Good Friday everyone and welcome to the weekend. If you are new to the blog you need to learn that we start the weekends a little earlier than the rest of the world. I mean… where is the fun of calling today the last day of the work week? 
Regardless… today is going to turn out to be a pretty good weather day overall as the sun makes a return to all areas.
While we enjoy some nice weather today… we have our eyes on the next storm that will be impacting the region from Sunday through Tuesday. The details still have to be ironed out as it is all about that little thing called the track of the low.
This system will be developing this weekend across the southern plains and rolling toward the Ohio and Tennessee Valley areas by Monday. Ahead of this storm… we have a very weak little system that slide through here Saturday with an increase in clouds and perhaps a rain or snow shower. Not a big deal. Highs will range in the upper 30s to near 40 with the south and west going well into the 40s.
Our storm will begin to throw some overrunning moisture in here for the day on Sunday and this will likely be in liquid form. It can start out as a mix in some areas.. especially in the north where temps will be colder. The low will track toward us on Monday and the models still cannot come together on an exact track. The European is the most threatening as far as snow goes around here as it takes the low across the Ky/Tn border before turning it up the eastern slopes of the Appalachian Mountains. Even with this track… most of the daytime hours Monday would feature rain with a rapid change to snow from west to east during the afternoon and evening hours. You can see the storm track here…
Monday Evening
Tuesday Evening
That run would actually imply a pretty good snow hit for central and western Kentucky Monday afternoon and evening and for eastern parts of the state by Monday night and Tuesday morning. Again… I am not saying the model is right… just telling you what it is suggesting. 
That is certainly a possible option.
The Canadian Model isn’t too dissimilar but it takes the low farther north toward southern Ohio producing mostly rain for everyone with a switch to snow Monday evening into Tuesday as cold air moves back in…
Monday Evening Tuesday Evening
We still have options on the table that have to be narrowed down and that is exactly what we will be doing this weekend so make sure you check back.
Just an FYI… the overall pattern is ripe for a major storm by the end of next week into the first week of March across the eastern half of the country.
Since it’s Friday… crank it up and have some fun…
I will have updates through the weekend so make sure you check back. Until then… keep banging on those drums because work is way overrated!
Take care.
Boyle County- 20* at this early hour. Most of the snow is gone except for shaded and high drift areas.
Thoughts http://stormtracker.yolasite.com/
BACK IN BLACK!!!
WOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!! ole CB getting fired up, I think OLD SCHOOL a coming before 2 week in march, I can feeel it!!!!
now today song is by the POSSUM FINALLY FRIDAY!! got my motor running for a WILD WEEKEND!!
NAM and GFS are finally locking on to this weekend’s storm. Freezing rain isn’t even a possibility for anyone now. Thunderstorms will be more likely than snow. To me, it will actually be a very welcomed change of pace! Plus…we get a nice Saturday finally! And maybe the first half of Sunday too.
Yeah, I know what you mean. It was SUNNY all day here yesterday and boy did it feel nice!!! I actually got some outside work done… Today its suppose to be sunny and 46* ,tomorrow sunny/52*!!!! a VERY WELCOME CHANGE OF PACE..For me anyways…:)
Yeah I saw that when I looked at the gfs snow accum map and saw that all the accumulating snows had moved way up north! So happy no freezing rain for nky!
It seems to me that chirs is holding on tight to winter/cold/snow, but I have a feelin that its going to turn a little warmer and rain , maybe outside chance of a late winter wet snow (3-4 inches) late next week, but we all no that Sun-Tuesday it will be a cold rain, snow flurries on the back end … This low is not in CKY Favor. Easy forcast in my book..
i don’t know about yo all, but i’m ready for severe weather season!!!!!!
Thanks, Chris.:) Maybe I can let my treadmill rest for a few mornings and get outside. It sounds like a good idea since you’re already talking about the possibility of another big one at the end of next week.
NAM surface chart takes us well above freezing on Sunday…and then on Monday the freezing line is all the way up to the Great Lakes! YAY!
I’m starting to smell severe t-storm season…getting closer… 😉
i can already smell the air of the spring mornings!!!!!!!!!! SEVERE WEATHER!!!!!!!!!!!
I for one sure DO NOT look forward to severe storms!
Finally cleared out last night and the temp here tanked. It was 15.5 at 7:15 A.M. on the Anderson/Mercer line, and that was with most of the snowpack gone.
If its not going to snow, bring on warmer temps. I’m hoping to crack 40 today
I know. After you live here for decades, you get to the point where you can just sense it. You can walk outside on a Spring morning and you can just sense that something wild is going to happen later that day. Ahh…it’s in the air.
We are only a little over two weeks away from the statewide tornado test drill!!
