Good Friday afternoon everyone. A significant winter storm is moving into the state as we speak with rain breaking out across the southern half of the state. Dynamic cooling will soon take place and we will get snow to mix in with the rain by later this afternoon with a quick switch to heavy, wet snow coming by the evening hours. This will set the stage for a good old fashioned snowstorm for a lot of people.
The midday check of the latest forecast models finds them holding on to their respective outlooks. The NAM continues to be the wettest and farthest west with the heavy snow. As a matter of fact… the model is even farther west now and would bring Winter Storm snow totals to much of central Kentucky…
NAM Snowfall
The GFS is still farther east with the heaviest snowfall…
I will continue to take a slightly more middle of the road approach with the snow forecast… but I have ramped up totals a bit and come a tad farther west. I simply cannot overlook the NAM and it’s westward trend of late. Here are my latest thoughts…
I will have ONE more call on snowfall coming later this afternoon so be looking for that. I want to get one more looksy at how things are progressing on radar.
Let me say once again that I firmly believe the NWS is NOT far enough west with the Winter Storm Warnings!
This will be a very wet snow and it does NOT have to be 32 degrees of lower to snow with this system so keep that in mind later this afternoon and early evening. Speaking of temps… track the thermometers here…
More updates will come later this afternoon into the evening. I will also be using Twitter to send out quick thoughts so be sure to sign up to follow me @Kentuckyweather . You can get those updates sent directly to your cell phone free of charge. These updates will also appear in the top right hand corner of this blog.
Take care.
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Thanks for the update Chris!!!
Thanks Chris! I’m not even close to understanding all the weather charts and such, but I’ve learned enough to know that this storm does look like it’s trending a tiny bit more west. Accuweater had sun icon up for today and very light snow for tonight and tomorrow. Go figure!
CBC but im afraid it will rain more than omost think whuich will take snow totals down.
cause if its evening before we see snow falling we will not see 6-10 inces in SE/.E KY.
we need that deep moisture in tenn to get here quick so the evap cooling begins.
Its lookin better and better!
It would be HUGE if this whole dynamic colling thing could take place earlier than expected by an hour or two…think SNOW 🙂
Lookin like about 3-4 inches for the Lawrenceburg/Versailles area. Better than nothing I guess 😉
this kind of storm is hard to call because every mile makes a substantial difference.
Hi, Chris!
Nice asking my question on the live blog last night & getting a timely answer!:) I live a bit west of your 4cast area, but always turn to YOU for accuracy!(Don’t tell Belski or DK/aka “Grinchy”-we’re related by marriage!;))
HAPPY to see that snowfall coming more towards Bardstown! Told hubby this morning I thought it would, but he has no faith, at least not in ME!LOL! I’ll take 1-4″, but if it spins out more on me, I won’t be complaining at all! Just make sure it’s snow. We’re always in the eye of the ‘donut hole’ for ICE here in Nelson Co.!:(
neither the nam or gfs had the precip sheild this far northwest as the radar is showing now on the modelling, does it matter? who knows!
the lexington metro is the toughest call with this storm no doubt about it look how fine the cutoff is 6 inches in lexington to 2 in bardstown on the 12z nam.
It seems to have started already: Black Mountain has dropped from 36° to 32° in the last hour…
Will someone please post the snow totals again…I can’t see the pictures that Chris posts.
Thanks Chris for the update.
How will the dynamic cooling work? How long will it take to kick in?
where are you located and i’ll tell you what model says for your area
Boyle County- 42*…………Snow of 1″ thus far has been reported in the Georgia mountains. An official report from Asheville, N.C. 2 inches of snow fell in less than 30 minutes.
Temp is at 38 in Monticello, down from 40 about thirty minutes ago!!
I dont even smoke..but I think I need a cigarette !!…LOL..and maybe a trip to LOWES OR WALMART!!!…LOL..
39*
steady rain
I’m so excited and I just can’t hide it
I’m about to lose control and I think I like it
I’m so excited and I just can’t hide it
And I know I know I know I know I know I want snow!
Bubba points:
1. The temps are going up, because the precip is moving in, but the cold air should dominate and make the majority fall as heavy frozen stuff. No warm leading air- no system for snow.
2. The system is trending slightly west. which of course is better than slightly east.
3. My thought is that once the system hits a westerly trend, it will hard for it to suddenly change course, but mother nature does what she wants;)
The NAM seems to comply more with the trend, so more weight with it’s snow totals.
Thanks Chris for the updates and all that you do..
We need to keep J.Wall for another year or 2!! Vinny says he’ll pay half if you pay the other! lol 😀
Still nothing falling in Berea. Temp still on slight rise flirting with 40 at 39.9
Temp has dropped two degrees here in lex from 40 to 38, in the past half hour
Has this moved far enough west for the Louisville area to see anything?
