Good Friday afternoon everyone. My confidence in a significant snowstorm impacting the state from Sunday into Monday is increasing. I am liking the low taking a path along the Kentucky Tennessee border as it scoots eastward. The system is trending a little stronger on each run as well.
The GFS continues to show a significant swath of heavy snows setting up across much of the state. Take a look at the latest numbers…
Light snows will break out ahead of the system from west to east Sunday with the heaviest snows flying Sunday night through Monday as snow ratios increase. Winds may gust up as well creating some blowing and drifting snows.
I want to emphasize that the tracks of these Arctic Lows are tough to really nail down until within 24 hours of the event. I hope to have a first call map out tonight at some point.
Before the storm… we have some snow showers and flurries that will be possible tonight and Saturday and this may lay down some minor accumulations in a few spots.
More updates coming later today so check back. Take care.
I like that snow map as is. bit I know Versailles will be left out of the big stuff! I’ll take it day by day and love whatever we get!
oooo, i hope these totals pan out…i’m in the spot for a thumper, 8″ or more….can’t wait for cb’s first call, we’ll kinda get an idea of what to expect..:)
Wow……Looking pretty good for central ky…..keeping my fingers crossed that this comes to fruition!
Thanks Chris for the update.
GFS closer look, hopefully that the DOME buster isn’t just a picture! lol 😉
http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=JKL
😛
Looks as if eastern Kentucky may be in for it again. Guess I’ll have to keep driving my gas-guzzling 4-wheel drive truck.
Thanks Bernie…That puts Woodford in the 6-8″ range, but I’m not holding my breath! Or maybe I will! LOL!
What is letcher co in this map lol.
Well, the DC sotrm cancelled my trip for the weekend so the family and I decided to come to Gatlinburg and ski and tube. Strange bein Gburg and having the whole town to ourselves.
Curious what my drive home on Monday looks like? Dumb question, it looks like snow.
Come on Patty. lets hold our breath.
Looks like Pine Mt. and Black Mt. could squeeze a lot of snow out of this system.
I’m in Perry Co., ten miles north of Hazard.
MikeM… you first!
It’s snowing here in G-burg, headin back out to the slopes, WOOOOHOOOOO!!!
I lives close to the VA Border.
I might be dead wrong, but based on the fact that both of the major models keep us at or above 32 until sunrise Monday…I think we will NOT see WSW products issued in Kentucky.
No More Rain, Please!!!! Just snow…ALL SNOW 🙂
What exactly are you looking at? The GFS has us below 32 at both the surface and 850.
WX, you have become quite the combatant. I hear The Voice of Reason calling you to be a minion 😉 I do not think some of the models take into account current surface temps. Snow down on the ground, would mean three to four degree bias in the models. Not long to find out in any case :):(;)
Heck, even TVOR is saying all snow- unless this changed in the last few hours….
I’m in Corbin also Sue and I’m with ya…please no more rain!!!!
Have fun for me! My family luvz G-burg and we lucked out and has two inches of snow while staying in the mountains last April during spring break 🙂 Very beautiful :):)
Boyle County- Sunny…For unsheltered areas most snow is gone.
Sun-Tues thoughts
http://stormtracker.yolasite.com/
I see that they both have the 32 line up to about I-64 for about six hours on Sunday. Of course, places along the Gulf are getting pounded with snow at 32-35 degree temps (Dallas was 32-34 all day yesterday)
Your probably right.. The LMK NWS hasn’t hinted on ANY WSW as of the 12:24pm update. It’s basically the same discussion as Tuesdays/Wednesdays. But I would like to know which MAJOR model shows the rain? So I can see too!? 😉
I’m confused.. I’ve never heard of a closed ARTIC LOW or CLIPPER having WAA?
On a sad note..PLENTY of power outages in the south today!! 6″ of snow is catastrophic for the GULF states. It just shuts them down! Atlanta & Charlotte looks to be a SWEET SPOT!
It may look good for central Kentucky at the moment, but lets not forget, the snow dome always has the final say.
NAM 2m temps:
http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models/nam/12znamtmaxint027.gif
GFS 2m temps:
http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models/gfs/12zgfstmaxint054.gif
RAW outputs for London:
GFS:
http://68.226.77.253/text/1DegGFS/GFS_KLOZ.txt
NAM:
http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_KLOZ.txt
Both showing right at freezing or barely above for a few hours max.
