Good Monday afternoon gang. Most of central and eastern Kentucky picked up some snow last night into this morning from the famed northwest wind flow. Anywhere from a coating to as much as 3″ have been reported throughout the region. We are going to be throwing a weak disturbance into the mix this evening into Tuesday which will only act to increase the coverage and intensity of the snows.
Much of central and eastern Kentucky will likely pick up an inch or so of snow tonight into Tuesday. Some areas across the north and east will pick up a couple or three inches. The highest elevations along the Virginia border will likely see more than that. Moral of the story… it’s gonna snow on and off for the next 36 hours. The snows will impact travel as slick roads will continue to develop. I am VERY surprised the NWS in Jackson does not have A Snow Advisory out for their entire region. In going back and looking at their discussions from recent days… some folks there need to brush up on their upslope flow forecasting. 
Individual snow showers or squalls will work from northwest to southeast but the main batch of snow may actually back in from the northeast. You can see all the snows here..
Snow showers and flurries will diminish on Wednesday just in time for a widespread light to moderate snowfall for Thursday into Friday. A statewide 2″ to 4″(with locally higher amounts) is looking likely for Thursday as an arctic wave of low pressure moves through. As the low departs Thursday night… we will see a GREAT northwesterly wind flow event into Friday that can lay down a few more inches of powdery snow. Snowfall ratios of 30 to 1 or greater will be possible by that time as bitterly cold temps move in.
Welcome to the arctic… Kentucky style! 
Have a great afternoon and take care.
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I hope it’s not a heavy wet snow for Thursday. It’s snowing here in Perry County, and it’s beautiful!
OLD SCHOOL WINTER RIGHT HERE LEGEND!! 20 degrees snow blowing for days.!!
And we love it! 🙂
NWS Louisville saying 17-18:1 EARLY THURSDAY AND THEN INCREASING TO 20-22:1 BY THURSDAY
NIGHT. Still a couple of inches possible!
A little bit of snow is better than nothing. Tis’ better to have snowed, than to have not snowed at all.
Poetic- aint’ it?
Bernie,
Is that positive enough? That is all I got bro;)
Been lurking since last month. I wish we could have had a big one (or even a little one) here in Lex over the holidays. Tax accountants don’t like snow after Jan. 1 b/c we can’t enjoy it!! Anyway, we had a really nice (thin) snow accumulation here in Lex throughout the AM/early PM. With current temps <32, why has it seemingly melted over the last hour or two?
Im gonna pass out!!…:)…LOL..
Thanks Chris for that midday update!!..looking forward to the all the snow chances headed this way, now if we can get the couple here and 2-4 there to get together…lol..we might end up with a half a foot or so…lol..
now if the snow would amount to something we would love it a lot more
Sounds pretty positive my friend! 🙂
Someone on Belski’s blog just posted this, apparently from LMK:
“This system has the potential to bring significant snow accumulations to the area. An upper level low pressure will move through the Midwest. Ahead of this low, moisture will surge north from the Gulf of Mexico overriding the cold air. Snow is likely to start during the day Thursday, then taper off Friday morning. Exactly how much moisture this system will have is unclear, but accumulating snow is likely. This storm will be carefully monitored over the next few days. However, if you have plans for late week, be sure to stay abreast of the latest forecasts and be prepared for possible wintry weather.”
Interesting. Now back to work (as whip cracks)
Winter Weather Advisory now posted for East Ky
Bubba, I am going to correct you on something, friend…
should say..’Tis better to have snowed A LITTLE BIT, than not to have snowed at all! 😉 Love ya, bro!
Yep..saying possible 1-4″ by Tomorrow afternoon for eastern 2/3 of Jacksons coverage area… Here is the link if anyone wants to read http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=KYZ116&warncounty=KYC051&firewxzone=KYZ116&local_place1=Manchester+KY&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory
Well, Chris, with that forecast, what are your thoughts on amounts, or is it too early for that? I am hoping that with everything that is coming, clippers and such, that we can eke out 4 or a little more possibly with this thing!
