Good evening everyone and thanks for all you have done this week. We are wrapping up one heck of a weather day out there and I have to tell you… your friendly weatherdude was digging it. I wanted to drop by for some quick points about where this pattern is going.

1. Watch for black ice tonight! Temps will drop into the upper teens and low 20s which will cause some of that melted snow, otherwise known as water, to freeze up on area roads.

2. Saturday and Sunday look to feature similar temps to today with 40s now likely. There is the chance for a light shower or two.

3. The storm moving in for Monday will be wet and not white around here… at least not initially. Rain is likely from Sunday night into Monday.

4. The low will track into the Ohio Valley Monday and weaken out before giving way to another low across the east coast. Colder air will move in for Monday night and Tuesday with snow showers becoming likely. This can bring some light accumulations.

5. The track of this Monday system may actually be a good thing for snow lovers. Say what? This sets up the next storm threat to perhaps have a greater impact on the region by Wednesday and Thursday of next week. This is the threat I talked about with my last update and the models are now all going crazy with something in this time frame. Check out the 18z GFS…

Wednesday Afternoon


Wednesday Night


Thursday Morning


Thursday Evening


Look at what a potent closed low showing up in the upper levels of the atmosphere…



Wow… that is one heck of a storm and setup and the pattern is VERY ripe for something like that to happen. As a matter of fact… that “ripe” pattern is likely into the first few weeks of March.

Anyone telling you that winter is over needs to look again before they get owned my old man winter!

I will have another update tonight so check back. Take care.