37 here at my house
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1237 PM EST FRI DEC 18 2009
.SHORT TERM…/THE REST OF TODAY/
NOT MANY CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST AS THE STORM LOOKS ON TRACK
AT THIS POINT. CURRENT OBS SHOW THAT RAIN HAS COMMENCED ALONG THE
TENNESSEE AND KENTUCKY BORDERS WITH A FEW REPORTS OF SOME FLAKES
MIXED IN. HIGHER RIDGES ARE STAYING COOLER AND FEEL THIS COULD HAVE
AN IMPACT ON HOW MUCH VALLEYS SEE VERSUS THE RIDGE TOPS. EXPECT
PRECIPITATION TO GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REST OF THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON AND SLOWLY OVERCOMING THE DRY LOWER
LEVELS. MOST PRECIPITATION SHOULD START OUT AS RAIN OR A RAIN SNOW
MIX AND CHANGE TO ALL SNOW BETWEEN 4 AND 7 PM. AREAS IN THE EXTREME
SOUTHEAST SHOULD SEE THE CHANGEOVER BY MID AFTERNOON. AT THIS POINT
FEEL THE BIGGEST IMPACTS WILL NOT BE SEEN UNTIL AFTER 5 PM. MODELS
HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH OVERALL TRACK OF THE SYSTEM…
HOWEVER THERE ARE STILL WIDE RANGES OF DIFFERENCE BETWEEN QPF
AMOUNTS. WILL CONTINUE TO GO BELOW THE WETTEST NAM…HOWEVER IT HAS
GAINED SOME SUPPORT FROM CANADIAN/UKMET. THIS HAS RAISED SOME CONCERN
ABOUT MEETING WARNING CRITERIA IN OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES. WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATEST TRENDS AND RE- CONSIDER A POSSIBLE UPGRADE
TO WINTER STORM WARNING FROM JACKSON TO FLEMING COUNTY WITH THE
AFTERNOON PACKAGE. AT THIS POINT THE HIGH END OF THE 2 TO 4 INCH
RANGE SEEMS A GOOD POSSIBILITY. THE TIME FRAME COULD BE A BIT LATER
WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW FALLING BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND MID MORNING ON
SATURDAY.
ELSEWHERE IN THE WINTER STORM WARNING…WIDESPREAD 4 TO 6 INCHES
STILL SEEMS REASONABLE WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS ON RIDGE TOPS AND THE
LOWER AMOUNTS IN THE VALLEYS. STILL EXPECT THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATION
TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEAST AND EAST KENTUCKY
WITH UP TO A FOOT ON THE HIGHEST PEAKS.
I’m in Sadieville, but traveling to London in the morning
gfs has lighter amts for that area but nam says 8-10”
ruc showing 1-2 inch hour rates this evening for areas east of lexington could be thunder as well lookign at returns over tenn.
by the looks out my window I may have to get the ARK outta storage, then put runners on it tonight…its pouring the rain here, if only this were snow…geez…
I think the cooling is starting.
http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?location=USKY0721&enlarge=true&animate=true
Boyle County- 1:15pm Sprinkles 43*
Don’t worry, Tim, I gotcha covered – on both accounts. I’m getting ready to make the dreaded trip to WM in a few mins. Heard last night they were already out of milk, bread, and soda…LOL!
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/ruc/hr4/images/ruc_p01_009l.gif
looking ( correction of sp)
As Chris would say, JKL probably should have put up the winter storm warning for their northwestern counties a long time before now!
Madison Couty – Berea
Sprinkles
40.3°
The temp is finally dropping in Barbourville. 39 an hour ago, then 38 just a few minutes ago. One reading now says 37.
What’s the right temp for snow with this system?
I’ve followed this blog for over two years now, but never posted. You’re an informative–and entertaining–bunch to follow!
look far eastern if it changes over in sweet spot, if it dont start wrapping around as it moves east i dont see n 8 -12 inches, that HEAVY IN EAST TEENN WILL MISS MOST OF US IN se
The winter of 83 – 84 I saw it actually start spitting snow with my temperature well into the 40’s. However, within 5 minutes we were down to with heavy wet snow. It was a system from Texas and it laid down a nice snow.
LOL..O.K. Dawn, which bank thermometer are you looking at Commercial Bank? I just saw that about 30 min. ago myself,..lol but the mesonet site temp. at Bimble says its still 39*…but I’ll go along with 37*…:)
Frankfort temp = 40 1:22pm
moderate rain in manchester 37 degrees.
Welcome aboard.. Now ya can start being informative-entertaining as the rest of us dramatized weather freaks! lol 😉
Thats a good question, I’ve seen it snow high as 41° but once it started snowing the temp dropped super fast. Anything above freezing is considered a “wet snow” makes a beautiful winter wonderland and snowmen, but bad on the power lines and trees.
Honestly..not sure these are better than the bank’s thermometer..but I check my iPhone and the Desktop Alert thing on my computer, which I downloaded from WKYT. Whether the numbers are right, I dunno…but they’ve both shown a drop of 2 degrees in the last hour.
And my toes are colder than they were 30 minutes ago. How’s that for an authoritative source? 😉
I can feel it coming in the air tonight. I’ve been waiting for this moment for all my life ( well since the last time I saw a big snow when I was 6).
Just beginning to rain here temp. sitting at 37. Come on snow!!!
LOL…toes cold= snow sounds good to me, but hey anything sounds good to me right now if it means snow falling…LOL…
And just FYI they will be letting school out early here today at 2:15!!! Either they are crazy or they know something I don’t. I am going with crazy!!