MOS might be running higher, but forecasting temps based off MOS with a clipper backed by arctic air moving in… not what I would be doing.
12z gfs has the 32 line across the tenn/ky line all day. lex area stays well below freezing with a low of around 15 sunday morning and temps down below 20 again by sunrise monday. even the nam BUFKIT in BWG shows all snow the GFS was slightly warmer. I however also think we will not see winter storm watches issued today based on the 12z nam being quite a bit lighter with qpf.
i still think nky ends up getting a big snow, the dome will not let go, plus these arctic lows always trend north
Found this from the national weather service. Sums up the temp concern in a nice way.
THE SECOND CLIPPER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DIVE DOWN INTO THE REGION
ON SUNDAY…AND THEN STRENGTHEN AS IT PASSES OFF TO OUR EAST ON
MONDAY. SNOW WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY SPREAD ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS
EASTERN KENTUCKY. AT THIS TIME… IT APPEARS THE SNOWFALL WILL BE
LIGHT ON SUNDAY… AND WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO APPROACH
OR EXCEED THE FREEZING MARK IN MOST LOCATIONS… ANY ACCUMULATIONS
SHOULD BE LIGHT. HOWEVER… COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT AND ON MONDAY… AND THE SNOW MAY BECOME HEAVIER AS THE
LOW STRENGTHENS JUST TO OUR EAST.
I guess most Kentuckhy will get alot of snow.
long live the central ky snowdome!!!
how pissed would i be if i moved away and lexington got 8 or 10 inches? VERY pissed
Lord, I hope not, you’ll never stop bragging on how much you received. BTW, I have a lot of relatives that live in the covington area, they said six to seven inches were the max, not 13.
Well, that run of the GFS looks a lot better for Louisville, but the sunny skies the last two days have eaten away at the snow even though we’ve been below 32. Too bad this pattern didn’t set up last month. The sun angle is working against us.
I’ve just about forgotten what sunshine looks like…we’ve not seen too much of it here…just clouds and rain mostly.
sun is shining here in scott co. makes me wish spring was a lil bit closer.
From Jackson NWS:
LONG TERM…/SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/…UPDATED
LARGE BLOCKING HIGH OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC WILL KEEP A DEEP TROUGH
CARVED OUT OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THROUGH NEXT WEEK. THE MAIN FOCUS
FOR THE PERIOD WILL BE WITH A CLIPPER SYSTEM WHICH WILL ROUND THE
BASE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO OUR WEST ON SUNDAY AND THEN DEEPEN
AS IT MOVES OVERHEAD AND OFF TO OUR EAST SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM… NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP A PROLONGED
THREAT OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST ALONG WITH UNSEASONABLY COOL
TEMPS THROUGH MIDWEEK BEFORE A BIT OF REPRIEVE MAY BE FELT TO END
THE WORK WEEK.
MOISTURE WILL BE SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE AREA ON SUNDAY AS
WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT DEVELOPS IN ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING CLIPPER
SYSTEM. BEST LIFT AND DEEPEST MOISTURE SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS OUR
SOUTHERN COUNTIES… BUT EVEN HERE IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE WE SHOULD
SEE MORE THAN LIGHT PRECIP ON SUNDAY. MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP SHOULD
BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW ACROSS THE AREA… ALTHOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER
MAY WARM ENOUGH TO BRING A BIT OF A RAIN/SNOW MIX TO OUR EXTREME
SOUTH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
THE SURFACE LOW… WHICH WILL STILL BE TO OUR WEST SUNDAY EVENING…
WILL DEEPEN OVERNIGHT AS THE SPONSORING SHORTWAVE ROUNDS THE BASE OF
THE TROUGH ALOFT OVER MISSOURI. THIS SHOULD ALLOW MORE SUBSTANTIAL
SNOWFALL TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO THE DAY ON
MONDAY. THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW IS STILL SOMEWHAT IN QUESTION
BUT IS VERY IMPORTANT IN DETERMINING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS… AS THE
HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD REMAIN ALONG AND TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK OF
THE LOW. 12/12Z GFS/ECMWF/GEM ALL INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR OVER
1/2 INCH OF QPF WITH THE SYSTEM FOR THE 24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING 00Z
TUESDAY… BUT JUST DO NOT AGREE WHERE THIS BAND OF HEAVIER QPF WILL
BE. SO… WHILE WARNING CRITERIA SNOWFALL IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY
LIKELY FOR SOMEONE IN OUR FORECAST AREA… THERE IS STILL TOO MUCH
UNCERTAINTY TO ISSUE A WATCH AT THIS TIME. WILL INSTEAD CONTINUE TO
HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL AND THE UNCERTAINTY IN A SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT FOR NOW.
