Good evening, y’all. We’re now into the nowcasting part of this storm and that means we watch the current conditions and the very short range computer models. These runs continue to be very enthusiastic with the change from rain to snow and a couple of moderate to heavy snow bands setting up.
The RAP shows times the transition like this…
The model shows the snow line crashing in quickly from the west overnight. It also suggests a period of sleet on the transition line.
It’s my experience with this model that it usually underplays the snowfall forecast a bit. That’s why it got my attention with the numbers it’s showing across the bluegrass region through 10am…
You can see the first heavy snow band riding the Ohio River, with that secondary band of heavy snow developing across the bluegrass region. That model is actually showing 2″-4″ for the region through 10am. Interesting to see and something for us to watch.
Speaking of watching… temps will continue to quickly drop across the west and north over the next several hours. Track away…
Current temperatures
Take care.
Awesome update! You da’ man, Chris Bailey.
love the Trend
Nowcasting is the only way to keep from getting your feelings hurt
Chris, thank you for your continuing dedication to keep us on top of what is coming. You are my favorite friendly neighborhood weather dude.
Hope the cold air moves in quicker than expected. Ohio River seems to be the fence. Imagine that…Thanks for the update Chris.
Anyone care to take a stab at my commute in tomorrow morning!?! I am leaving the Masterson Station area of Lexington, headed to the UK campus?!? Normal departure time of 0700?
Oh yeah… on two wheels….
Likely snowing hard!
Woooohoooo! Thank you kindly Sir Bailey!
i think its weird how its cold enough to snow for a few days , with no precip around ….now that the precip moves this way it warms just enough to rain…not snow
Systems that come in from the southwest bring the most moisture, but also bring the warm air with it. Nature of the beast I suppose.
one of Central Kentuckys oldest meteorologgical laws of nature,
32 degree=Dry 33 degrees =wet
I’ve seen systems like this in the past. More than likely, anything south of Frankfort will experience nothing but an all rain event.
There should be plenty of ice once all this rain freezes.
Aren’t the sites forecasting a flash freeze on Tuesday.
Is the southern stream going to rob us of moisture? I see a lot of moisture over Dixie.
Temperature in Garrard has actually gone up about a degree since Noon. Feels like a cold rain to me……
Chris do you still think there is a chance for snow love in the east tommorow? Thank you
He has stated that he sees no changes in his thinking. Should have nice wrap around moisture for much of the state tomorrow. Especially the east.
Thank you