Just saw someone from Campbell Co. Tennessee (Jellico, Lafollette) on Accu Blog said it has changed to heavy wet snow there! Hopefully a good sign!
Hey, Bernie!;)
How ya’ doin’ my friend?! We always know it’s gonna snow here because you come on w/ a vengeance!!;)
YUP-I’ve seen it snow here one Sun. afternoon when it was 44°…and the sun came out brightly during the last half of it. We got about a quick 4″, and I think it lasted a day or so, too?! Not sure of the date, but I’m thinking early/med 90’s on that one?!
38°/Lt. Rain in Bardstown.
E/NE Wind…
I’m thinkin’ this might be a good one for ALL….we shall see!;)
henry att accu new snow map 1-3 in far east ky.
probably what will actually happen….always does
abingdon Va. reporting light snow..37*
knoxville tn..heavy rain…37*
Trust me knoxville I FEEL YOUR PAIN!
That’s good news, I hope. I have to walk the dog soon, and I’d much rather do it in snow than in this prickly-cold rain, even if it’s a wet snow!
I just talked to my dad in Brevard, NC (Transylvania county) and he said it’s POURING snow there; so far about 3 inches! I’m pissed! LOL
Just wondering if road condition will become hazardous early. Need to finish some Christmas shopping after work.
If it ain’t close to I-95 Henry don’t pay much attention to detail for it. I’m still holding by my call map from last night.
wow!!!..thats just across the big mnt.. from us snowwatcher!!!!
He must be going by the GFS on Dec 11! lol I think thats about what it had at that time. When they said it was heading out to sea.
Pay no attention to Ole Henry…He has no snow in North Carolina at all, but some places reporting 5 inches already LOL!
Whoooooopie!!!! We now having big white flakes mixing in with the rain and temps are setting at 37-39* …down here on the line!!BRING IT ON !!!!
there is snow mixing in the rain right now in Somerset, you can see it splatter when it hits the windshield… and im in town too!! The change over might happen earlier than I had thought:)
I copied the link earlier, you could see the mtn behind the house, now ya can’t! lol
Burnsville, North Carolina – Webcam
http://highcountrywebcams.com/webcameras_Burnsville.htm
Middlesboro was reporting HEAVY WET SNOW just a bit ago with visibility under 3/4 a mile…..
Madison County – Berea
Light Rain
39.7 FALLING!
Frankfort temp = 41 WRONG WAY. LOL
Temps dropping….down to 35*!!
Boyle County- 2pm 43* Dewpoint has risen temporarly to 33* Light rain.
Linda how quick did it drop? Anything sticking?
Linda you still getting snow??? I think its still all rain over here in Barbourville, the best i can tell…
What is a good dewpoint for snow?
We are sitting at 39 degrees here in Somerset. Cold rain with snowflakes mixing in. The atmosphere is DEFINITELY getting moistened up! I am thinking we might just see the changeover before the evening hours around here. And Linda in McCreary County, if you are already seeing snow, hopefully ours will start soon. But you ARE at a higher elevation thatn Somerset, even though you are south of me. I grew up down there.
Tim, hang in there. I feel YOUR pain, but I think the Dr. is about to prescribe somewhat of a cure for both of us….I hope!
Dawn, welcone to the blog! We are all family here, and families fight sometimes. 😉 Glad to have you with us!
Light drizzle in Georgetown. Hopefully we’ll see more than and inch here.
Anyone on the blog in Letcher, Bell, Harlan Counties see any snow right now?
http://adds.aviationweather.noaa.gov/satellite/displaySat.php?region=US&isingle=mult_big&itype=wv
The storm appears to be picking up speed now. I’m getting concerned that these snowfall predictions are not going to be realized.
32 or less for dewpoint….air temp can be quite warm and still snow
I can’t believe all of you guys have forgot about the snow dome!!! Never under-estimate it’s power
Told you guys …. it’s ALL RAIN …. lol …boy Walmart gets the last laugh again.
I am so happy for you all in eastern ky who are gonna get one heck of a snowfall 🙂
Doesn’t look like the precip shield is gonna be afr enough west to give us here in Lawrenceburg more than a couple inches at most.
Who knows…maybe mother nature will prove me wrong.
Im reporting RAIN/SNOW MIX now here in Barbourville…..I just called some family down in middlesboro, and they said snow was already sticking, its heavy and wet and temp..is down to 36*…
time to go get the kids from school…they’ll be FLIPPIN OUT!!!…lol..
My elevation is about 848ft. Wet bulb is at 40. To my knowledge frozen precip is not possible with a wet bulb that high. But it will come down later.
TEmp has dropped two degrees in the past 5 minutes….down to 37 here now. Still have flakes mixing in….
Are the roads expected to get hazardous fairly early or not till later? Please someone give me any thoughts on this. thank you
Roads should be fine until late tonight..unless you live in Like Letcher, Harlan, Bell, Knox, Pike counties…it’ll be snowing so hard there soon that roads could get slushy
Heavy snow/rain mix right now.
temp has begun to drop in Anderson County with 38.8 degrees right now and still very light rain…can anyone give their best guess of what areas about 10-15 miles west of lex will see…say in Woodford or Anderson counties? (right along the Ky river)
FOLKS we are not going to get a big snow, sorry but the air is not cooling. HEAVY RAN IN MNCHESTER AT 39 DEGREES. THE mMODELS ALWAUYS RIGHT TILL KY IS IN THE SNOW.LOL
SEE YA ALL LATER.