Shoot, ifit’s gonna be cold, then it might as well snow! 😉 Thanks for the midday update. I am sure you will have more tidbits for us later….
…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST TUESDAY…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW…WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
TUESDAY.
* EXPECT THE MOST INTENSE SNOW TO FALL OVERNIGHT AS A WAVE OF ENERGY
MOVES OVERHEAD AND DEEP MOISTURE MOVES IN. LINGERING LIGHT SNOW
WILL FALL THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON…ADDING TO ACCUMULATIONS.
* EXPECT 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW OVERNIGHT…WITH LOCALLY UP TO 3
INCHES POSSIBLE. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON SHOULD RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA.
LOCATIONS MOST LIKELY TO SEE THE HIGHER END OF THE 1 TO 4 INCH
RANGE ARE IN THE HIGH TERRAIN ALONG THE WEST VIRGINIA AND
VIRGINIA BORDERS.
* THE MAIN IMPACT FROM THIS SNOW WILL BE ON THE MORNING COMMUTE.
ENOUGH SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL THAT ROADWAYS WILL BE COVERED…
ESPECIALLY IF UNTREATED. WIND CHILLS WILL ALSO BE DOWN AROUND ZERO
WITH DUE TO STEADY NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH.
There’s around an inch on the ground here, if the snow keeps piling up we could have quite a bit by the end of the week.
Tis’ true, Bubba! 🙂
This is what JKL has to say about Thursday – Friday in their AFD
.LONG TERM…/WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/…UPDATED
LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL CHANGE LITTLE THIS PERIOD AND HAVE FOLLOWED
MEX GUIDANCE FOR TEMPERATURES OR UNDERCUT IT 1-2F. MEX APPEARS TO
HAVE A BETTER HANDLE THAN IT DID LAST WEEK…AND PREFFERED ECMWF ON
TIMING. POPS WERE CHANGED ONLY SLIGHTLY BUT FOCUSED A BIT MORE ON
THU/THU NIGHT AND THEN TAPERING OFF FRI. THINKING SEVERAL INCHES FOR
THE EVENT IN GOOD DYNAMIC LIFT FOLLOWED BY UPSLOPE AGAIN. SAT-MON
LOOKS DRIER IF NOT WARMER AS ARCTIC HIGH MOVES INTO SOUTHEAST U.S.
Rich Brooks is gone, and so is any shot at a Bowl next year. The guy directly responsible for losses against USC and UT will now be running the show. Wonderful.
And why the heck isn’t the basketball team #1?? Kansas sure couldn’t play with them.
We need a snowstorm to make us happy again.
u dont know much then, how arte u for sure.
look back at the UT game couple years ago as we played for OT and not to win then.
so I guess JOKER been running the show the whole time then.
with that said I am not sure JOKER has the BALLS to win the big one either, but I am glad RB step away for the good of the program so we can find out.
Randy Sanders will have bigger say in the offense now, so I think u got rid of the OLD SCHOOL thinking as a WHOLE and now u have 2 guys who just might be a little tad more agressive on offense when needed.
oh and as far as BB goes we are not number 1 because of TEXAS not losing yet.
I agree Kansas not that great, only team that IMO can play with us is TEXAS because of their backcourt.
I 2nd that comment! 🙂
On that note.. Kansas is the ONLY team that I can see being #1, but UK should be #2 at this point. Kansas is getting ready to face some good teams to find out if they are for real!
Texas is overrated.. Texas A&M gave them all they could handle – 70-76
March Madness is going to be fun for a change!
Ive been wondering the same thing as well, why are we still #3 !!…
SNOW = :)…SNOWSTORM = :):):)”)
new snowfall map…showing entire state in 3-5″ with some lollipop 5-6 showing up with alot more as usual in the eastern mnts…
http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=JKL
the Snow has really picked up the intensity in the last 5 min
According to Accuweather:
Winter of 2009-2010 Could Be Worst in 25 Years
http://www.accuweather.com/news-weather-features.asp?#extremes
Not the ENTIRE state, Tim my friend…as per the usual, Nelson Co. is right there in the ‘donut hole’ for the 2″ part of the color spectrum…
but it ain’t over til it’s over…maybe we’ll get slammed like ’94 when they kept decreasing the snow totals down to ‘less than an inch for the Lou. viewing area’ the night before waking up to the blessed 16+”…;)
Normal heating from the sun, especially on dark surfaces, combined with sublimation makes the snow go away. I’m sure a lot of it today was just sublimation.
