Good afternoon, folks. It’s a cloudy and cold day for much of the region, as our cold December rolls on. A few flurry or two will also be spotted from time to time, but it’s the active pattern ahead getting all the attention.
Let’s skip ahead to later this weekend and the chance for rain moving in. Chilly showers will move across the state from southwest to northeast on Sunday…
That’s some pretty light stuff, with temps in the upper 30s and low 40s.
Another shower maker then moves in from the same direction by Tuesday. This one will be able to tap some colder air behind it…
From there, we continue to see pattern setting up a battleground of wintry precipitation across our region as we head into the Christmas weekend. The operational models will continue to go back and forth on exactly where this sets up. Don’t get caught up in any one model showing snow, ice or rain for our region. Just don’t. All three modes of precipitation are VERY possible around here.
Here’s an animation of the GFS from late next week through the following week. It’s already much different with the initial system moving in on Friday of next week, but continues to indicate the Christmas mess with another system behind it…
The Canadian Model doesn’t go out as far as the GFS and only gets to Christmas Eve morning. It does show a similar evolution but with a much colder look…
You can clearly see how both models have a similar idea, but differ on placement and the depth of the cold air. True arctic, like what is forecast to invade the country, often presses farther south and east of what the models suggest. In addition, this has not been year or fall of a strong southeast ridge. Trends, folks.
The CFS 5 day temperature anomalies in Celsius look similar to my map from earlier this week…
I will see you guys for another update this evening. Make it a good one and take care.
Looks wet for sure. White? Not sold on that yet.
Pre-treating with salt will cover the white in white Christmas this year…
I kid…I kid…
ok not really …
Rain, Rain, and ummm…..rain lol I truly believe we live under a dome here in the Huntington / Ashland / Ironton area. Thanks Chris for keeping us posted!
Ruh roh! Grab some batteries, blankets, Oreo’s (mint thins thank you) and a good book. We can place bets if the options for frozen stuff is snow or ice. Starting see a lot of pink in the outlook models. They may stink with snow, but they are usually pretty on the spot with ice.
Way too early to speculate what might happen if anything happens. But i’ll take what Chris thoughts are what might happen.
One thing that is for sure we are in a weak ENSO La nina at the present, a given. What that means for our winter this year and next year will be very difficult to predict, as ENSO Neutral is expected to phase in latter. Very very difficult climate situation yet to be solved.
I’m gonna go ahead and call winter a bust this year.
It’s early but I tend to agree. About a week ago the forecasts were showing cold waves coming through Christmas. With Clippers this week. The Clippers were right they just mostly missed us to the North. Now my local forecasts in the tri-state have 50’s for high temps next Sunday thru Wednesday. I think that might actually be above normal.
Pathetic to give up so soon.
Why donβt you go ahead and call Summer a bust in late May. We are still in fall, and yet the winter is a bust??? Thar makes about as much sense as putting sour milk into the refrigerator and two hours later acting like itβs fresh again.
Another winter for central Ky that is setting up to bring precipitation in the form of rain, when we do get precep…fine with me.
Not even first day of winter yet some people given up on winter already. WOW!!!!
Not giving up, don’t want it haha. However, it is setting up like most winters do round here. Potential, potential, potential couple weeks out, then ohhhhhhh, so close. It’s like Ky is the opposite of the sweet part of the bat, for all you baseball fans
CHEESH! Looks like the Grinch is active with some folks. You take the Grinch and I will take Frosty the Snowman!
Most.negative people in the world man…
Don’t know why everyone is giving up..Today’s models trended in our favor..Might change tomorrow but a good day over all if you follow the models..
I
Will
Always
Have
Hope
π
π
π
Merry Christmas!!!!