Good Tuesday evening gang. I promised you guys an update and dangitt I am here to deliver!
Our November forecast was for a back and forth weather pattern to take over for much of the month as we oscillate between some mild day and chilly ones. That forecast looks to be in good shape right now as the weather pattern for the next week shows this setup quite nicely.
Let me touch on the rains across southeastern Kentucky really quickly before we get into the back and forth pattern. The rains have been hugging the far southeastern parts of our region and a few of this may try to hang tough into early Wednesday as this BIG storm cranks up across the Mid Atlantic states the next few days. Watch how awesome this storm will look as it will beat the heck out of the Carolinas the rest of this week. It is am impressive setup, to say the least.
We have a couple of seasonably chilly days ahead of us with the low to our southeast and a blocking high to our northeast. This will funnel in some very windy conditions and bring our temps down. Highs in the 50s will be with us through Thursday. Friday will see slightly milder air moving in with a shot at 60. Though, Friday’s weather will still be dictated on what goes on off the southeast coast.
The weekend looks milder, but the models are coming in a little cooler with each run and that will be something to watch for.
Overall… the weather pattern across North America is going toward a blocky look. The models last week were suggesting a big cut off low forming across our region next week. They lost this for the past several days, but the new European Model is bringing it back. Check this out…
That would be very close to producing some flakes around here early next week… IF it were to verify! The GFS had been showing a more simple frontal passage but the latest run is going more toward what the above maps are showing.
Next week looks unsettled with below normal temps.
Oh yea… the GFS says Happy Thanksgiving…
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Have a great evening and take care.
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lol 384 hour snowstorm!!!
I am guessing XW will be saying it is wrong again.
Yeah maybe, but the back-n-forth weather talk is why I eat this blog for breakfast. Keep it coming!
that would be WX and your probably right 😉
Hey, if that GFS run for Thanksgiving is right, how much snow would we be getting? Help a girl out. Love the blog Chris. Appreciate all your hard work.
Well,I for one, can remember Thanksgiving weekend in the year Chris has been featuring as a throw back….1976. On the saturday night of that weekend, we got 5 inches of snow here in Somerset, and the neighbor’s cow got out and was staring me in the face when I opened the front door! comical! So, if it were to come to pass, I would not really be too surprised….but, Chris, that just makes this weekends warm weather even more important! I guess we will bite the bullet, and get at least MOST of the outside lights put up before it turns cold, (and possibly snowy later.)
It would really make for a nice beginning to the holidays, for sure…..
ah well, that is a long way away, and there is a lot of weather to see and get through between now and then…
Thanks, Chris, for all you do! Have a good evening, all!
OOP I thought it was XW oh well lol.
Well he is kind of annoying with his
same speech.
“If the power of love would overcome the love of power… the world would know peace”
That quote is for WXman… Seems like he has a real power issue of always having to be right…
Keep up the good & VERY HARD work CB…
Come Sunday, the Bengals are going down..!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! WEEEEEEEEE
GO STEELERS…!
Hey Chris….care to venture a game forecast for those of us heading to Nashville for UK/Vandy on Saturday?
And Vinny, you have it all wrong.
GEAUX SAINTS!!!!
Who dey? 😛 Just kidding Vinny.
At least for right now the weekend is looking good… that run of the euro is looking fun :).
Well let’s see…avg. temp. so far is 52 at my house. Using LEX normals that is 2.5 above normal. Rainfall…ZERO. Warmer. Drier. Is this starting to ring a bell?
Gotta’ give it to ya’…
Saints look pretty damn good right now…
GO STEELERS..!
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It’s getting toward the middle of the month. Where is this cold and wetness I keep hearing about? I’ll make you a deal, when the haters admit they are wrong, I will quit harping on the same thing all the time. Then we’ll all be happy. 🙂
Just a quick question? Why do you always disagree with what Chris says? I read this blog every day and rarely post, I was just wondering.