John Belski reporting next week’s storm has taken a northerly turn for now which would be rain instead of snow. Aaaarrrggghhh!
Rolo it isnt suppose to snow till later.
The Snow Dome prevails once again, dangit
Yoy finally gave in didn’t you flipflopper. LOL ……
Some of you guys crack me up. One minute your seeing a historic snowfall and the next minute the storm is a complete dud even though the main Low is still in the Gulf.
The storm is still getting its act together. The heavy snow wasn’t supposed to start until late afternoon at the earliest. It’s only 2:36. Keep the faith guys and gals. In the NAM we trust:)
It’s going to be RAIN FOLKS …. sorry but I told you so. Storm is moving to quick, no dynamic cooling and we are going to get el raino …. when the good guy up above says it will snow, it will snow. No one can predict it.
thank you for your responce. hopefully I can get my christmas shopping finished tonight.
it isnt suppose to snow till 6pm or later tonight.
LOL! me too!! It’s called a DR JEKYLL AND MR HYDE SPLIT PERSONALITY SYNDROME..
We have ALOT of snow coming, gotta give it time to get out of the GULF of MEXICO!
The GFS had us in a 6-9 hr RAIN event on the onset and then its suppose to change to snow, that map was pretty accurate at this point! 🙂
The main Low is still in the gulf. Do you think it can reach New England by midnight Billy?
Once the Low makes the trek up the coast it should pull moisture off the Atlantic and should enhance
For the Lex. Frankfort and Danville areas dont expect much of any frozen until after midnight.
I know a few that I really wish would get banned. Geez it’s Christmas and a few of you are acting like you just lost a family member. If we had asked any of you three weeks ago would you enjoy even a 1 inch snow a week before Christmas everyone would have taken it. Now that we have a chance at a great storm you start acting like spoiled kids because it has started out as rain. Get over yourselves if it rains so be it but if it does snow don’t get on here and act like you told us all along it was going to because my big toe hurt. GEEZ
The temperature dropped an entire degree in Lexington in the fifteen minutes. Rain has began to fall. Hmmmmm, sounds like the forecast from this morning….
The main low could be in Hawaii and it wouldn’t make any difference. The precip shield is moving in now…and the temps. are no where close to producing a foot of snow. I am starting to think the predictions being put on-air are going to be in trouble here.
OK somebody tell me something good!
Chris, we have falling temps and a few flakes mixing in in Somerset…37 right now.
Just one quick note…
The western edge of the precip shield in west-central Kentucky and into Tennessee is starting to turn vertical….this could be the demarcation line for the precip tonight, as backbuilding of snow is possible later as the storm begins winding up the coast.
snowcat be quiet I am a blog regular, i get emotional OK.
geesh, we might indeed get our SNOW but I just pointing out my thoughts bout temps not cooling with a hour of heavy rain down here.
I get to vent because ILUCV everybody here as well are FAMILY.
thaty said have a few sleet pellets, but another point is all this rain without below freezing temps ur not gouing to see MAJOR SNOWFALL ON GROUND.
Snowing in Barbourville!
I thought I was the only one seeing that. Thanks for the input! 😉
NO JIMMIEE US VERTRANS have seen it before, the fact is unless we get below freezing the SNOW TOTALS ARE A BUST.
as i just said it already rain a inch at my place sothe snow aint going to lay at 34-35 degreees.
Don’t forget the Low to our west too.
Changing to snow south of Corbin
Since your not my parent or Mr. Bailey I get to vent as well, which would not be needed if not for a few. MERRY CHRISTMAS!
John Kerry? Is that you?
It’s snowing hard here in eastern Pike county and starting to stick on the grass!
Yea, Jimmie…we all get pretty amped up about ANY snowfall here in KY, but I agree w/ you…there’s still a LOT of time for the changeover, and if you look at the radar from Chris’ post before, you can see it trending more to the west, as well as more rain/changeover developing to our NW out in IL, so we shouldn’t give up hope or throw in the white hankie just yet?! 😉 (I don’t even OWN anything white to throw out anyway…lol)
Alright, it’s 3 p.m.. I say it is snowing to beat the band by 4:30. Old Snowcat, need to ease up on my buddy Rolo. Old Rolo is focused in and aint slept in 2 days and as the storm is winding up, he is just processing information on the ground.
snowing like crazy in Williamsburg
NWS for Louisville – not sounding good for the Frankfort area…
SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER
AND MIDDLE 30S TONIGHT AND SATURDAY…MAKING PRECIPITATION TYPE A
BIG QUESTION. AT THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS MAY
ACTUALLY REMAIN AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK MUCH OF THE
TIME TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. HOWEVER LOOKING AT THE ENTIRE DEPTH OF
THE ATMOSPHERE VIA SOUNDING PROGS…IT APPEARS THAT ENOUGH OF THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL BE COLD AND SATURATED TO PRODUCE A WET SNOW OVER
ABOUT THE EASTERN THIRD TO HALF OF THE AREA. OVER WESTERN SECTIONS
THE SURFACE BASED WARM LAYER LOOKS A BIT DEEPER AND RAISES THE
POSSIBILITY OF MORE RAIN MIXING IN WITH THE SNOW.