As usual in majority of Kentucky we are mostly snowless when it comes to anything on the ground unless ya live where the son dont shine.
NWS says a measly inch maybe if we are lucky here tonight. I hope they are wrong but have been mostly right this year thus far.
(correction) I forgot how to spell. Above should be sun not son. A brain freeze.
84-85 the best year that I can really remember as far as snow from my childhood. I think we went back for one day after Christmas break only to be out until MARCH. We had to go Saturdays to make it all up. Had a couple of big snows that year and it was GREAT!
The bad part is I read it and didn’t catch it. Just went right on. At least it sounded right. LOL
We need to get CB back to Lexington now that 36 needs a chief!!!
http://www.kentucky.com/181/story/1081541.html?storylink=omni_popular
From the Paducah NWS for western Ky.CONFIDENCE INCREASING FOR MID TO LATE WEEK SNOWS…AND
BITTERLY COLD CONDITIONS FOLLOWING THE SNOW…
IT CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE THE REGION WILL SEE ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL…ESPECIALLY LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY…AS A
POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION. PRELIMINARY INDICATIONS SUGGEST MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS
MIGHT OCCUR…WITH AMOUNTS OF 2 OR 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF
THE REGION. IF THIS FORECAST STAYS ON TRACK…A WINTER STORM WATCH
MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
IMPACTS COULD BE SIGNIFICANT…GIVEN THE ANTECEDENT COLD
CONDITIONS THAT ARE IN PLACE…AND THE FACT THAT MUCH OF THE SNOW
COULD OCCUR DURING OR BEFORE THE MORNING COMMUTE THURSDAY. TO MAKE
MATTERS WORSE…ANY SNOW THAT DOES ACCUMULATE WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO
BE WHIPPED AROUND BY GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
THURSDAY NIGHT.
If they get a WSW by tomorrow morning, we may get one by tomorrow enening. Do ya think? I hope so!
Seems like the NWS offices can’t decide what to forcast from one office to the next.
thats why we don’t depend on them
I don’t think a forecast of 2 to 4 inches of snow would meet the criteria for a warning anyway, would it?
I think 4″ is watch criteria. I would think 2-4 would be advisory. But I’m not sure. Anybody else know?
MarkLex, not usually, but IF you have gusty winds blowing a dry snow around, you might possibly get one for near blizzard conditions, which is kind of what it sounds like.
Now, I am not saying we are getting ready to have a blizzard, but, I am just saying that aWSW is not TOTALLY out of the question.
In our case, I would be happy to see 4 ont he ground, and maybe we can pump it up to 6 or so, when all is said and done.
Excuse the typos….just got my eyes dialated after eye exam, and I am typing with sunglasses on…. (H)
MarkLex, I tried to answer you, but I got moderated….
James I believe for Paducah 2-4 inches of snow meets there criteria for a winter storm watch Louisville 2-4 would be snow advisory just depends on what area in the state your at. However that being said state wide amounts should range between 2-5 inches another thing we will have to watch out for will be blowing snow on Thursday due to the artic front coming right behind the snow system winds maybe blowing 30+mph being this is a dry snow this will make travel quite tricky
Snow Advisory Criteria:
A Snow Advisory is issued by the National Weather Service of the United States when a low pressure system produces snow that may cause significant disruption , but does not meet warning criteria. The advisory criteria varies from area to area. Snow advisories are typically issued only when a storm system is expected to only produce snow in the advised area. Depending on the amount of snow that is expected, a Heavy snow warning can be issued for similar times, but when larger amounts of snow are expected. The exact border between a snow advisory and heavy snow warning varies throughout the country. For example, one inch of snow will constitute the advisory in Florida, while up to 5 inches will do so in New England. If other forms of wintry precipitation are expected, then a Winter Weather Advisory or winter storm warning can be issued, also depending on the amount of precipitation that is expected.
