Good Friday, folks. The gorgeous, boring weather rolls on into the start of the weekend. This nice stretch of calm has allowed your friendly weatherdude to concentrate a lot on the coming weeks and months. What I’m finding is very, very interesting for winter weather lovers.

I will talk more about winter in the coming days, but today I want to focus more on early October. This is when we start to see some real changes showing up in the overall pattern across North America.

After a few showers roll through late Sunday and Monday (highest chances south and east), October looks to come in on a windy and warm note here in Kentucky. That tries to change in a hurry thanks to a powerhouse of a cold front that pushes in by the end of next week. The European Model has a classic fall front…

Euro

The GFS says “I see it too”…

GFSThat could be a big rain and wind maker as it rolls through here and would introduce a pretty good chill to the region. I’m still thinking that model is rushing things by a few days, but we shall see.

The European Ensembles continue to unload a couple of deep troughs into the second week of the month…

Euro 2I will talk some winter over the weekend so check back.

Have a great Friday and take care.