Good Thursday, everyone. Rain is rolling back into the bluegrass state and it’s likely to become heavy over the next couple of days. Gusty winds and a crack of thunder may even join our wet weather party. Once we get through that, we have to focus on the possibility of some wintry stuff early next week.

The rain that moves in today will be a cold one with temps generally ranging from the upper 30s to the low 40s in most areas. If the drops make it in early enough, I could see how a few spots could get a touch of frozen stuff.

Current temperatures

Thermometers will rise tonight and could be near 50 by Friday morning as a warm front drifts through here. Rounds of showers and some rumbles of thunder will then sweep in during the day as gusty winds continue. Highs could push 60 in some spots.

That low will then roll right on top of us Friday night and Saturday with more in the way of heavy rain…

 

NAM 2

Things may try to dry out from west to east during the day Saturday as colder winds blow. Temps will start well into the 50s and then crash through the 40s…

NAM 3That sets the stage for chilly, but nice weather for Sunday. Highs in the 40-45 degree range will be common after lows in the upper 20s and low 30s.

That brings us to the POTENTIAL for some wintry stuff next week. The models, as expected, have been all over the place in recent days. That’s something I said would likely take place and we are seeing that now. The latest European Model for Tuesday into Wednesday…

Euro

That basically brings a cold front through here with some flurries and snow showers with cold air filtering in. You can also see how it pounds New England with a huge snowstorm.

Until the models can figure where to stick the cutoff low, they will show a lot of change from one run to the next.

To get us back into a true winter pattern, we have got to turn mild for a bit. I actually think that happens very late next week into a part of the following week. Coming off a cold November, we usually have to sacrifice some days for the pattern to reload. I’ve actually talked about this happening for a while now and I’m finally seeing the setup that can provide that.

Don’t sweat it because this has happened in MANY of the great winters of years past. 1939, 1977, 1978, 1984, 1993 and 2013 come to mind for having extended mild periods in December before going boom! There is only one awful year I’m looking at that I can’t seem to write off… 1991. That year had a few similarities to this one and was a total stinker.

Our pattern should snap back into a wintry one in the week leading up to Christmas.

I will have updates later today. Take care.