THE STORM SYSTEM WILL PULL AWAY MONDAY NIGHT BUT PROGS INDICATE DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE WILL ROTATE DOWN FROM THE LAKES REGION. UPSLOPE FLOW
AND DISTURBANCES ROTATING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION WILL KEEP
A THREAT OF SNOW SHOWERS… WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE… IN
THE FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
BUILD INTO THE DEEP SOUTH BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS FOR THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT… BUT THERE IS ENOUGH MODEL AGREEMENT THAT ANOTHER
SYSTEM WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST ON FRIDAY TO INSERT A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.
AS FOR TEMPS… WE KEPT THE FORECAST UNDER GFS MOS GUIDANCE PRETTY
MUCH THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD… ESPECIALLY FOR DAYTIME HIGHS. IN
FACT… MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN AT FREEZING OR BELOW FROM SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
Looks like Chris hit it on the head with temps and snowcast.
http://www.ready.noaa.gov/data/forecasts/grads/nam/panel6/plt23.gif
This is 2:00 in the morning MONDAY and the freezing line is just now starting to retreat out of central KY! What are you guys looking at? The models have us at or above freezing ALL DAY.
The only caveat is what MJ mentioned in the AFD…this will be a long, drawn out event. So Monday night we may see some snow on the ground.
Well, we saw a very watery sun for about half an hour early this morning. Right now, we have cloudy skies, 30 degrees, and a wind chill of 23. there is still a little snow on the ground, but remember, we did not get as much out of the last one. And ground temps are cold.
I agree with others on here who have said…”please, no rain. Snow.” We definitely do NOT need any rain at this point. (I know snow is frozen liquid, but it melts slower…) prettier to look at, too! 😉
Dude that chart isn’t even valid during the storm. 🙂 This is a Sunday-Tuesday system.
Not combatant…just calling it like it is. Check it out yourself:
http://www.arl.noaa.gov/READY_animations.php
NAM…2M charts…start at 53 hours or so and work your way toward 66 hours. We are at freezing or above until Monday morning.
LMK’s current forecast discussion (2:54pm), has the heaviest snows occuring in the CKY area, with event totals in the 4-7″ range, and is calling for temps well below 32° for all but the TN/KY border counties…
Has anyone seen the latest 18Z NAM that just came out. The storm is gone. I have never seen a storm just disappear like this WOW! Somebody tell me your thoughts
As you can see, the freezing line at the surface (again, where we live) is not hanging out on the KY/TN state line all day. Like I said, I could be dead wrong. But it’s hard to ignore the modeling when it’s been so spot on here lately.
12z GFS 2M temps (where we live)
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/ten_m_loop.shtml
So we may conclude that what CB is seeing is at least a tad different from what the general models are suggesting.
The day (if ever) a snow solution where everyone agrees should be a day we all become very afraid 😉
WHAT………….NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I just looked at it based on your post and the entire storm has been shoved off to the west and southwest. The 18Z NAM came out just as Louisville NWS was issuing their forecast. I wonder if they saw it and ignored it? Wouldn’t that be an unusual track for a clipper?
Robbie what are your thoughts? Just a bad run? Should we throw it out? If the 18Z GFS does the same tht will not be good
Someone PLEASE tell me this is a fluke……………!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
IF the system does pan out, we should also see better than expected wrap around action, so the upper scale would be possible.
In the olden, less cycical days, I would suggest that this system has all the hallmarks of an over-performer, but that was years ago and when I was still just BubbaG. Good times back then, good times.
We had a monster storm disappear off the maps last year. It was consistent for a week at showing a whopper for our area, and then bam, one run it was gone, and then never came back.
It’s trying to phase with the southern system, brings more juice and colder air in. I like it MUCH better then the 12z NAM! 😉
It might have been two years ago. All the repeat disappointments for CKY are beginning to blur.
