Good Wednesday and Happy New Year! We have clear, calm and cold conditions across the bluegrass state as we close out 2014 and say hello to 2015. Two of those three will change in a hurry as active weather rolls back in. This time, the cold is around and will make for a lot of interesting weather.

In the short term, temps hit the upper 20s and low 30s for highs today with partly to mostly sunny skies. We’re in the high teens to low 20s as the clock strikes 2015.

After a calm first day of the new year, things get active in a hurry. Overrunning moisture streams into the region late Thursday night into Friday morning. That may touch off some light frozen precipitation for some…

GFS

Light appears to be the operative word with this first batch that’s primarily early in the day. But, it only takes a small amount of freezing rain to cause some bigger issues. The afternoon may see improving skies as we await the main storm system late Friday night into Saturday. Temps Friday night and Saturday morning will be VERY close to freezing and that could spell a brief mix or some freezing rain before rain takes over.

Low pressure will then pass overtop of the region with a spike in temps ahead of it on Saturday. That spike is also brief with tumbling temps and the chance for light snow or snow showers on Sunday…

GFS 2

The GFS is trying to develop a decent band of light snow in the cold air Sunday afternoon and evening. Speaking of the cold air… check out this temp tumble from Sunday morning into the evening…

GFS 3

Throw in gusty winds and wind chill numbers will be much lower into Monday.

The pattern will then feature a system diving in here from the northwest and that’s one that may try to develop into something a little bigger. The GFS is certainly going that way…

GFS

The NEW GFS shows a HUGE arctic high pushing that system…

GFS 2

The model numbers behind that front continue to be super duper cold. Check out the temp plunge from morning to night…

GFS 3

Again… I’m not sure we get THAT cold, but you get the idea of how vastly different this pattern is from where we’ve been in recent weeks.

I will have updates later today. Make it a great day and take care.