This advisory was discontinued beginning with the 2008-09 winter season, replaced by a Winter Weather Advisory.
A Winter Storm Watch:
A Winter Storm Watch is issued by the National Weather Service of the United States when there is a potential for heavy snow (6 or more inches) or significant ice accumulations. The watch is usually issued at least 24 to 36 hours before the storm’s arrival in the area. The criteria for this watch can vary from place to place.
A Winter Storm Warning:
A Winter Storm Warning is a statement made by the National Weather Service of the United States which means a winter storm is occurring or is about to occur in the area, usually within 24 hours. Generally, a Winter Storm Warning is issued if at least 4-6 or more inches of snow or 3 or more inches of snow with a large accumulation of ice is forecast. In the Southern United States where winter weather is far less common, warning criteria is lower. Usually, a large accumulation of ice alone with no snow will result in an Ice Storm Warning, or in the case of light freezing rain, a Winter Weather Advisory, a Freezing Rain Advisory, or Drizzle Advisory.
A Heavy Snow Warning:
A Heavy snow warning was a weather advisory issued by the National Weather Service of the United States during times when a high rate of snowfall was occurring or was forecast. Generally, the warning was issued for snowfall rates of 6 inches (15 cm) or more in 12 hours, or 8 inches (20 cm) or more in 24 hours.
This warning was discontinued beginning with the 2008-09 winter season, replaced by the Winter Storm Warning.
A Winter Weather Advisory:
A Winter Weather Advisory is issued by the National Weather Service of the United States when a low pressure system produces a combination of winter weather (snow, freezing rain, or sleet) that presents a hazard, but does not meet warning criteria. A Winter Weather Advisory is similar to significant weather alert, though a winter weather advisory is an official product. A “Winter Weather Advisory” means the a period of winter weather will make traveling difficult.
A Snow Advisory:
A Snow Advisory is issued by the National Weather Service of the United States when a low pressure system produces snow that may cause significant disruption , but does not meet warning criteria. The advisory criteria varies from area to area. Snow advisories are typically issued only when a storm system is expected to only produce snow in the advised area. Depending on the amount of snow that is expected, a Heavy snow warning can be issued for similar times, but when larger amounts of snow are expected. The exact border between a snow advisory and heavy snow warning varies throughout the country. For example, one inch of snow will constitute the advisory in Florida, while up to 5 inches will do so in New England. If other forms of wintry precipitation are expected, then a Winter Weather Advisory or winter storm warning can be issued, also depending on the amount of precipitation that is expected.
This advisory was discontinued beginning with the 2008-09 winter season, replaced by a Winter Weather Advisory.
Thanks Bernie. That’s really helpful.
Guys, I think Joker needs to go out and get himself an OC. I think Steve Brown is a very good DC. I think Joker has potential just needs a little help on the O side of the ball. Besides if he went and spent money on a big name it would have to boost recruiting, there are tons of guys out there who would be a good fit.
I have a feeling Chris is going to fall out of his chair! NEW QPF run is out! 🙂
Maybe I’m seeing things or wishful thinking.. but this is what I see.. East of I-75 may get upto .60-70 qpf (10″-14″)
Fresh off the press!
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i00.gif
After reading the weather forecasts for Thursday, I’ll be leaving for NC on Wednesday. Hopefully we will miss the worst of it?? Now my only decision is whether or not to take the road North via W.V. or go South to Tennessee. Needless to say, I will be checking back frequently for updates from Chris.
John Wall agrees.
in thge pines, in the pinesss, were the sunnnnn never shiness,
WOOOOOOOO!! Andy it ant doing nothing in gunnyville, im afraid we might be to far east on tonite run for alot. but as CB said it going back in from NE.
THIS IS FOR WXMNAN and others, earlier I said how u know it was joker.
well my brother who is attorney and talk with a BIG BOY donor this afternoon. and the decision was indeed 100 percent JOKER when he took COBB out as QB when he was running wild late in game.
so as I stated not sure he has the BALLS. well folks UK FB has peaked and get ready for couple rough seasons as JOKER is a great recruiter but no HC. he will be fired after 2nd season and we will hire a BIG TIME coach in RANDY ETZEL at UCONN.