As far as the NAM, if it changes that quickly, it is too senstive to be trusted anyways ATM 😉
As usual, the only time you should have concern is if CB backs off, or adjusts snow totals down for areas- when he posts some, of course. Mets like CB know when to hold em’, fold em’ and raise em’ 😉
http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models/nam/12znamtmaxint054.gif
Just an amatuer hoping for snow. Not the right guy to ask.
You’re right, posted the wrong link, just posted the correct one and it does get London above freezing a bit, however still think this will be a primarily snow event. It’s been a long week so forgive me on the wrong model chart, we’ve just broke the standing record for most snow in one winter at Beckley. I’ve been too busy for my own good recently 😛
Hi neighbor! I’m about five or six miles north of Hazard.
So is the 18z NAM bad news or good news for Central KY?
Care to post a link of 18z NAM?
I would love to see some sunshine and to see some of this snow melting away.
Just north of Hazard.
18z NAM
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/index_sl8_m_loop.shtml
I’m just an amateur reading the models. But the NAM trend has been colder & wetter. Looks like the snowline stays in Lexington for the entire event. But I might be wrong.. If Chris’s excitement level will be FEAST or FAMINE! 😉
War is hell.
Looks like SE KY is the sweetspot nearly ten inches forecasted!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Voice of Reason is calling for 3-6″ he is usually very conservative with his totals.
I must admit…this winter has been a roller coaster ride for many of us. Learning of this next system wants me to think summer and Cedar Point’s Roller Coaster Capital of the World! Don’t get me wrong…I love snow…but I love summer equally as well. As teachers here In eastern KY, summer’s already over. 🙁
The GFS looks like NKY will get the most with Central KY getting a good snow.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_p60_096l.gif
This stuff is confusing
I believe that is yesterday’s GFS.
Latest GFS snowfall map!!!!!!!!
Looks like Central, Northeast and Southeast KY are in for a good one!
http://grib2.com/gfs/CONUS_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR.gif
That map was based off the 12Z GFS. We’re waiting to see if the 18Z GFS confirms the 18Z NAM.
I miss just BubbaG.
HPC says, Lots of snow for everyone..!!!
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day3_psnow_gt_04.gif
…
Early frames of the GFS look to be a little further south than before. I know Belski just posted the HPC forecast, but it was made before the 18Z runs. Tough to tell if they just threw out the NAM.
New GFS gives all of KY a smack down…
Anyone else see the HIGH setting over Tampa in frames 4 & 5..??
That HIGH will be pumping in moisture from the gulf, IMHO…
…
how about……
we all forget the NAM. May I remind you all that a couple weeks ago on the Janurary 30 storm that the nam had trended extremely dry and then went to being the heaviest with the snowfall totals before the storm. Don’t worry, it’s one run. Goodness!!!!
in other news………..
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
…WINTER STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED AS EARLY AS SATURDAY
MORNING FOR THE REGION.
Hut! This thread is danger close to becoming a chapeter from Lord of the Flies! 😉
Lots of drama! 😉
The precip forecast from the new GFS looks south of the previous run. Maybe 50 miles? Nothing like the NAM though. Most people generally don’t like any of the 18Z runs.
Why not?
Just for s@@@s and giggles what do you guys think Bath co. might get as far as totals for sun-tues?
Has something to do with the way data is entered in the 6Z and 18Z runs. Bastardi said the 0Z and 12Z use raw data while 6Z and 18Z use some interpreted data.
how’s se ky looking for the time being for snowfall??? thanks..:P
Bath Co. looks to be in the sweet spot with the maps that CB posted…
Stay tuned…
SE KY appears to be in the 6-8″ range, according to CB’s latest snow map…
Again, Stay tuned…
Thanks Vinny!
I do too. There was a strange sort of comfort in seeing his name amongst all the meterological discourse.
you know AFKA Bubba G i was thinking this a few weeks ago lol
FORECAST MODELS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR 4 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW
TO ACCUMULATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY ACROSS THE AREA. THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW REMAINS UNCERTAIN HOWEVER. THIS IS
IMPORTANT BECAUSE THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG AND
TO THE NORTH OF THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW. DUE TO THIS
UNCERTAINTY IT IS STILL TOO SOON TO PROVIDE A DETAILED SNOWFALL
FORECAST AT THIS TIME. RESIDENTS OF EAST KENTUCKY ARE ADVISED TO
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO… LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION MEDIA
OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS POTENTIAL
WINTER STORM. A WINTER STORM WATCH MAY BE ISSUED LATER TONIGHT OR
EARLY ON SATURDAY SHOULD THE FORECAST TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM BECOME
MORE CLEAR.