WITH HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WELL INTO THE 40S AND WARM AND WET
SURFACES THIS EVENING IT WILL LIKELY TAKE SOME TIME FOR THE SNOW TO
BEGIN ACCUMULATING. THE BULK OF THE SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL LIKELY BE
ON GRASSY AREAS…ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE ROADS HAVE BEEN
PRE-TREATED. NEVERTHELESS…BY SATURDAY MORNING SLICK SPOTS WILL
CERTAINLY BE POSSIBLE AFTER SEVERAL HOURS OF LIGHT SNOW AND SOME
EXTRA TIME FOR ANY TRAVEL SHOULD BE PLANNED ESPECIALLY IN RURAL
AREAS.
GIVEN ALL THIS…IT APPEARS THE PREVIOUS SHIFT DID AN EXCELLENT JOB
IN ITS PLACEMENT OF THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY AND NO CHANGES TO
THE HEADLINE APPEAR NECESSARY.
I’ve slept 4 hours for real in two days and worked 12 hours and getting ready to do so again. I was on all night and only off from around 7 am until 11 this morning. So I know about lack of sleep and I also know how my kids act when it doesn’t go their way. Peace and love to all Merry Christmas. My last thoughts on this subject bring on the snow.
Snow is now trying to mix with the rain here in Wolfe Co!! This is going to be a fun night!! Everyone stay safe….MERRY CHRISTMAS!!!!
It’s snowing hard here in eastern Pike county and sticking!
Hey Rolo–I hope it holds off in your neck of the woods-I have to come over there this afternoon to the Mennonite bakery to get some of those great rolls for a Christmas dinner I am hosting tomorrow night–thanks for the updates!
I think Madison County should be in the Jackson NWS, just my 2 cents.. The Grinch has too many states and counties to cover! lol
Not looking too promising in the Lex. metro area – looks to be yet another in an unbroken 11 year string of all-bark-no-bite systems…:(
.SHORT TERM…/TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/…UPDATED
…MAJOR WINTER STORM ON TRACK FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW…
WILL UPGRADE TO WINTER STORM WARNING FOR ALL BUT ROCKCASTLE…PULASKI
AND WAYNE COUNTIES WITH THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE. RAIN HAS BEGUN TO
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BASED ON REPORTS OVER THE PAST HALF AN HOUR.
EXPECT THIS CHANGEOVER TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING WITH MOST PLACES ALL SNOW BY 5 TO 7 PM. LOCATIONS COULD
BEGIN TO EXPERIENCE SOME PROBLEMS WITH REGARD TO ACCUMULATION BY 4
PM. EXPECT THE RIDGE TOPS TO BEGIN TO ACCUMULATE FIRST WITH VALLEYS
SHORTLY THEREAFTER. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SEEM VERY FAVORABLE FOR A
HEAVY WET SNOW AND HAVE ACTUALLY UPPED TOTALS A BIT FOR THE ENTIRE
EVENT. AT THIS TIME…AM EXPECTING 4 TO 10 INCHES BY MID MORNING
TOMORROW ACROSS THE WARNING AREA…WITH UP TO A FOOT ON THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS. AREAS FURTHER EAST CAN EXPECT TO SEE MORE TOWARD THE HIGH
END OF THE RANGE WITH AREAS FURTHER WEST MORE TOWARD THE LOW END OF
THE RANGE.
I’m streaming snow coming down in Southern WV live! http://ustre.am/9Iqm
41 degrees here in Franklin Co. (western) spitting some rain.
overall my forecast is
2-5 lexington area
3-6 east of 1-75 to jackson
6-12 ashland, pikeville
1-2 louisville, covington
1 bowling green
2-5 somerset
this is between now and sun am
You don’t think they were taking a stab at CB in that last paragraph do you?
Thanks Shane for sharing! 🙂
precip there but temps aint going drop enough, after dark we see snow but not no 6-12 inches.
its a BUST IMO overall. I eat my words if it happens but TIM,ANDY we are not looking good. MIDDLESBORO has moderate snow now with the higher elevations.
our heavest snow will bw the thing coming from west after low moves thru and cold air comes in.
Couldn’t you add a few inches to those totals? 🙂
Snowing in Laurel County now!!!Coming down pretty heavy too!!!
Temp has dropped almost two degrees in Lexington is the past hour. It’ll be snowing by dark. Sounds like everything is going according to plan.
Another great forecast CB.
Share it with Hazard, lol.
u my dog SNOWCAT, i got ur back man. just going on now forcasting. I may end up wrong ole buddy.
Big flakes coming down in Barbourville.
Perhaps you should clarify what areas you see as a bust. I live in eastern Pike county and it’s sticking everywhere.
Hang in there, O ye of little faith LOL, Jackson NWS discussion actually upping the snow totals. Maybe they know something!
later folks me and my buddy headed down 64 to wva!!!!!