I apoloigies to u WXMAN as you are indeed hook up as far as good info on the situation.
YO ANDY THERE IT IS!!! U was asking earlier when the 12 plus was a coming
Let’er RIP, Baby!!
MAN BERNIE this looks great 72 hours away.
damn i mean great.
this is as close as we can get, usual models go other way, but with the deep layered cold air it may just be TIME!!!
The latest NAM and GFS runs both paint a 2-4″ snowfall in the Lexington area for the end of the week. However, I personally think the models are slightly too weak with this system and I have a gut feeling that isolated spots in central KY will get more snow than that.
Think somerset can beat those totals?
Bernie, what you said reminds me of a famous line from an equally famous movie:
“The taxidermy man’s gonna have a heart attack when he sees what I brung him!
Snow looks good so far…now if we just keep electricity…
yes JOE,
WXMAN read my post there, u was spot on and I gave u ur do.
I love Nirvana’s remake from 1993. Kurt Cobain loved the song and did a great tribute when performing it.
Of course, it has more dark lyrics later on:
“His head was found in driving wheel, but his body never was found”
DEFINATELY! How bout it CB?!
Wow!!! Thats all I can say…
snow showers are starting to diminish, so will more form or will the cluster from WV move into KY and PIke Co.
snow showers are starting to diminish, so will more form or will the cluster from WV move into KY and PIke Co.
snow showers are starting to diminish, so will more form or will the cluster from WV move into KY and PIke Co.
snow showers are starting to diminish, so will more form or will the cluster from WV move into KY and PIke Co.
snow showers are starting to diminish, so will more form or will the cluster from WV move into KY and PIke Co.
took TCU bought a point -6
Thanks Rolo. I just thought it was stupid how we ran with Tennessee the entire game, then at the end they completely changed the gameplan. STUPID. And he is going to be coach? Are you kidding me? Multiple games were lost over stupid offensive decisions this year and it’s pathetic.
Joe.. I just think it’s interesting that the NAM is stronger than GFS. From experience, the NAM does much better with Winter systems coming down in northwest flow. So I’m going with the NAM and I think we’ll see maybe 3-6″ in the Bluegrass. Somerset…probably similar.
Get ready folks:
Wednesday will probably see six inches on the ground. Why?
1. The trend and outlook is improving chances- no warm air to interfere, unless greater moisture chance.
2. Weather folks are already mentioning it, just not sure how much
3. I will be 250 miles away 😉
yea he was a waste of great talent, but the needle has done that to alot.
cant believe eddie feder of pearl jam survived the 90s.
I am serious, but pointing out irony with item number 3 😉
I was in parts of Wolfe county today and some spots had three inches of snow. I bet before today that no meteorolgist for Ky. predicted these snowfall totals. 🙂
Will Frankfort get in on some snow this week? I’ve still got my fingers crossed!
Newest GFS paints 3-8″ from west to east
http://wxcaster4.com/gfs/CONUS2_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_120HR.gif
This is a statewide snowfall so yes Frankfort will get into the snow all ok Ky will see snow from east to west north to south 2 to 5 with isloated higher amounts. The boys of NOAA here in ky I’m sure are debating on advisory or winter storm watch it’s a tough one to call
Question
If this system isn’t a BIG storm, why are there winter storm warnings in MT? I’m sure there criteria would be difficult to meet..
BUBBA…….Yeah, it will be blowing powdery snow all over the place and you will be gone, but based on where you’re going, you won’t miss anything 🙂
Correction
their criteria
About 2 1/2 inches now in South Ashland, Sherwood area. Roads are treacherous to say the least. They were treated, but it’s not working…too COLD! Maybe a snow day for the area schools??? Keeping my fingers crossed (since I’m a teacher).
OK. Work done. Henry at Accucrack is predicting 40:1 ratio for Kentucky for this event. You Met guys tell us what that means. Smells like a serious dumping…..John Wall is on the Wall. All in all…its just an……never mind.
