Good Friday everyone and welcome to the weekend. It’s what we all work for during the week and our weekend weather is starting off on a very fine note. I don’t think too many people will be complaining about the increase in the comfy factor as we lower our temps and humidity levels. 
Don’t get too used to it as the muggies will return later in the weekend. Let’s break it all down with the headlines…
– Highs today will range from the low and mid 80s in the east while the west sees mid to upper 80s. The big difference will be the lower humidity levels.
– In looking at the model comparisons of late… the Nam appears to be much more in tune with reality as the GFS has been coming in way too hot. We are seeing this battle again today as the GFS shows low and mid 90s for everyone while the NAM is in the 80s.
– The heat and humidity will surge back in this weekend as we make another run at 90 Saturday and Sunday. The humidity levels increase too so enjoy today. 
– The threat for scattered storms will return by later Sunday before we go into a much more favorable pattern for storms early next week. You can see that here on the GFS…
Monday
– That wet early week pattern will eventually lead to cooler temps by the middle of next week that may try to carry us closer to the 4th of July weekend. Wow… is already 4th of July?
– The tropics will likely come to life in the coming days as a system down in the Caribbean heads toward the Yucatan Peninsula this weekend. This may get a name before it does so… but would then diminish over land before heading into the Gulf of Mexico early next week. Once there… it could really crank up. Some of the latest computer models are aimed more toward Texas and Mexico… but we are very early in the game. Here is a look at the latest from the National Hurricane Center…
Have a great Friday and take care.
Enjoying the break from the humidity today!! We’ve had a lot of cloud cover today in Laurel Co and that’s kept us from hitting 80* so far. Definitely a nice change of pace, and one that I don’t expect to stick around long…
Recon is currently on it’s way to investigate 93L so we should start getting some more detailed information on what’s going on there soon. It will be rough for it to survive the Yucatan, but not entirely impossible…depends on how quickly it is able to strengthen before it does so. Right now, it does seem the models believe a ridge will set up to keep this from being a player for anywhere other than the TX/Mexico border, but as you said, Chris, we’re still early in the game. Can’t rule anything out when we’re still talking at least a good 5 days out…We all should know that rule very well after the past few winters. 😉
That you Chris!
It’s going to be interesting indeed to see what happens in the gulf.
T.D. 1 will probably be Hurricane Alex by morning, if not tonight. It’s going to have to traverse the Yucatan, but the stronger it is at that point, the bigger the concern once it moves out over the Bay of Campeche. Once there, it needs to hook into the west coast of Florida. If it heads towards LA or TX, we are talking about worst case scenario for the oil.
Well, I posted my take on what will be Alex by tomorrow, but I was moderated. Short version, root for a west coast FLA landfall. Anything west of that will be ugly.
And why. Why, are the Reds wearing green caps tonight?
M-erated repeatedly. Why are the Reds wearing green caps tonight?
Root for what will be Alex soon to head for west coast fla. Any landfall in tx or la will be bad news. Short version.