Good Saturday, everybody. Rain, rain, go away is the weather chant of the day… and it just may work. Colder winds will blow across the state today and this will kick the heavy rain on out of town. Our day will feature tumbling thermometers as the temps skew colder than normal in the coming days. I’m also tracking a shot of possible winter weather for Tuesday.

Today starts with temps in the 50s, but those numbers will fall through the 40s during the afternoon. Upper 30s will show up by early evening as the last of the rain scoots across eastern Kentucky. There is the chance of a touch of frozen precipitation across the mountains in the southeast before it’s all said and done.

Temps by Sunday morning will drop into the upper 20s and low 30s. High temps will be downright chilly with a lot of upper 30s and low 40s. The NAM says we’re even colder than that for highs…

NAM

Monday starts with upper 20s and low 30s with afternoon highs well into the 40s. Winds will gust up as our system arrives from the northwest. That will usher in much colder air Monday night into Tuesday with a big storm blowing up along the east coast. The exact details on how this evolves are still to be worked out, but it does look like we have the potential for some light snow.

The European Model shows a potent upper level system diving right on top of us and forming a big closed low to our east…

Euro 2

If it plays out like that, light snow would be possible as it passes over our heads and wraparound snow showers and flurries would be possible into Tuesday and Wednesday. The greatest chances would be in the central and east.

The GFS continues to progress toward what the rest of the modeling world has been saying for days now…

GFS 2

That shows a period of light snow Monday night and Tuesday morning with snow showers and flurries into Tuesday night across central and eastern Ky. Again… the exact details on how this all plays out will show themselves later in the weekend.

Normal to below normal temps will then hang tough through the end of the week with the possibility of another system dropping in from the northwest.

The pattern continues to progress toward one that likely turns very wintry in the week leading up to Christmas. Last night I showed some individual days from the super long range European model. These are from the same run, but show how the upper levels look on a weekly basis. Note the big ridge going up out west and into Alaska…

Euro 3 Euro 4

That sets up perfectly for some winter fun and games during the holidays. We’ve had snow on Halloween and Thanksgiving… might as well add Christmas and New Year’s to the list. 😉

I will have updates later today. Until then, track the rain and colder air…

Current temperatures

Take care.