40:1 would be around 4″ fluffy snow for each .10 of precip.
00z NAM would put down about 4″ statewide at 20:1 ratios…
That’s allowing for some virga to eat up some moisture…
But this is just the main player, looks like snow showers linger for several days and anything can happen when you have all this cold air…
…
I thought Mitch said there would be very little virga
and reading NWS discussion a few days ago any cloud can produce snow lol 😉
Stay home CB, no need to go back to Lexington.
Not the clouds in the summer time…
😉
yeah but if NWS says its so you know its true 😉
Snowing now in Pikeville 22 degrees heat wave lol!! Wow what a difference 30 miles makes we were in Whitesburg today and this afternoon they had 2 inches or more of snow and coming down at a good pace,go a few miles down the road to Pikeville nothing hardly at all bummer why is that?????????
John Belski says that if Henry’s Comment of the 35:1 or 40:1 ratios come true for Kentucky then we could be in for 10 inches of snow with .25 precip as the 00z NAM suggests!
Although he also says he personally predicts more of a 20:1 ratio.
Maybe Henry is onto something…maybe not.
Henry is dreaming
Your probably right
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
950 PM EST MON JAN 4 2010
…FORECAST UPDATE…
VERY DRY LOW LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL MAKE IT HARD FOR SNOW TO
DEVELOP EXCEPT IN THE EXTREME NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE BLUEGRASS
REGION TONIGHT. FOR THIS REASON I HAVE CUT BACK ON POPS OVER THE
WEST AND CENTRAL PORTION OF THE AREA. I WILL ALSO CUT BACK SOME ON
SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AS MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED. THE
REST OF THE FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE
Above is a snippet from the Louisville discussion.
1. 20;1 ratios not 40:1 which is nonsense.
2. relative humidity values are still to be projected in the 70-80% at the time precip starts, little concern about verga now.
here is Jacksons
.SHORT TERM…/THE REST OF TONIGHT AND SATURDAY/…UPDATED
WILL BE ADDING A FEW COUNTIES TO OUR ADVISORY THIS EVENING. THESE
INCLUDE MONTGOMERY… POWELL… ESTILL AND JACKSON. BELIEVE THE
ELEVATION JUMP THAT OCCURS IN PARTS OF THESE COUNTIES WILL BE ENOUGH
TO PUSH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS INTO THE ADVISORY (1-3 INCHES) RANGE.
ROCKCASTLE AND LAUREL ARE TRICKY AS THEY HAVE THE ELEVATION CHANGE
TOO BUT I BELIEVE THEY ARE TOO FAR SOUTH TO GET IN ON THE BEST LAKE
MOISTURE FEED BASED ON PROGGED 1000-850 MB STREAMLINES.
OTHERWISE… FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE TONIGHT WITH SNOWFALL
EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS AS MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE PASSES. AFTER SEEING THE BLACK
MOUNTAIN COOP REPORT OF 5 INCHES OF SNOW LAST NIGHT AT THAT
ELEVATION THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT OUR HIGHER RIDGES ALONG THE
VIRGINIA BORDER WILL REACH INTO WARNING CRITERIA AGAIN BY TOMORROW.
I DO NOT BELIEVE THE IMPACT JUSTIFIES AN UPGRADE RIGHT NOW THOUGH AS
THOSE HIGHER AMOUNTS SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE VERY HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS.
UPDATED ADVISORY STATEMENT CAPTURING THE ADDITIONAL COUNTIES WILL BE
SENT MOMENTARILY AND ALL OTHER PRODUCTS WILL BE UPDATE SHORTLY
THEREAFTER.
Lookin like at least .3qpf for the period wed-fri at 20-1 gives a soild 6 inches…that what you seeing mitch?
When a SEC teams comes to BG and finally plays a real road game they get beat…Guarantee Miss St’s last trip to Diddle…WKU 55 to Miss St. 52….And yes there is more schools in this state then UK and god himself John Wall…GO TOPS!!!! Here is to another run in the NCAA tournament…
2-5 wed night-thu eve
1-4 fri and sat
Snow is really coming down in Pikeville,I love it as long as it doesn’t cause power outages.