Thanks for the update, Chris. I am thoroughly enjoying the sunshine here. Looks like we are not in line to get much out of the next system, whichever way it goes. But, I will leave it up to you to work out the details…
As usual, will be checking in frequently for your updates. Have a GREAT Friday, everyone!
would not be suprised if a few thunderstorms worked in, if it clears out like the 12z runs have southern ky will be well into the 50’s sunday afternoon.
WXman.. You may have to head south for the tstorms on this event, but looks like we get a boring 45 degree rain.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html
I’ll take that boring rain to wash out all the nasty salt.
Chirs wrote: “Just an FYI… the overall pattern is ripe for a major storm by the end of next week into the first week of March across the eastern half of the country”–My take is that it won’t be a snowstorm–at least not in CKY.
ahhh…sunshine and 41* feels almost spring like…:)
now we need a good rain to wash the dusty salt off the roads…
Is anyone else having probs with YOUTUBE? One vid will play, the next wont, etc.
I tried it, seems to be working good on this end. You may want to do a disk cleanup and defrag, sometimes that will help clear out some of the overload on your temporary internet folder. Another suggestion if you have a router, you may want to try resetting it. Hope that helps.
sunshine and 43 in Knox.Hope those aren’t snow drums that dude is banging on.LOL
You can tell most of the teachers are back to work today with only 20 comments since 3:00am. Or else everybody is chatting somewhere else about Tigers press conference
has anybody seen the 12z euro, Is it still forecast to track thru tn & sou. ky.
I guess everybody is out enjoying the sunshine, except me & my family because we all have a sinus cold. 🙁
I thought Sammy Kershaw sang that song.
WHAT A NICE DAY TO BE OUT AND ABOUT…AND I’M FRIGGIN STUCK AT WORK 🙁
43 HERE IN SW LEX. SNOW MELTING FAST! IM READY FOR SPRING! I WANT TO GET SOME LANDSCAPING DONE! WHAT IS THE TYPICAL SAFE DATE AROUND HERE FOR PLANTING FROST-SENSITIVE PLANTS? FOR SOME REASON MAY 11TH IS STICKING IN MY HEAD 🙂
i know exactly what you mean. i can just feel this is going to be a HUGE severe weather season!!!!!!!!!!!! bring it on!!!!!
i have always heard Derby Day.
I have heard Mothers Day….but I usually am in such a hurry I never wait til then. I am so EXCITED for Spring!! I hope the snow and cold is DONE!!
After the derby.
Ok folks, some of you are jumping the gun with all this spring talk! I like spring to but this has not been a normal mild winter around here, average snowfall for March in Frankfort KY is about 2 or 3 inches. So I think we will still get atleast that amount the way this winter has gone. 25in in Frankfort so far. Sweet 🙂
Sigh… depressed is honestly how I feel about the possibility of spring returning so soon. I do not like the snow melting, and seeing the brown grass again. I do like Spring, and the blossoms it brings. Quite a refreshing feeling… but the beauty that God gives us with a blanket of snow… sigh again.
Storms of the thunder/lightning/tornado variety scare me to pieces, so that is one reason that the storm I prefer comes in the snow variety.
An outdoor recess with a temperature of 47 on Monday would be within possibility, but not with rain. Go figure. :/ Monday, Monday…not my fun day…
Sammy sang it, but so did Jones, as well as Earl Thomas Conley. They used to play a collaboration of all 3 on WAMZ every Friday @ 5pm. Don’t know if they still do or not?!:)
I always heard the weekend after the Derby.
My Grandpa always waited until the week after Derby Day to plant the garden, and we NEVER FAILED to have the BEST batch of veggies!:) Far as plants for landscaping, I would wait one week after that. My yard looks like a Tropical jungle, even after planting hostas, vines,verbatae,grafted bushes/trees, perennials,etc..they are all STILL thriving even after all the Ice Storms we here in Nelson Co. have gotten!:) Only thing we’ve lost is “Burning Bushes”-neighbors come by and yank ’em up…lol! We don’t have a one left…I hate living in town…LOL!;)
You’re on the right track!:)
Stuck in moderation? Will I ever see what I posted about my depression with an early spring arrival? Most of the time when mine goes to moderation it shows up within a short time. Just curious to see if this one shows up…
The one blessing of being from Kentucky is we get to enjoy all four seasons. A lot of people don’t. When I was stationed in Germany for two years, where I was located was basically one big giant spring/fall season. Literally.
People in Miami have hot and not so hot. People in mid to north Alaska have cold and extreme cold most of the time.
I’m looking forward to spring. But I feel one more snow and a ice chance for Lexington and Central Kentucky left.
Cats have a really tough one tomorrow. We get a little pay back for the last few trips to Nashville…..
Well, yes it did. :/ Is there any hope that my previous post will show up?