Good Friday to one and all. We have snow showers and flurries flying around across parts of the region early today. This action will give way to a bigger potential lurking for Super Bowl Sunday into early Monday. How high that threat is where you live is the million dollar question. Buckle up and let’s get after it.
Snow showers this morning can cause some light accumulations that can create slick spots on area roads. This isn’t a widespread accumulating snow, but more of a local scale event since we are dealing with snow SHOWERS. You can get snow to coat one part of town with the other side of town seeing nothing… it’s one of those deals. I will have your tracking tools in a bit.
Let’s get into the late weekend potential. The model that showed the best consistency from yester morning to last night was the Canadian Model. It continues with the southern tracking low across the Tennessee Valley…
A track like that would put down a healthy swath of accumulating snow across the bluegrass state…
Before you fall head over heels in love with our neighbor to the north, you should check out the GFS. The model continues to show a different solution with each and every run it spits out. The latest run is a little farther north with the low over Kentucky…
That setup would take the heaviest snows north of the Ohio River with rain changing to accumulating snow on the backside of the departing storm. Again… the GFS has shown every solution possible with this storm. That does not mean the above solution won’t work out, but give us some consistency!!
It’s really not like any of the models are a model of consistency. The European Model has jumped around just as much, but the latest run is close to what the GFS is showing…
Let me repeat myself for the millionth time this week… don’t get caught up on the changes with each model run. Today will bring us to within 48 hours of the event and this is when we should start to see more consistency with each model. I suspect that may not come until the evening runs, but we shall see how things look with the 12z run.
It all boils down to this: If you want a big snow here in Kentucky, you want the low to stay on a southern track across Tennessee. If you don’t want a lot of snow, you want the low to move right on top of us. Which one of those wins out? That’s the question we will try to answer later today, but it is a very fine line the models are walking with either solution.
Personally, I would take somewhere in between. The snow lover in me would like some snow, but the “I don’t want to have to go to work on Super Bowl Sunday for the second year in a row” side of me hopes we don’t get a lot. Oh, the internal conflict!! 😉
I leave you with some toys to track our early day shot of snow showers…
Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
I-75 @ Winchester Road Lexington
US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort
US 127 @ Frankfort Frankfort
US 60 @ US 460
I-75 MP 127
I-64 MP 97
Bluegrass Parkway Bardstown
Western Ky Parkway/I-65 Elizabethtown
I-65 MP 32
I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway
I-64 @ I-264
I-264 @ Freedom Way
Near Louisville International Airport
I-75 at MP 36
I-75 at MP 23
See you later today with updates. Take care.