Congrats to WKU. I was thinking WKU beat Vandy too. SEC really is down this year. Also, why all the hate on UK. John Wall is a special player, but I think he does not think of himself as deity. I love him as a UK fan, but some of the nicknames people use for him are sacreligous. On that we can agree.
True,
Plus too cold to make snowmen anyways 😉
Here is the latest info. from western Kentucky guys…….Issued by The National Weather Service
Paducah, KY
4:21 pm CST, Mon., Jan. 4, 2010
… CONFIDENCE INCREASING FOR MID TO LATE WEEK SNOWS… AND BITTERLY COLD CONDITIONS FOLLOWING THE SNOW…
IT CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE THE REGION WILL SEE ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL… ESPECIALLY LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY… AS A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. PRELIMINARY INDICATIONS SUGGEST MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS MIGHT OCCUR… WITH AMOUNTS OF 2 OR 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. IF THIS FORECAST STAYS ON TRACK… A WINTER STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT OR TUESDAY.
IMPACTS COULD BE SIGNIFICANT… GIVEN THE ANTECEDENT COLD CONDITIONS THAT ARE IN PLACE… AND THE FACT THAT MUCH OF THE SNOW COULD OCCUR DURING OR BEFORE THE MORNING COMMUTE THURSDAY. TO MAKE MATTERS WORSE… ANY SNOW THAT DOES ACCUMULATE WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO BE WHIPPED AROUND BY GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
Bottom line is the cold air will generate higher precip ratios, but the dry air being so cold will cause the storm system to decipitate a bit to override the cold dry air…..thus less precip, but higher snow ratios…..agree?
NWS local forecast discussion just updated and sounds interesting………FRIGID ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP THE REGION DRY AND
UNSEASONABLY COLD FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 48 HOURS. LATEST MODEL RUNS
CONTINUE THEIR TRENDS OF THE PAST FEW DAYS REGARDING A POTENT MID
LVL SHORT WAVE WHICH WILL BE DIVING SE INTO THE MIDWEST WED
NIGHT/THU. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF FORCING OR RETURN MOISTURE IN THE
LOWER ATMOSPHERE WITH THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER…120 TO 150 KT UPPER LVL
JET AND CORRESPONDING AGEOSTROPHIC CIRCULATION SHOULD CREATE QUITE A
BIT OF UPWARD MOTION/FORCING AHEAD OF THE SFC FRONT WED NIGHT/THU
MORNING. NOT LOOKING AT TREMENDOUS AMOUNTS OF QPF HERE…ON THE
ORDER OF .20 TO .25 LIQUID EQUIVALENT. HOWEVER…WITH THE AIR MASS
BEING SO COLD…WOULD LIKELY SEE OVER 15/1 RATIO ON THE SNOW
AMOUNTS…WHICH PUT MANY LOCATIONS IN THE 3 TO 4 INCH RANGE.
AM ALSO CONCERNED WITH THE ANTECEDENT COLD CONDITIONS IN PLACE…AND
THE FACT THAT MUCH OF THE 6 TO 9 HOURS OF SNOW COULD OCCUR DURING
THE MORNING COMMUTE THU. TO MAKE MATTERS WORSE…WHAT SNOW DOES FALL
WED NIGHT INTO THU WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO BE WHIPPED AROUND IN GUSTY
NW WINDS THU PM/THU NIGHT. THUS…WILL MENTION SOME BLOWING SNOW IN
THAT TIME FRAME.
I’m trying to figure out why almost the entire state of Montana is under WSW and I’m looking at a pitiful radar from there as we speak.
Mark use this link and see their snowfall rates and total forecast snowfall…may clear up your thoughts……….http://www.weatherstreet.com/Snowstorm.htm#
check out this website I am actually starting to believe it due to all the things going on right now
http://www.iceagenow.com
nothing but a few flurries here atm so much for 1-4 inches in knox county
The content of these posts are really a good resource
I wish I could write that beautifully
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