You have to remember if you get 2 inches per hour or even 1 inch per hour it doesn’t take a long perio of heavy snow to get 8 inches. Already seeing those rates and the possibility of Thundersnow so those rates could easily happen here. My glass is beyond half full.
HEAVY SNOW IN DOWNTOWN B-VILLE KNOX CO.
35*
You’re never wrong, ROLO the FLIPFLOPPER. When you flip flop as much as you do, you always right.
Whew! Just got back from WM in London. What a madhouse!!!
It’s currently 37* here in East Bernstadt. We’re starting to see the change over in this area. Sleet with some fat snowflakes mixing in!
snowing in lily.probably won’t amount to much, but defintely won’t be all rain,since it’s snowing now
When I was driving home just a little while ago, big rain drops were splatting on my windshield.
If it was up to me I would share with everyone who wants it! And I hope you get 12+ inches! lol
Vicki, just got back from London. Snow was just starting to mix in on my way home. We’ve got sleet here in East Bernstadt with snow mixing in. FAT FLUFFY FLAKES at that!! 😀
Starting to stick on roofs and grassy areas here in Barbourville. This may actually pan out to be a good snow. Hope it has been worth the wait.
One can only hope.
What a view, Shane!! Enjoy it!! 🙂
35 CURRENTLY COLD RAIN IN Pikeville when will I start getting the 6-10 inches of snow? I am so happy that we will finally get some snow,hope the temps starting dropping.I am glad we had my Father In law funeral service yesterday instead of today,I had never seen a veterans funeral service with the gun salute thanks to them and I want to thank all our men and women in Uniform and all the Veterans.Now come on snow!!!!!!
Well, Chris says 6 to 10 for here, so that’s what I’ll get.
Just saw the Harlan webcam…geez…already more snow there on the ground than we can even fathom here in Nelson County…lol…but I’m not throwing in the towel yet….no way, NO HOW!!!:D
I think its gonna head just east of the apps myself! Don’t get hopes up, thats just my 2 cents.
I just wanted to say it’s not a bust in eastern Pike county. It’s pouring and everything is covered. My mom is on top of the hill waiting for a salt truck because it’s covered. A bus went into a ditch, but everyone is fine.
See, we’re not getting left out this time!!!!!!! 😀
Big white flakes pouring in Corbin. Didn’t take long to go from a mix to snow.
I could go visit my sister in Huntington, lol. She might get more snow than I will.
Currently: 29*, Moderate snow, surfaces are starting to whiten up.
Big flakes coming down in Corbin …. not sticking but it will. Hey Rolo, just a question, why do you Flip Flop like billy goat says? Can you stand to be wrong.
Thanks, Chris.
Heavy snow here in Whitley County. My yard is nearly covered! My kids are so excited – this may actually be the BIG one! Yay for snow!!! I wonder what the totals are up to now?
Debra where are you in Pike? I am in Pikeville and have cold rain? I just saw Chris has us in the 8-12 inch category I cant wait.
Anyone know if this snow will reach Nashville area?
Hi Chasity, Love those FAT FLUFFY FLAKES! I’m between London and Corbin and it was mixing in earlier too. It didn’t take long for it to change to snow! I bet it’s on it’s way to you!
Rolo took 3 Xanax earlier-he should be almost comotose by now…lol!;)(Nothing against rolo…just saying…)
These are the biggest snowflakes I have ever seen!
the disturbance coming in from the west is still expected to produce another band of snow tonight.
The snow is starting to really come down here in East Bernstadt!! Still a little bit of sleet mixed in though.
I feel like such a little kid right now – running every 5 secs to look out the window!! 😀
Same here. It changed very quickly from a mix to snow!
I live a little past Phelps, almost on the Virgina state line. It is pouring! I think I’ll enjoy it more once everyone is home!
Starting to change over here in Somerset.
Snow continues to be heavy in Williamsburg. Wrecks everywhere and the roads are getting slick. It keeps this up and big accumulations will happen.
I thought it wouldn’t take long for you to see it too! lol, I am doing the same thing, can’t help looking out to see what it’s doing. I’m so excited!
pouring the snow at Dorton in Pike county.
It’s here!!! Didn’t take it long at all to get here either! 😉 😀
This blog is going to explode!!!!
HONEST TO GOD !!! SNOW FLAKES ARE AS BIG AS THE PALM OF MY HAND…EVEYONE DOWN HERE IS TOTALLY AMAZED AT THE SIZE OF THESE FLAKES…..AMAZING…
got snow BIG DABS MIXING IN NOW.
im sorry i sound like a nut but I been let down so much guys. i lubnv u all.
ohh and BILLY GOAT I LUV U TOO EVEN THOUGH U ARE A MEAN PERSON.
If we get the heavy snow rates won’t take a long period to produce nice accumulations.
Pouring here where I live as well. Thought I would be able to go to town, do a little shoppin’ before it changed from rain to snow, but I guess Mother Nature had other things on her mind. Thanks for all the updates Chris.
Slushy on my porch, but don’t know about the road situation here.
The transition to snow has taken place here in Salyersville as well!
Beginning to see a mix here in downtown Lex on Main St. across from Dudley’s Hole. Time to leave the office.
