Good afternoon and Happy New Year. I don’t have many changes on where our weather goes from here, but I wanted to drop by to freshen things up a bit.
In the short term… it’s cold! Modified arctic air continues to absolutely destroy computer model forecast numbers. A few spots across northern Kentucky hit the low teens this morning and temps this afternoon are struggling to get into the middle 20s.
Current temperatures
Lower dewpoints continue to work in here from the northwest. You can see that well on the Kentucky Mesonet dewpoints from noon…
Some of the dewpoint numbers will likely drop into negative territory this afternoon and evening. News Flash: That is arctic air!! As I said yesterday, temps don’t have to be a gazillion degrees below zero for the air to be from the arctic.
Temps tonight will likely be even colder than what we had last night. Don’t be surprised if a few spots drop close to 10 degrees for the first morning of the new year… with a bare ground. Again… modified arctic air!
Some headlines for where we go from here:
– Some very light mix or light freezing rain will be possible across the southern half of the state Thursday night and Friday morning. As of now, this doesn’t look to be anything too widespread.
– A nice area of low pressure will work right on top of the state Saturday. Temps in the north may be just cold enough for a touch of freezing rain at the start.
– Heavy rain and gusty winds will take over on Saturday as temps spike. A rumble of thunder will be possible.
– What goes up, must come down. Temps will crash from west to east on Sunday as the low goes by to our north and northeast. Readings will be much warmer at daybreak than they will be at sunset. Numbers may fall into the upper teens and low 20s by later in the evening for some.
– Some snow showers or a period of light snow will be possible as the cold air slams in. Winds will continue to be very gusty.
– A clipper will then sweep in here early next week with the chance for snow and even colder air coming in behind that. Another system may follow that up later in the week. One of these will really try to dig in here!
I will try to update later this evening. If I don’t get the chance… have a happy and safe New Year! I appreciate each and everyone of you guys… haters included. 🙂
Happy New Year and take care.
Happy New year to you friend and weather dude. Peace to you in 2015!
Happy New Year Patty
same to you MikeM!
Thanks for the updates! Appreciate all that you do…..have a Happy New 2015! May the New Year bring us all the weather we want. Yeah, right! Everybody keep a sense of humor.
Happy New Year! Thank you for the great job you do all year. It is much appreciated
Happy New Year = Yaayyy!
33/32 to start the new year = Boooo!
Hey Bubba, 2015 might at least bring you a clipper. That’s something to be hopeful about, right?
At least that is a better chance for folks south of the river than the infamous southern fed systems 🙂
All SF systems give us is cold rain, mix and big ice.
Chris, Thanks for all you do and havey done over the years. Hope you have a Happy New Year.
To all my fellow KWC counterparts may you and yours alike have a Happy New Year as well.
Artic air will be here soon enough. So will the snow.
Thanks Chris and Happy New Year to you and your family! I wish the same for all of my weather center friends. May your 2015 be filled with good things and peace and prosperity! Love y’all like family! Have a great rest of the year and a safe New Years Eve off on the road. Feel like I’m getting the flu so I will definitely not be on the roads tonight.
Thank you Chris. I appreciate how you explain the weather – arctic air and all! Your long range ponderings and forecasts are also greatly appreciated. Just takes a tweak or two to get a good snow ’round here.
Wishing a very Happy New Year to everyone. Be safe and smile.
Get better soon Coffeelady!
Happy New Year Chris we appreciate you too
34 here in Carrie of knott. Seems like typical winter to me. Sun makes it pretty nice for 34
I have been following this blog for years now and feel Chris is the man.
I do however want to say that freezing cold temps before and after storms doesn’t do it for me. Actually nothing frustrates me more than extreme cold only to have a storm move to our nw and get rain and warm when it counts only to have it get really cold again afterwards.
Thats kind of pointless to me. I would much rather have a warm winter with one big snowstorm.
I think a lot of the people that follow may feel the same, not sure however.
But as always, thanks Chris. This is in now way anything about you or the blog. Just may help explain some frustrations that the haters have.
Happy New to everyone on this blog, and to Chris.I for one appreciate everything you do and don’t ever want you to stop doing it. And most of us really love you.
Happy New Year too you Chris, and all the news and weather team at WKYT. You’re are #1 go to site and channel for news & weather everyday of the year and we appreciate all that you do!!!
Save tonight’s alcohol for use during the remainder of our winter. It’ll help numb the misses when it comes to snowfall. 😉
On a serious note, please pay attention on the roads when you’re out. There’s been a whole week of people crossing the medians and hitting cars. You can’t control that but you can control where your car is while it happens. Be safe!
Modified Arctic rain. Gets real cold and prime for snow, but when low comes a callin, arctic cold gives way. When low leaves, arctic cold comes back. The cold is a big chicken!
That could be the new slogan, modified arctic rain followed by dry unmodified arctic cold.
Happy New Year to my kyweathercenter.com family! Bringing it in from the lovely tropical Isle of Captiva!!!!!
I just reviewed the various MJO forecasts listed on the CPC website. Essentially, each forecasts phase 5 through the 15th of January. In the winter months, phases 4, 5, and 6 are warm. None seem to show a great deal of amplitude, but it will be hard to get sustained cold in those phases.
The potential good news comes from the Australian model. It goes out to February 5 and finally shows the MJO working into phase 7 late in January and early February. That would suggest cold can become persistent, or at least the chances are better for that.
The MJO doesn’t drive the pattern, but it’s move through the warm phases correlated well with the warm December we had. And remember, these are just forecasts and cane wrong. If the Pacific jet relaxes and the favorable Pacific SST’s are able to taken hold, cold can come fast.
Happy New Year Chris and all the weather weenies..May 2015 bring peace and happiness to all plus all the snow we desperately want.
dew point in wayne, wva is currently 3 degrees above 0 degrees as of 6:50pm.
current temp. in wayne, wva is currently 29 and falling as of 6:52pm.
Thank you Mr. Bailey for your wisdom, insight and patience. Happy New Year, sir!
Happy New Year!