AFTER THE STORM PASSES… A PROLONGED PERIOD OF OFF AND ON SNOW
SHOWERS AND UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED TO LAST INTO
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE
LIKELY FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY NIGHT.
Unhand that new GFS, you vicious reprobates!!! Rex says snow!!!
SHOULD FUTURE FORECAST CONTINUE TO
AGREE WITH THE CURRENT TRENDS…WINTER STORM WATCHES WILL BE
REQUIRED ON THE SATURDAY EARLY MORNING PACKAGE SINCE THE EVENT WILL
THEN BE WITHIN THE 48 HOUR TIME FRAME.
I hope it snows a foot keep us updated guys
Does anyone actually read Chris’ post before they ask questions like this? There is only a huge picture (with lots of pretty colors and no words!) on the main page that shows what you may expect in snowfall.
Maybe they were thinking the totals might be updated since Chris’s last map…no need to get snippy.
Jim on WYMT has posted his first call for snowfall amounts. It looks great for southern and southeast KY. Can’t wait to see Chris’s first call 🙂
CHECK this out!
Sorry to ramble about my ELECTRIC BILL but I have to share this. Last month my power bill was 305 dollars. Usually it’s around 125 at the most. Today, I get up to make coffee and the gfi outlet needed reset but I ran to the garage to check to see if a breaker had tripped and noticed that one of the HVAC breakers was tripped and I tried to reset it and it would NOT reset. I had to call and schedule an appt for the HVAC company to come out Mon. I think ALL THIS TIME my unit has been running on EMERGENCY heat. No wonder my electric bill has been sky high. I went outside to check the outside unit and it just hums. Funny, they come out and do the spring and fall check and said everything was great. Now I look forward to not only another HUGE electric bill, but probably a huge repair bill. My HVAC unit is 5 years old and has had 2 minor repairs already. Sorry, I had to rant. 🙂
No prob. Hey I hope it does snow 100%. All I’m saying is this event isn’t going to be as cut and dry and some are being led to think. Get some rest…Sunday you’ll be worn out!
The 00Z run of the GFS was wacky then the 06Z and 12Z runs today picked the ball back up and ran with it. Don’t worry about one run of the NAM going bonkers. This storm is going to last long enough that we should all see some snow at least…just probably not 6-12 inches.
I feel your pain. Had the man here today. My bill was $342.00 and I have an XPower Saver hooked up. Apparently, mine was all screwed up.
Click my name to see what my snowfall map is.
49 states dusted with snow; Hawaii’s the holdout
Forget red and blue – color America white. There was snow on the ground in 49 states Friday. Hawaii was the holdout.
Forget red and blue – color America white. There was snow on the
ground in 49 states Friday. Hawaii was the holdout.
It was the United States of Snow, thanks to an unusual
combination of weather patterns that dusted the U.S., including the
skyscrapers of Dallas, the peach trees of Atlanta and the Florida
Panhandle, where hurricanes are more common than snowflakes.
More than two-thirds of the nation’s land mass had snow on the
ground when the day dawned, and then it snowed ever so slightly in
Florida to make it 49 states out of 50.
At the same time, those weird weather forces are turning
Canada’s Winter Olympics into the bring-your-own-snow games.
Who’s the Great White North now?
“I’m calling it the upside-down winter,” said David Robinson,
head of the Global Snow Lab at Rutgers University in New Jersey.
Snow paralyzed and fascinated the Deep South on Friday. Snowball
fights broke out at Southern Mississippi University, snow delayed
flights at the busy Atlanta airport, and Louisiana hardware stores
ran out of snow supplies. Andalusia, Ala., shut down its streets
because of snow. And yet, Portland, Maine, where snow is usually a
given, had to cancel its winter festival for lack of the stuff.
Weather geeks turned their eyes to Hawaii. In that tropical
paradise, where a ski club strangely exists, observers were looking
closely at the islands’ mountain peaks to see if they could find a
trace of white to make it a rare 50-for-50 states with snow. But
there was no snow in sight.