I keep trying to tell people the same thing every day and still no one listens. How annoying do you think that is? If it was 80 until the end of February the haters here would still say I’m wrong. It’s to the point of almost being hilarious. I LOVE big snowstorms. I really do. But that doesn’t mean one is constantly on it’s way. You can’t wishcast storms into being.
Better look again. New run finally shows Turkey Day…and it shows 50s. That sounds familiar from earlier today… 😉 Of course, that’s 384 hours out. Really gambling at that point.
When (if) cold and snow IS on the way I will agree with Chris 100%. If it is not on the way I will disagree. I call it like it is, not how I wish it was. If I could wish storms into being, we’d have 26 inches on the ground right now. I love snow like the rest here.
only if it was December it would 😉 after all that was when you said warmer drier weather would be here 😛
well if you keep saying the same thing everyday and nobody listens why do you keep saying it 😛
oh and one other thing we dont’ ALL live at your house some of us have had rain
how much i dunno depends on where you live i suppose
I agree they kinda had me worried at the beginning of the Panthers game
Ok, I was just wondering. I think a lot bantering goes on. I would hope it is all in fun. Maybe Chris just likes to give us a little hope. But I will have to say, your posts have burst my bubble a few times. All in fun WX. Please don’t talk mean to me.LOL
Chris is da man. He’s good at his job and he’s a cool guy too. I think people here think I don’t like him, and that’s wrong. Just because we don’t agree on the WX doesn’t mean I don’t like him.
Dang… I’d hate to see the people you dislike…lol
With friends like you, who needs “enemas”…? LOL
GO STEELERS…!!
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Because i hope that one day you will all see the light. 🙂
Wrong. I said as we head toward Winter the pattern will trend warmer and drier than average. And that is exactly what is happening.
So everybody that you don’t agree with, you are enemies with? Wow. That’s harsh.
Steelers vs. Saints? Is that what’s coming up?
Putting words in my mouth… I never said that…
Saints will be hard to beat in the NFC…
Steelers have the team to repeat, but our red-zone turnovers have got to stop..!!!
GO STEELERS..!
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well everyone is talking about the pattern being warm, J.B. over at accuweather seems to think this pattern will hold until about early Dec. then a reversal …I guess we’ll see…
I don’t know…I think I’d prefer that to some of the attitude getting kicked around here. “I’m right and everyone else is wrong.” Seriously, there is a better way to convey your message, WX, even when you truly believe what you’re saying is right…
If it snows, it snows…if it don’t…well, it’s just like every other winter I’ve experienced in the last 9 years I’ve lived in KY.
Why is Chris map different from everyone else.
WXMan, you know as the rest of us, every Fall is going to have a warm,mild stretch. Most of us knew that the cold of October wasn’t here to stay until March. That said, I find it hard to believe that the current warmth will be the bellwether for the rest of the Winter. Besides, other than last weekend’s stretch of Indian summer, this month has been fairly seasonal…not blowtorch warmth that you’ve been touting. I’ve enjoyed reading your take on things the past couple of years, but I don’t understand your sudden switch to a warm bias.
WXman,sorry dude i have to go with Chris last winter you was wrong a lot Chris is the man like you said Don’t take this wrong I just can’t see the winter staying warm like you are saying Chris is the best at what he does .
32 Comments already and no real threat of snow… going to be fun once winter rolls around.
0z GFS is rolling and looks like it onces to cut the low off for early next week just to our west, which would delay a cool down. Have to see what the Canadian and Euro have to say about that.
The way I see it and will always see it, is it is Bailey’s blog, what he says goes. We care about what HE says or we would be on other blogs. For me, I am RUNNING from the light!
From what I can gather most of the october’s that matched up well with this years record cold october had a warmer november and then a colder winter from december on….so it seems to get a cold snowy winter we would rather have the warm pulse now instead of January….just a thought
Agree 100% I’m presonally on the 02-03 bandwagon while it did have a mild stretch it was colder and snowier than normal.
A reminder: it is not winter yet. Be patient and be kind.