Good Sunday folks and thanks for blogging with us. The blog title is aimed at all those cold and snow lovers out there as a change in the pattern will be doing you some good this week! 
The potential for the first coating of snow may pop up early in the long Thanksgiving holiday weekend and this is likely the beginning of a wintry period that should take us through much of December.
Before we get to the wintry stuff… we have the threat for a few showers coming in over the next couple of days. The rains should hold to our south through today as temps warm into the middle 50s for most areas. The shower chance comes in Monday and this should keep temps down into the upper 40s and low 50s for highs.
The change toward winter gets started later Tuesday into Wednesday as a cold front blasts through the region. This will bring in much colder air to us for the middle and end of the week as a fairly deep trough digs into the eastern half of the country. This is NOT arctic air by any means… but is plenty cold enough to get some flakes flying around here and for a lot of other folks. This trough should promote the development of a pretty good sized storm somewhere along the eastern seaboard and will be something to keep an eye on. The latest GFS has joined the European model in showing this…
GFS Friday
There will be a couple of disturbances diving southeastward into our region from Thanksgiving Day into Friday. These will give us enough lift to produce rain and snow showers across the region. More snow showers than rain showers should be noted and the GFS p-type map shows this…
If we are to get our first minor accumulation… it would likely come Thanksgiving night into Friday morning. The weather Friday will be perfect for the Christmas shoppers!
The long range into early December will see the cold take hold of much of the country. Combine that with what should continue to be an active southern branch of the jet stream and you can have some fun! The European says we end November and say hello to December with just such a “fun” pattern…
I will have another update later today so come back and see us. Until then… take care.
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Thanks as always Chris! I’m really looking forward to the upcoming holiday. Thanks giving is my favorite! If we can’t have a white Christmas a white Thanksgiving will do!
I’m really looking forward to this thanksgiving since I’m away from family now and get to go home, flakes will only add to the anticipation.
that euro map is so beautiful
My son is traveling home to Versailles from BG as well Mitch! I can’t wait for him to be home! I’m sure your family is counting the days for your return too!
It certainly looks old school doesn’t it Tommy?
the new Candian model is wild it now has a east coast track with the Dec 1st system this would mean snow for us.
Morning, all….well, Thanksgiving week is certainly beginning to look interesting, for sure! I am looking forward to the long holiday weekend with family, and trimming the tree, so if it decides to snow a bit, that is alright with me! But I won’t hold my breath waiting on it….
Mitch, I hope our week goes by quickly and you get home safely, and Patty, I hope the same for your son!
Well, gotta get ready for church….thanks for the update, Chris! Looking forward, as always, to the next one!
Thanks Chris for all you do. I work at the local radio station in Hindman, Ky. and use the blog a lot and encourage our listeners to do the same. Thanks again
oh boy as we get closer ole CRAZY ROLO prediction looking good.
WOOOOOOOOOOO!! HOW BOUT THEM WILDCATTTTTTTTTTTTTS!!! HUH!!!
Kentucky wins at Georgia for the first time since 1977 – there’s that late 70’s reference again! 😉
Fun and games are on the horizon my friends. Looking at the models over the last couple of days my interest has been peaked. We are on the verge of something big if these models even get close to verifying.
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/MRF_0z/f240.gif
I know that GFS map doesn’t mean a lot to many of you… but when it and the Canadian are showing something very similar this far out, it definitely has my attention.
Looking forward to the winter forecast tomorrow!
This IS for Dec. 2nd, correct, Shane? As long as it doesn’t come in and wreck my hubby’s much-needed post-op doc’s visit on the 1st., I don’t care if it covers us up for the next 3 months after that!;
Thanks for keeping us updated!:)
Someone help me understand the European, I presume the black lines are isobars. At what elevation? Does that even matter? What about the red lines? Lines of equal pressure? Different altitude from the black? What can I conclude from the black lines, from the red lines?
Oh, by the way — Steelers still rock.
Hate to burst everyone’s bubble, but December looks like a repeat of last years..
Very cold & Very dry… God I hope I’m wrong…
Yes Mike, the STEELERS do ROCK..!!
WXman would beg to differ WARM AND DRY its gonna be sun bathing weather 😉
Black lines are equal lines of pressure at sea level. The red lines are thickness with heights.
http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/148/
A little article about them if you’re more interested. The big one to watch for Thickness is the 540 line. As a rule of thumb if the 540 line is to your south, then you are in an air mass that can support snow.
until these 7-8 day snowstorms happen i am with wxman.
That is for the night of December 1st, roughly 7 PM. Also realize that is still well over a week off and will likely not verify, but the models are pointing towards something happening that first week of December.
Mike I tried answering your question about lines but got caught in moderation… Chris should approve it later. The short hand of it is black lines are lines of equal pressure at sea level. That just shows you where high and low pressure systems will be. The red lines are lines of equal thickness. The big thing to watch for on the red lines is where the 540 line is. As a rule of thumb if that line is to our south and temperatures are cold enough we can get snow. Hope that helps.
I think we’ll be seeing some flakes this week. Probably no accumulation but if these teleconnections forecasts verify, the fun and games will begin.
I think if a storm develops at all it will be a lakes cutter, i just don’t see us getting snow before the upper midwest gets theirs
Thanx, Shane!:) As long as it doesn’t whoop our butts during the morning of the 1st., I’m good w/ it!
Also..another ?..this is kind of a silly question, but…
WHY do most snowstorms that come our way ALWAYS occur after Dark/sunset??! When I was a kid (40+/- yrs ago..lol), yea, mostly at night, but we’d also have some hellacious ones during the Daytime hrs. as well??! One morning, I get on the bus, home by 1:30pm because the snow had started to hit the roads, and by the time my Mom got off work @ 5pm, my grandpa and I would have to go get her in his little “Scout”, as she couldn’t drive on snow well. We’d have about 6-8″ by that time, and the flakes would be absolutely HUGE, factored in w/ that wild purple-looking sky, it made for the PERFECT snowstorm! (I mean, I like to SEE the snow coming down-not sleep thru it!!;))
Think POSITIVELY, tommy! 😉 (I’ve lately found out that if you’re optimistic about everything, you’re chances of having it come to fruition are about 90% +/- greater!:))
(And I have been known to be the World’s Biggest Pessimist” more often than not!)
Hello Chris & all you winter weather lovers!!! I havn’t been posting,but I am here everyday.I was not excited at all about the forecast until I saw the maps in the last 2 reports from Chris…now I think it is time to get set…!! I got food and plenty of wood,so whatever comes..I am ready!!Happy Thanksgiving to everyone!
Well the big reason is just the fact is simply colder at night and with the colder temperatures the snow is more likely. The other thing we have to remember is that in the winter we have more darkness than day light. If you have more hours of darkness than light, you just have a better chance of getting snow at night than in the day.
That’s what I thought!
But, ya know…back then, too, I’d wake up around 9am(we’d already be out of school b/c of snow..), the sky would get really dark(again-that light purple thing..lol!;), and we’d literally get DUMPED ON (yep..76-78, several times before then) I hate to keep referring to that sky, but it’s just something that you don’t see anymore during a snow event??! Is there a reason for that, as well? Just curious.
Where to go for a dog bite?
Where to go for a dog bite?