Good Wednesday everyone. Many of my fellow weather weenies have been rather bored with the pattern over the past few months and have been hoping for somethingĀ a little more active. It appears that hope is about to pay off as rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be with us for the weekend. The potential for some strong storms and heavy rainfall could be in the cards.
Let’s start with today as it is likely to be the prettiest day we see for a while. Highs will range from 65-70 under partly sunny skies with a nice little breeze blowing.
Thursday should feature similar temps… but I am leaning more and more toward talking up the chance for a scattered shower or thundershower. Keep that in mind. 
The main action comes from Friday through Sunday as a big storm cranks up across the plains states. This is likely to bring some big time severe weather to much of the plains states toward the Ohio Valley. It all starts Friday as a warm front lifts northward across the region. Showers and thunderstorms will increase along this front with the individual storms rolling from nothwest to southeast along the boundary. This shows up nicely on the GFS…
Friday Evening
Warm, moist and unstable air will be suging in from the southwest. Rounds of showers and storms should really crank up on Saturday…
GFS Saturday Afternoon
Saturday Night
This type of a setup can bring repeat heavy rain producing thunderstorms to the region. These can work together to put down a whole lot of rainfall to some areas. Check out the axis of heavy rain showing up on the GFS from Friday through Sunday…
Could we go from getting almost no rain for a month to getting too much over the span of one weekend? It is certainly something for us to keep a close watch on. Something else that is grabbing my attention is the threat for strong or severe thunderstorms. The position of the low on the European Model certainly suggests this to be a possibility…
European Sunday Morning
Like I said… the weekend is looking more and more like it could be pretty active around here. This may take care of our weather “boredorm” if it all works out as we may have plenty to talk about and track. That is certainly what we will be doing here on the blog over the coming days.
Have a great Wednesday and take care.
Thanks Chris for all three of the blog entry in my mail box! Don’t you just love technology! LOL! I’m kinda ready for a rainy day weekend!
Wow looks like my kind of weekend accept that this weekend is the Annual Mountain Mushroom Festival in Irvine. But it wouldnt be the first time in 5 years the Festival gets blown away.
You should see my lawn! We mowed it too closely (scalped it) and it looks terrible! I hope we get a couple of inches of rain.
Good morning Chris, and everyone. We got a pretty good rain here yesterday. About 4/10 of an inch at my house. I am ot complaining. But we woke up with a VERY dense fog this morning. Starting to lift a little now, but still foggy. I hope it goes away and we get some sun today and tomorrow before the monsoon weekend sets in!
(No, I am not complaining. We need the rain.) Just may have to change a few plans…have a GREAT Wednesday, everyone!
Wow, If the track of this thing stays pretty still, I could recieve a good 3″ according to this thing… Not to mention the included larger storms and possible training areas, this could turn out to be quite the drencher for East KY! I, personally cannot wait. I love the good weather but spring is for severe weather!!!
Not this weekend! Drats, the one weekend that I look forward to all year is this one. I get to leave the kids home with my husband and have a whole day to myself at the Three Day Event at the Horse Park. I didn’t get to go last year, and now after all this pretty weather, it chooses to rain and storm on this weekend, boo-hoo. I know we need the rain, but Chris, couldn’t you put a hold on it for about 3 more days?
Anytime we have a dry spell, the rain always seems to come back with a roar. (all at once). Why can’t mother nature just spread it out evenly.. oh well..
Yeah, what terrible timing for Rolex. I hope everyone stays safe. Cross country is tough enough in nice weather.
So, I guess the 8am soccer game will be cancelled???? š
Probably the 8 am game and hopefully my youngest’s 12PM game, and my oldest 1: and 2:30 game, i am ready for the rain just to have time at home.
I’m right there with you. I love the sports but, it would be nice to have one day to sleep in!
Wow such a nice post..thanks