Good Tuesday afternoon, folks. As mentioned, the potential for frozen precipitation would likely carry us into Wednesday across the eastern part of the state. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY has now been issued in the southeast, but it might need to include a few more counties…
Another period of light freezing rain, freezing drizzle and some light snow will develop tonight across the eastern half of the state. The NAM shows where it thinks the action will fall…
The GFS precipitation type accumulation…
Slick roads will again be a good possibility tonight into early Wednesday as temps stay well below freezing during this time.
Guess what’s happening for the end of the week? Yep… it’s trending colder with a weak front swinging just to our north for Friday. That may keep temps in the upper 30s to around 40 instead of pushing 50.
50 does look possible on Saturday… but that’s it. A stronger cold front moves through Sunday with snow showers showing up better and better…
Temps will try to increase a bit by early next week, but another front will sweep in here with colder air. The cold continues to be a dominant signal in this pattern.
I will have another update later this evening. Take care.
Until we get some blocking to set up on the atlantic side, there will be no big snows in our area. NAO and AO are not forecast are forecast to remain positive through the end of the month. Does not bode well at all if you want snowstorms in KY.
Thanks Chris!
This is the longest I can remember for a good ole “7 day out storm” not to even appear on the models. At least in past years we had some eye candy that always seemed to let us down. Now all CB can see is a few days in the 50s ending up in the 40s. Looks like we have a shot of getting into February with nothing more than a dusting showing up. I highly suspect that if any of those trending colder days had any moisture with them, it will disappear along with the warmer temps.
I never said that’s what I’m seeing at all.
Just hoping that the cold dominating the pattern means low 40s CB. That would still be below average. Let’s warm this thing up a little if we can’t get a dome buster. Cold and no snow is a bad combo. High heating bills with out an old school is no fun.
Totally agree with that! 🙂
On an interesting note.. the new European Model develops a wave of low pressure along that front Sunday with a lot more moisture around here. It then turns the corner and develops into a big storm along the east coast.
That is also a cold run of the European Model for next week. Snow chances show up on it, too.
So you’re saying there’ a chance.
There is always a chance Bob
4-6 degrees below normal for January so far this year with a 46 days without measurable snow. Not sure I have ever experienced that before in my lifetime ok at least the last ten or twenty years. I would say this is a snowless winter for Louisville. All of our snow came in the Fall.
At least we might have some more Festive Flakes!
Must admit this appears to be the longest gap I can recall. At least since CB has been blogging. The models tend to overstate snow, but it must be so bleak, even the models can not come up with anything.
Even Rolo appears to have packed up the goats for this winter.
That made me laugh. ha
I agree Bubba. My above post must of came across wrong. It was just in reference to how the models in the past had always gave hope and CB had referenced those. Now CB not even talking those 7 day out trends like he had in past year models. This has been a dud, and I would love to see some days in the 50’s right now.
Nah, nothing there seems wrong to me 🙂
The key IMO is for folks to be nice and appreciate this is mainly a CB weather thoughts blog. CB can not concoct something, so needs data to support 🙂
BubbaG is on a roll another top 10 comment…LMAO as well.
46 days (only) without measurable snow. You’re adorable.
Though, if I mention our 1/8″ since Oct., I’d still be inviting someone like Andy Rose an opportunity to come in with “look at Mr. Bigshot and his any amount of actual snow at all”. 🙂
50’s equal great jogging weather 🙂
You can’t jog outside if it’s below 50 degrees? OSU grad, by chance? 😉
I am dumb and jog in single digits. Well, I did that once last winter and upped it to double digits shortly afterward 😉
Super slick this morning. Road was ice. May get another morning of this tomorrow. Guess school may be out again.
Thankfully no major icing though. Could have been worse. Looking forward to seeing some snow if it happens. Thanks for keeping us informed.
Winter has been a great big “ugh…” so far with lots of cold, lots of clouds, and not much storm excitement. But I am a year-rounder, and always make the blog my go-to page on the interwebs. No offense to the snow lovers, but I have no heat in my car right now, so I am rooting for Blowtorch.
But like that other guy says – enjoy the weather you have; it’s the only weather you’ve got. Keep on keeping on, Mr. B.
Interesting…. Something that intrigues me about this winter is just what you guys have been saying. The models ALWAYS seemed to show big storms that always panned out to be minor. Now they aren’t. So it really seems that trend has ended. Therefore, I am curious if this could be an indication of a pattern change. Also look at the European model as Chris suggested. So maybe this new pattern the storms will show up when we are right up on it more so. Just wishful thinking I guess.
+ spin post of the day! 🙂
I kind of feel like we are about to see something different.
Me too kman, maybe more what we want.
I hope so. It looks different on the models. Since the models seem to be telling the truth this year then maybe we will see something just pop up and be real this time.. The models have cried wolf for years.
Arctic outbreaks brings low due points with it, meaning no snow, unless we get a clipper. We need to be on the fringe of the cold air, but enough cold air at all levels to bring snow around here. I love for lows to travel through southern Tennessee and up the mountains. Western NC and Virginia.
That would be a rolo old school.
Only if the night before, the goats howl at the moon. A real goatsy howl!
Over the years I have always honestly posted on here things like “all rain event”. “It isn’t going to snow”. Etc.
This year I am saying “expect the unexpected”
We shall see……
Just because he said snow doesn’t mean that it is going to snow. This will be a snow-less winter, as I have predicted before. Rain, mix, and maybe flurries is all we should expect from here on out.
I disagree….. What do you think Chris? Do you agree with this statement?
How far off was Chris’ winter forecast? Didn’t he predict more snow than average? We’re going to need some real deal snow events for that.
He was predicting 30+ inches as many other forecaster where predicting large snow amount too. I think that the analog years threw them off, because late December and January was supposed to be active. We may or may not get there, and if we do now, it will take some big events. Something has changed with the weather patterns and eventually it will have to turn back our way. We are just as cold or colder than we have been, so that’s not the problem. For some reason we had perfect set ups in the past that gave us nice snows and the last two decades have not done that.
I thought he predicted a lot less than that. CB was thinking of increasing it later on, but then he did not mention it again. Wisely so, might I add 🙂
WINTER OVER as far as SNOW.. Nothing to see here move along.lolll seriously its done.
It’s not over until on of your goat eats an eight-track tape of the fat lady singing! Don’t evah’ surrendah’ !! 🙂 😉
Rolo will flip flop again sooner or later. 😉
It’s great to see all the activity and humor on the blog today. Ton o’ funny stuff on a pretty low key weather day.
I’ll go in with the folks feeling a change in our snow luck. It’s gotta change….right?
Have been checking the Reds blogs…pitchers and catchers report on 2/18.
Hope the Cats can find the basket tonight.
Go Cats!!!
Freezing drizzlein Knott county. Temp sitting at 29.9
Great blog day….very little negativity, lighthearted exchanges with humor, Chris intermingling with posters. I like blog days like this.
It’s been a terribly disappointing Dec and Jan so far, but it can always change and surprise us. I’ve seen big snow as late as March 21st so that gives us another 2+ months of possibilities. Hopefully, it will turn more snowy for us!