I just saw that Estill county got added to the Winter Storm Warning
Getting reports of several accidents on I-75 between lafolette tn. and london ky..tn dot considering closing parts of the interstate around jellico mnt…to clean up accidents and treat road conditions….
33*
very,heavy snow, huge flakes!!!absolutely beautiful barbourville is snow covered winter wonderland….:):):):):)
I love you to Rolo.
Hi Vicky! We’ve got those big, fat, fluffy flakes coming down in downtown London, too. Nothing sticking yet, but it sure is coming down and pretty to look at.
still just raining here in campbellsville, the back side of precip is moving east now and looks like our only hope is the wave coming in from the west….temps have dropped to 39 from 43 but a few hours too late here….oh well just another regular storm for us….all rain and a few flakes at the end….north of us get it, west of us get it, south of us get it, and now east of us get it…we’re in the hole of nothing…oh well maybe the little wave can put down something
snowing in morgan co.
WOW WOW WOW !!!!! Chris Bailey…You done Good!!!!! The Flakes are huge,and buses having a rough time getting kids home.Stay safe everybody!
visbility around ZERO ON GUNCHESTER GROUND GETTING WHITE, ROADS OK AS OF NOW~~~WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
35 degreee
I LUV U ALL!!!!
You were so right on the money!!! I’m very excited that Scioto county has been issued a winter storm warning. No weather here yet though.
Whew, Chasity, you’re not kidding about Walmart in London. I was in there around 2:30 and it was crazy. Thank goodness I only had to pick up a prescription. Got it and got out of there. It’s snowing nicely here in downtown London. Not sticking yet, but once it gets dark I’m guessing it will.
Yep…ILN finally came to their senses. Winter Weather Advisory out for my area (Campbell County, KY).
Hi Deb! It’s starting to look just a little white on grassy areas here now. And still coming down heavy! I want those BIG FAT FLUFFY FLAKES the size of the palm of my hand like Tim is getting though! lol
Shanks,
I’m in downtown London and the roads are okay in town right now. Good luck if you do try to go shopping, though. Walmart and Kroger were madhouses today.
It is absolutely pouring snow now!! Starting to get a bit of accumulation on the ground, though very light at this time. Visibility going downhill quickly.
My kids are home safely now and off school till January – so it can snow all it wants to here!! 🙂
Temp down to 35*
Back to rain and snow mix now.
Pouring the snow in Barbourville. Maybe this will end the drought. Hope so.
Cold Rain in Southern Bourbon County.
Temp was 35.8
ground is white in jackson county
Rain in Raccoon! (Pike County….about 5 miles or so out of Pikeville)
Snow is starting to stick in the yard. Roads still look okay in downtown London.
Temps are dropping from east to west. Seems like that is exactly what you want with this scenario. Or so says John Wall.
ITs snowing in Somerset! BIg big flakes!!!
its LOOKIN GOOD IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD!! now isnt bobt
33*
very,heavy snow, huge flakes!!!
36 at East Point slushy mix right now.
Back to rain and snow mix now.
Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee! 😉
Luv you too, Rolo! LOL!
That’s around the time I was in there. We probably ran into each other at some point and didn’t realize it….because it wasn’t like there was enough room to move around in there. HAHA!!
We’ve picked up a light dusting in a short amount of time.
Have not had this much optimism in a long time.
I looked out and seen it was beginning to stick a little, within ten minutes I looked out again and everything is covered! The flakes are getting bigger!
Hi Deb! I tried to messege you earlier but went to moderation. lol It’s sticking everywhere now! The flakes keep getting bigger!
Raining here in Berea…….My grandma always said “A watch-pot never boils”, so I have my blinds closed and am going to try not to look out until morning! LOL (Truthfully, Ill be looking out all night long! Awaiting a change-over and keeping my fingers crossed)
Pouring wet snow in Manchester!!!! Not sticking yet as far as I can tell, but it will be soon!!!
Wooooohooooo!! I’m so happy you’re getting in on the snow now too!
Bye-Bye, Snow Dome!!!! LOL!
It is 34 here in Bath County and it is all rain. 🙁
Big snowflakes, and coming down hard here in Manchester!!
WUVS out to rolo…from me in Bardstown!:) I give ya hard time, but I’m just like everyone else when it comes to not getting snow. Just because I live west of you guys, everyone thinks we get all the good stuff, and I know that ain’t all TRUE?!:( I said before, and will say again..if there’s a donut hole for ICE/NOTHING, Nelson Co is IN IT! (But I ain’t sayin’ nuthin this time ’round, because I think we’re ALL gonna be surprised when we get up in the morning!:)
What’s on the b-fast menu, rolo??!;)
Just starting to rain mix with snow in southern Rockcastle Co.
Snowing in clay. If the precip is there then we will definitely get at least 6″. With the temps and the possibility of a clipper on Sunday we may get the snow we’ve been looking for.
got half inch up on highway 80 its a white out huge flakes,
I have a question and hope someone can answer. In the past I have seen Heavy Snow Warnings issued. I am wondering does this mean it will be snowing fast and hard such as heavy rain or does it literally mean that it is a heavy wet snow? Whichever, it wouldnt surprise me to see one issued!
I live on a main road in Corbin, which they salted not too long ago. Why they did that while still raining is beyond me. Anyway, even with the salt my road is now covered and becoming slick.
