy rains east of the Appalachians, and blizzard conditions along the western slopes of the mountain chain. Power was out to more than 1,000,000 customers during this event. In all, the storm impacted 22 states, killing 353, and creating US$66.7 million in damage (1950 dollars).[2] At the time, U.S. insurance companies paid more money out to their policy holders for damage resulting from this cyclone than for any other previous storm or hurricane.
Interesting, thanks for that additional write-up; it has been several years since the region as a whole has been affected so severily by a Winter Storm