Hawaii’s 13,800-foot Mauna Kea volcano, which often gets snow
much of the year at its higher elevations, is the most likely place
in the 50th state to have snow, but there “is nothing right now,”
said research meteorologist Tiziana Cherubini at the Mauna Kea
Weather Center. It has been a few weeks since there has been snow
in the mountains, and none is in the forecast, ruining a perfect
50-for-50, she said.
The idea of 50 states with snow is so strange that the federal
office that collects weather statistics doesn’t keep track of that
number and can’t say whether it has ever happened. The office can’t
even say whether 49 out of 50 has ever taken place before.
Snow experts at the Global Snow Lab were combing their records
but said it may be days before they find out if there has ever been
a 50-for-50 snow day. Their best suspect – Jan. 19, 1977 – had snow
in Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia, but then
Robinson looked for snow in South Carolina and couldn’t find any.
As of early Friday morning, 67.1 percent of the U.S. had snow on
the ground, with the average depth a healthy 8 inches. Normally,
about 40 or 50 percent of the U.S. has snow cover this time of
year, Robinson said.
It snowed for only 10 minutes in Century, Fla., jus
I know how you feel my bill was over $550 , but what really make me mad is that we’ve only had 5in of snow all freckin winter!nothing but cold a## weather , we had better get this one or i’m really going to be mad.
Winter storm threat looking good from Sunday through Tuesday!
WYMT has Madison County in 4-7 for the strom cant wait to see Chris and his first call
Jeesh! What do you live in- a mansion?
Our heated square feet area is 2,700 square feet and we are just half that. Keep our temp at 67 though.
Main stuff missing central KY again? Now I never would have thought that! 😉
Hey, Chris, we’re pretty snow deprived. And it matters. So you snow whiners, stiffle it.
Than so it shall be! My hubris can not interfere with the snow deprived and their one true ambassador! 😉
BubbaG is back- even more Bubba for the same loooow price!
BUBBA
NO! It’s a 1375 sq foot single story house all electric…and I keep the heat on 66!!!!! and it was 305 dollars for 34 days on my last bill……It’s the heat pump, something is majorly wrong with it. Coming out monday to check it, probably at the height of the storm we may/may not get. My luck since they are coming out Monday that there will indeed be lots of snow.
New GFS snow map is out….!!
And it looks like a CKY storm, at this point… Check it out…!
http://wxcaster4.com/gfs/CONUS2_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR.gif
…
I had the very same problem in my 1700 sq ft story and a half. So I see this commercial on DIY channel for a thing called a multi fuel pellet stove. After much research we purchased one and now I can heat the whole house for 6 bucks a day. My normal heat electric bills were about 350 to 400 hundred a month. Now they will be about 150 to 200 tops. Plus the heat feels a lot warmer than my heat pump.
The 00Z NAM looks much much better. So far, can only see out to 66 hours, but it looks like the most recent GFS. Clearly, the 18Z NAM was out of whack.
It is likely just the electric motor that turns the fan in the condenser. You you can see it looking down on it. I replace my motor last year for $60. It was very easy.
Make sure they verify it’s not something simple like that, or even simpler just the capacitor that starts the motor (a very cheap part)
I would expect to pay 1-300 bucks if it’s these items.
I live in laurel county in a double wide and my last months bill was $350 and I run my heat 69/70 during the day and 66/67 at night. This is the most I have ever had to pay for electric before and now KU is talking about doing a 13 percent increase. How do they expect people to pay their bills???
Chris,
You should post some live cameras out of myrtle beach.
The 00Z NAM basically puts down up to .50″ QPF for the entire state. If we stay in the 20s I’d think 3-6″ for all of us would sound good. If we go warmer like the models have been hinting then things get interesting (in a bad way).
Well…a forcast is not taken off of just one map and some of us non mets don’t know how to interpret all those models. So…i was just wondering with all the models what their interpretation was sorry if a simple questions bothered you so much..
south of 37n wont see accumulations worth mentioning, get ready nky another biggin a comin!!!!
Vinny that is a southern ky storm not central from that run, Central ky is the lexington area, points south are considered southern ky
well they cant add buster, i got one 6 inch storm and one 8 inch storm, one melted just a little before the second one came, so yep i get more snow than you
got about 9 inches on the ground here still its great not living in lex!!!
you wish!!