I’m glad you guys are FINALY getting your much anticipated SNOW E. of me!!!:):)
Nothing but drizzle here in Bardstown, but already, some idiot in a County dump truck done clipped a school bus and drove straight into an empty store-front…God Help us if WE get ANY snow!!!;)
Im in Burning Springs and it’s finally starting. Nothing on the ground yet though! Rolo, Im jealous!
How are y’all typing from the future? The last message showing at the moment has a timestamp of 5:41 but it’s only 4:54 Eastern Time.
I’m in southeastern Bourbon County and it’s still raining but it looks like it will change over at any moment. It is COLD.
Y’all have fun!!!
Debbie,
I’m on main street here in Corbin and now its just little flakes. Is there more behind this?
That’s so weird! I live around Phelps and it’s been snowing here for hours and it’s everywhere.
Are you kidding me?????? Nothing here but rain and lots of it! My ditch line is FULL!
Wait a minute, what color is snow?
I think it is because the blog is posting still in Daylight Savings Time.
34 in Pikeville snow starting to mix in!!!!!!
Updated NWS forecast calls for a STORM TOTAL of 3-5″ for Frankfort.
OK…..big ole snowflakes now!!!
fine steady snow now here in manchester 33 degrrees, around inch on ground hope for heaver band later on tonitew.
What about the eastern counties like Bath?
is there more behind this for Corbin?
Biggest dabs of snow ive ever seen, at least 3 inches in diameter, ground covered in a matter of seconds.. now time to pray that the power stays on.
Pouring in eastern Pulaski Co. White out!!!
I’m in Berea where is my snow:(
Didn’t try to go out, it was like BAM changed to snow & BIG, FAT, FLUFFY FLAKES fell for a little bit, now it’s just small flakes. I really love those BIG ONES. I will just have to wait to finish the shoppin’ LOL.
I think Chris needs to start a new discussion, this one is gettin’ pretty loaded down.
Been listenin’ to scanner, alot of roads are very bad. Think they closed down a few already.
Hope everyone stays SAFE & WARM.
Rockcasrle Co. 35* now all snow nothing on the ground yet
Hi, Dee!:)
“Heavy Snow Warning” basically means that if it snows 4-6″ within a 12 hr. pd., or 8″+ in a 24 hr. period, but-I THINK that has since been changed to a “Winter Storm Warning”??! The NWS has changed all their criteria for the ’09 season, so I am not really sure, but last I knew, that was correct?!
WxMan,MJ, anyone…??!
Beautiful snow out there! Roads are covered too, so I hope everyone gets home soon so they can enjoyed the snow from inside. Be safe!!!!!!!!
Vicki,
If you are between London & Corbin, then you are probably in my neck of the woods….
Around 2 to 3 inches here so far. Most roads are already impassable.
Wonder if there will be a chance for some thunder snow.
A little over 1/2″ down already here in East Bernstadt. Some side roads now covered.
32*
Snow
OK. I do not get it. We are supposed to get up to six inches in Richmond, but there is only a weather advisory. What’s with that?
What has to happen for a warning??
Vicki,
Don’t know if my comment was posted to you but I read that you are between London & Corbin. You are in my neck of the woods…LOL
Still snowin’ here, everything is covered.
I know my porch is slicker than snot on a doorknob. Excuse that expression…LOL
But I thought that was the only one I would be aloud to put on here without Chris gettin’ a little mad… 🙂
Again, I do hope everyone that has to be PLEASE BE CAREFUL
TIMMY WE NEED SOME INHANC MENT LIKE we had when it started, that kinda snow had 10 inches written on it,
thisa now is very light and might get 1 -3 in more by tomm, im hoping tht dsisurbNCE inhances again.
that should have read
Again, I do hope that everyone that has to be OUT to be PLEASE BE VERY CAREFUL.
Hope he opens another thread or something this one gettin’ mighty full.
Fogging it down here! Flakes as big as golf balls! Gorgeous!!!!! Ground is white now, and roads are getting slushy. Temp has dropped to 34, and snow is heavy! I love it!!!
Starting to pick back up in Barbourville. We will send it your way.
look nothing but lite snow now unless the west disturbance inhances it, main if it had snowed like tthat when it started we been in.
all heavy snow east of us now.
hope so bobt.
it sure was heavy for a minute butr this storm as far as this low was a bust, it shifted east with the HEAVIER PRCIP.
Just made the change over here in Johnson County. Huge flakes!
The farther east from Frankfort you go the more you’ll get. I’m emphasizing this is a storm total…not what will be on the ground at once.
Chris someone is commenting in my named this is not me.
MODERATE RAIN IN MANCHESTER,LOL SNOW GONE.LOL WXMANSHANE ANYBODY WHO THAT POSSIBLE.
I GICVE UP.
10:00 PM and still not a snowflake in sight in Ashland. Looks like our pollution bubble is keeping us insulated. Maybe in a few hours if we can drop a few degrees.
Starting to get snow mixed with rain on county line on US 60 Lexington/Winchester RD still temp also dropped 2 degrees in the past few minutes 🙂
All snow now 🙂 :0
Temp down to 35
10:30 in Ashland and flakes are mixing with the rain.
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