Good Thursday everyone. We are entering into a rather active period of weather that will carry us into the coming weekend. This means a big time increase in showers and thunderstorms from Friday through Sunday and will lead to the threat for severe weather and heavy rains.

Some shower action may try to break out today… especially across the west and north as a weak boundary settles in. If anything does go up… you can track it here…

That same boundary will work back to the north as a warm front on Friday. Showers and some thunderstorms will be draped along this warm front. This will be a temp forecasting nightmare as we will likely get a good gradient setting up. Areas getting in on the bulk of the showers and storms may see 50s while those south of the warm front will try to spike toward the low 70s.

The plains storm will really crank up late Friday into Saturday. Warm, moist and unstable air will surge in here Saturday leading to scattered thunderstorms. A huge complex of storms will develop well to our southwest and come racing northeast toward our part of the world. You can see that nicely here on the GFS..

Saturday Afternoon

Saturday Evening

The stage is being set for a potentially significant severe weather outbreak across the Mississippi River Valley into the Ohio Valley on Saturday. Does that mean it will include us? It does not… but the chance is certainly there. Here is the area I am outlining for the possibility for severe weather Saturday into Saturday night…

I will fine tune that outlook as we get closer to the weekend. Needless to say… the potential is there for some nasty thunderstorms this weekend and that will be the focus of the blog in the coming days.

Have a great Thursday and take care.