Here’s one I found out of North Myrtle Beach. 🙂
http://www.northmyrtlebeachchamber.com/webcam_index.htm
this is a nky storm this is rain south, snow rain snow lex and 6”+ for me!!!
I don’t know about you guys but i’m sick of the 3-6 crap. We usually get more like 3 than 6. I want a 8-10″ something my kids can actually sleigh ride and build a snowman in. So far they have never got to play in a GOOD snow. If we can’t get a deep one i’d rather just get on to Spring. This is depressing………..
It’s snowing at my parent’s house down in Savannah.
its the law of snow in ky, lexington will not get more than 4” from this and i would put alot of money on that lexington one way or another will miss out on the bullseye, up here in nky we’ll gladly take the pow baby!!!
Sounds like it was going to auxiliary emergency heat, which is the elements or coils in the main unit. This happens when the heat pump is not working. Happened to us for about a week a few years ago and we noticed on our bill.
My family in the Hampstead/Wilmington, NC area is getting some snow tonight as well. It’s LONG over due for them! 🙂
Me and my kids have been sleighing in this 2-3″ snow all winter… lol
You don’t need MUCH snow to sleigh ride…
Go out and enjoy what snow you get…!!!
But I too would like a good 10+ of snow to liven things up a bit around here…
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Only if the NAM, GFS and EURO all trend 100 miles north in the next 36 hours..can it happen, sure, will it…who knows…
the models are going to miss it…when the heavy snow band is sitting over nky i dont care wat the gfs or nam says!
yeah you’re right and we have been out all winter in the snow but it is so much more fun with the deep stuff after a few minutes in the 2-3 in snow it packs and your grass sleding instead of snow sleding. But they don’t know the difference they’ve never seen a GOOD snow. I would just like for them to experience the kind of snows we had when we were young in the late 70’s and early 80’s. Oh well I guess we will make the best of what mother nature brings. But i will still keep my fingers crossed!!!
I hope you’re right!!!!!!!!!!!!! Death to the snow dome!!
heck yeah, we sled ride in 1″…LOL…you make the best of what you got..living in Ky. you never know if its gonna be the last snow of the season or not!…LOL…who know’s we may actually luck up and get a 12 incher like Dallas of all places did.. I keep hearing Henry M. and Joe B. saying here in the past couple of days, that they think in the next 2 to 3 wks. this pattern could SNAP and break with a HUGE,HUGE STORM, and henry went as far to say the other day something like the 93 superstorm could happen..Now I dont know whether or not I would go that far, but hey given this winter pattern I dont put anything past it…
Awesomeness. Latest GFS is cranking out 8-10 for my area here in Harlan County of SE KY. Cant wait to see how this thing pans out. Models just keep trending and looking better and better. The entire state of KY looks to get some out of this snow. But Central, NE and SE KY look to be the ones who get thumped as of right now and models are staying pretty darn consistent.
That Myrtle Beach cam is pretty rad… you can see the snow streaking by even with as little light as there is on the pier! I surfed with snow on the beach at Crystal Pier in Wrightsville Beach back in ’02… it was cold as you’d think but stoked none-the-less!
Where are you at in Harlan? I live at Bob’s Creek.
Here’s what NOAA is saying about this system.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lmk&storyid=48250&source=0
Thanks!
Evarts
I love Crystal Pier, though I am more partial to Johnny Mercer’s Pier. I bet it was awesome to be out there while it was snowing on the beach. A very rare sight! 😉
Forget sledding – I’m not coordinated enough for that. I love snowball fights!! 🙂
If the big stuff hits north and not central- dome still stands.
Unfortunately I got in the water after the fact… but it was me and one other guy… rubbered-up and shredding… all by ourselves with ice cream headaches a plenty and snow on the beach! Good times… Oh and Tommy… I was binded and on the lift at 0915 on Tuesday… that was a day that will be hard for PNS to beat for years to come!!! POW in Southeastern Indiana!?! WOW!!!!
Lexington is east central kentucky, but more east than central….campbellsville is the very center of kentucky but we are considered by the nws south central kentucky….lebanon north to louisville is considered north central kentucky….Bowling Green is considered the line between west central and western kentucky…..so basically central kentucky spans from bowing green to louisville over to lexington, down to somerset and the space in that area…lexington is more east central so from the snowmaps central kentucky seems to be looking good….I am located roughly 80 miles from bowling green, louisville, and lexington…
http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=JKL