Good evening everyone. I wanted to drop by with a few evening thoughts on the overall weather pattern as we are about to enter into what can become a very harsh wintry period for much of the country… including here in good old K-Y!

1. The GFS is now a different GFS. The model officially switched over today to the Parallel run that had been going for the past couple of months. This happens as the “old” GFS was finally starting to see the weekend storm along the east coast. The “new” GFS has been less than good in my observation over the past month, yet the boys and girls at NCEP decided it was the way to go. Whatever floats their boat… but it is missing the boat on the east coast storm for the weekend. I would not rely much on this model right now. Hopefully it will get in line with everything else soon.

2. The other models, especially the European and Japanese, continue to develop a big time low pressure along the east coast this weekend. Both models have a weakness extending back into the Ohio Valley that allows for snow to develop on Saturday. I think this is the way to go as of right now. That means we can easily put snow on the ground this Saturday. If we can get a little more interaction between the weakness over us and the east coast storm… that could be interesting.

3. Snow showers and flurries should continue into Sunday as we await a pretty stout clipper that is progged to move in on Monday. The European and Japanese are leading the charge with this one as well and are actually showing a good snowfall around here.

4. Temps this weekend into early next week will be COLD! Highs in the 20s and lows in the teens.

5. I am watching the days around Christmas for a southern stream system that will try to develop into a storm. This has really got my attention to be honest!

6. Overall… the chance for a white Christmas around here is MUCH higher than normal!!! Take that grinch!!!!!

I will have a full update tonight so check back. Take care.